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USA Stock Discussion v8, Brexit: What happens now?
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Davidtcf
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Jun 7 2022, 09:26 AM
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Amazon split will drive demand for its stock, due to ease to trade options: https://www.thestreet.com/investing/options...ck-option-tradeHistory shows higher growth for stocks after split: https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/market...zon/7530397001/This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Jun 7 2022, 09:28 AM
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Davidtcf
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Jun 7 2022, 10:19 AM
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QUOTE(wongkheong86 @ Jun 7 2022, 09:56 AM) Does anyone had a same feeling with me that Amazon might drop further since FED matter still go on ? err the price so cheap now and traders will buy many of them to do options? do you think the price will drop further? if you're American and you like Amazon.. earlier couldn't afford stock price of 2k+ USD, will you buy it now or wait?
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Davidtcf
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Jun 7 2022, 12:16 PM
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QUOTE(sgh @ Jun 7 2022, 12:10 PM) After AMZN stock split, the stock no longer support fractional shares already. You need to buy full share onwards. Whether American will buy will depend on their budget also correct? Now is 1 share few hundred but to some is still a lot? it will go up lar.. cannot compare it to Apple stocks that keep stay at 140 USD. Amazon biz is everywhere in the US. It is similar to our local Shopee or Lazada but with bigger presence. America also a big country for it. Their Amazon Web Services (cloud) biz also right now no.1 in the US, beating Google's. Reddit many people keep talking about buying this stock or Google. Even if a lot of FUD, likely it will go up till 140-160 that range in a few months time. If bullish maybe hit to USD200-250+ This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Jun 7 2022, 12:18 PM
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Davidtcf
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Jun 7 2022, 01:56 PM
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QUOTE(ozak @ Jun 7 2022, 01:10 PM) Beaware that amazon Q2 might be down. Online store is not making money. Advertizing is down. Higher revenue is AWS and others. Net sales pie, Online store - 43.9% AWS - 15.8% Ad - 6.8% Others - 21.8% Physical Store -3.9% Price will come down later after loss the steam in the short term. Especially in this bearish. Will shut up back after that. DCA into it rather than lump sum buy.. at least got some Amazon stocks for long term hold. For sure they will grow as long Amazon doing well. Consumer spending part depends on economy in the US. This part we can't control.. sure got ups and downs.
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Davidtcf
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Jun 8 2022, 07:14 AM
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Target’s press release causing sell off of Amazon and other retailer stocks: https://www.barrons.com/articles/target-sto...ook-51654600838
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Davidtcf
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Jun 8 2022, 01:31 PM
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QUOTE(TOS @ Jun 8 2022, 12:02 PM) Netflix: de-Faanged but still spending The streaming service cannot afford to cut back on content without risking further subscriber losses » Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... « The days when Netflix was considered one of the five best-performing US tech companies are long gone. The streaming service’s share price is down 71 per cent from its high point last year. That eclipses the sell-off at Apple, Alphabet, Facebook/Meta and Amazon — aka the other Faang stocks.
Netflix has announced job cuts and suggested ways to raise revenue by introducing advertising and charging for shared passwords. But reducing spending on content is a trickier problem. Total content obligations are now over $22bn, up from just over $19bn in the same period two years ago.
Content is the lifeblood of a streaming service. Lockdowns encouraged more users to sign up to entertainment subscriptions but that meant Netflix compressed years of expected growth into the space of a few months. Now numbers are falling. This year it reported its first subscriber loss in over a decade. In spite of the recent return of hit show Stranger Things, it expects further declines. Revenue growth is slowing.
Netflix remains the largest streaming service with close to 222mn members. But competitors with deep pockets are adding more users and expanding their offers. Amazon and Apple are moving into live sports while rivals like Disney use existing intellectual property to create new shows. To keep up, Netflix must continue to create its own IP.
On the plus side, Netflix has been expanding its content library for years. It did this by taking on debt. Long-term debt stood at $14.5bn in the last quarter. Low interest rates kept those costs down. Rising rates will make debt-driven content more expensive.
