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 Fundsupermart.com v14, Happy 牛(bull!) Year

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TakoC
post May 8 2016, 09:56 PM

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QUOTE(Kaka23 @ May 7 2016, 07:24 AM)
Someone here is from FSM..  Hmm....
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Bro, so with the declining in Ponzi 2 performance. Has some of the guys here change to other fund already?

Haven't lurk around here in awhile. Hoping to get some update on some fund changes people make around here.
TakoC
post May 9 2016, 01:27 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ May 9 2016, 12:54 PM)
ALL! Sacked the fund manager liao.

All at a click of a button, I can sack my fund manager. Amazing isn't it?

Xuzen
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What did you substitute with?
TakoC
post May 14 2016, 12:39 PM

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Updated NAV price after almost half a year.

These few fund IRR lausai.

CIMB principal Asia pac <1% (almost 2 years holding)
AIWF 1% (2 years holding)
Global Emerging Fund (negative IRR) - almost 2 years holding.
TakoC
post May 14 2016, 12:41 PM

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Pink always said must have emerging region exposure.

Time to replace out CIMB ASIA PAC and Abeerdeen? But with what?
TakoC
post May 29 2016, 12:00 PM

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So guys, share.. Bullish on Asia Pac now or US/Europe?

This post has been edited by TakoC: May 29 2016, 12:01 PM
TakoC
post May 29 2016, 02:17 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ May 29 2016, 02:07 PM)
I wish to recollect what I heard from a CIO of a particular UTMC during a seminar earlier of the year (Qtr1-Yr2016):

Thus as I have heard, that particular CIO said of the geographical region he pays heed to, he thinks the market of East Asia in particular China and Japan are cheap in the sense the PE ratio is in single digit. As for Japan, he said that the stimulus will come from the negative rate which will force more savings into risky assets (equities).

As for US mkt, this I heard from BFM radio that there is a high chance the Fed rate will increase. This means that Yellen is positive of the economic numbers presented of the US market. And this will augur well for the US stock market. Further to this, USD will strengthen and there will be an additional forex gain for us holding US exposure (my own opinion).

As for Europe, the general rule of thumb is, if US do well, Europe will do well. They are highly positively correlated historically (this one is the CIO's opinion).

Right or wrong, the above are all opinions. You make the decision ultimately. As for me, I will continue to expose to all of them in a 40% (US + Developed mkt exposure); 30% (Asia Pac ex Japan) and 30% (Malaysia).

Xuzen
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