Netflix has cut back a little. In the first quarter, content liabilities dipped to $4.1bn from $4.3bn in the previous quarter. But total contingent liabilities, which do not appear on the balance sheet, remain high. As of March 31, Netflix had over $15bn. These reflect costs that cannot be quantified yet — future episodes of a popular show, for example. Netflix cannot change its spending on content without risking an even heavier loss of subscribers.  maybe due to piracy also.. nowadays so easy to download via torrent. those got netflix likely share their accounts with others too.
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Davidtcf
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Jun 9 2022, 08:47 AM
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QUOTE(TOS @ Jun 8 2022, 10:09 PM) WSJ Heard on the Street Novavax’s New Covid-19 Vaccine Might Be Late to the Party Company will struggle to capture a sizable share of the Covid-19 vaccine market in the U.S. https://www.wsj.com/articles/novavaxs-new-c...share_permalink----------------------------------- using protein instead of RNA for their vaccine and priced cheaper than Pfizer's at USD15 per shot. Hope their vaccine is good. More people will go for it in time if proven.
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Davidtcf
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Jun 10 2022, 10:03 AM
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just took a deeper look at Amazon.. their PE, PEG, and P/B ratios are still high: https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stoc...ings-peg-ratioshttps://simplywall.st/stocks/us/retail/nasd...oncom#valuationfor P/B and PEG it is better if close to 1. PE ratio close to 20 is safer. plus with future earnings this year looking bleak (after Target's announcement), better to wait before buying too much of their stocks. DCA would be safer if you wish to accumulate them now. Amazon also has a problem where much of their cash is re-invested into their commercial and delivery segment (which likely have negative growth this year). Google looks like a safer bet: https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stoc...ings-peg-ratiosfor small investors advise to wait till stock split so that can slowly accumulate rather than lump sum. Google's problem is majority income from advertising.. if consumer spending dips advertising revenue will be affected this year. More info: https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/06/09/b...alphabet-tesla/This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Jun 10 2022, 10:08 AM
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Davidtcf
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Jun 10 2022, 10:51 AM
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QUOTE(hedfi @ Jun 10 2022, 10:34 AM) Could be MAGA as planned by Trump 😄 I miss Trump's administration.. at least US economy and inflation isn't in a mess like how Biden is cluelessly handling now. Btw, Biden don't have any stocks.. he admit he doesn't have any shares in the stock market or even bond. Hence doesn't give a damn on how the stock market is doing. Source: https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2014/...-savings-accou/https://edition.cnn.com/2022/01/24/investin...rket/index.html
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Davidtcf
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Jun 11 2022, 10:18 PM
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QUOTE(rotloi @ Jun 11 2022, 04:28 PM) First time own so hold ..... why sell lol Hold 10 years.. sure make profit. This bear market won’t last forever and Amazon is a solid company as of now.
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Davidtcf
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Jun 12 2022, 10:56 PM
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QUOTE(Lon3Rang3r00 @ Jun 12 2022, 11:24 AM) Crypto not doing well I put some buy limit at Luno which I forgot to turn off and force stop the app for don't know what reason. This morning read news, check back and realized my wallet $$ gone then realize it bought some BTC and XRP gg..... The price is way lower now..... Importance of close your stop limit! Better check if you set any. Yea I don’t.. all is manual trade even for my stocks. I scare invest into crypto already seeing how much the value keep dropping. I think golden age of crypto is now over. It’s gonna be more stable pricing similar to gold or other type of rare metal commodity. My investor friends told me to play crypto best is short term 1 to few days trade(buy low sell high). Keep long end up might lose value. That also do it in small amounts that you’re ok to lose.. really reminds me of betting money as we can’t predict outcome 😅 I prefer stocks as they have fundamentals behind it. If we have time on our side will sure gain back as long company doing well. So far have more confidence in US stocks or developed country ETF if aiming for growth. This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Jun 12 2022, 10:56 PM
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Davidtcf
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Jun 14 2022, 12:21 AM
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QUOTE(rotloi @ Jun 13 2022, 10:42 PM) All so rich I trade using rakuten . Don't know worth or not Rakuten is expensive af to buy US stocks. Each buy sell will incur forex exchange loss since they need to convert to MYR (their FX rate is bad if you compare to market rate). On top of the fees that you're paying to them. IBKR is best and cheapest method. Search up Ziet Invest youtube to see the steps. This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Jun 14 2022, 12:21 AM
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Davidtcf
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Jun 14 2022, 03:59 PM
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https://www.barrons.com/articles/bear-marke...fed-51655159287such a red stock market + crypto red market affecting consumer's spending.. further adding fuel to likelihood of recession. if only Putin dies and Ukraine war is over + all the Russian sanctions gone. Best help that could happen to the inflation situation we seeing now. This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Jun 14 2022, 04:00 PM
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Davidtcf
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Jun 14 2022, 04:49 PM
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Today or tomorrow will confirm the rate hike. Next Fed meetings: June 14-15, 2022 July 26-27, 2022 Sept 20-21, 2022 Nov 1-2, 2022 Dec 13-14, 2022 Sos: https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/fe...eeting-preview/This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Jun 14 2022, 04:49 PM
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Davidtcf
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Jun 16 2022, 07:08 AM
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QUOTE(RayleighH @ Jun 16 2022, 03:17 AM) Expected it to go further down, tapi dia naik pulak. 😒😒 If next inflation report still high then market will drop back lol. Wait things calm down first to see actual valuation, as news now is still hot.
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Davidtcf
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Jun 16 2022, 11:25 AM
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QUOTE(AthrunIJ @ Jun 16 2022, 07:43 AM) Well at least some certainty in an uncertain period. Might raise further .5 or .75 in the next meeting according to fed? Time to top up abit. 🤤 haih.. our ringgit likely to drop again. Not surprised if hit USD1 to RM5 end of this year/next year due to US rate hike. Unless if BNM raise their interest rates too.. then GG to our housing, car loans, and Bursa. This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Jun 16 2022, 11:26 AM
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Davidtcf
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Jun 17 2022, 10:18 AM
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QUOTE(Lon3Rang3r00 @ Jun 17 2022, 09:51 AM)  Go with broker that allow fractional share then you can buy VOO at $100  imo DCA into VWRA and VUAA is good enough. +buy some good stocks here and there if wanna earn more later.
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Davidtcf
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Jun 17 2022, 11:15 AM
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QUOTE(dwRK @ Jun 17 2022, 10:41 AM) yes... sell first buy back cheaper or buy back more is a trading strategy... but generally if holding lots of stocks, buying puts is the way to go... can also buy inverse 3x etf as proxy... but the main problem for retail investors is fomo buy high and beh tahan cut at the bottom... if wanna cut, must cut early... I will just DCA accumulate.. no capital to buy puts on good stocks.  not willing to gamble also on knowing if market will go up or down. just tahan.. during recession is like that. Once we see returns during recovery, then will syok and looking back will feel these are small pains control own emotions and sail through these tough times. This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Jun 17 2022, 11:16 AM
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Davidtcf
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Jun 20 2022, 03:02 PM
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QUOTE(dwRK @ Jun 20 2022, 09:44 AM) my optimistic outlook... lets see how far wrong... hahaha... ...but prefer a more pessimistic outlook  if only we have Back to the Future car.. can move forward to the future to check all the stock and ETF prices. Haha. but srsly just practice DCA.. dont lump sum during these times. if bull market returns and shoot up, you will relieve didn't miss the boat. If go down it's ok, buy MOAR later. Hope Ukraine War fast2 over.. so long liao they still shooting each other This post has been edited by Davidtcf: Jun 20 2022, 03:03 PM
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Davidtcf
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Jun 20 2022, 05:44 PM
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QUOTE(RayleighH @ Jun 20 2022, 05:18 PM) Then the million dollar question would be, "When is the right time to enter?" Perhaps like the youtube post above mention one of the possible option is to wait until the Fed's stance changes or at least rumors of Fed stance changes then only enter the market again. This is also another method. But that time market could end up rally a lot.
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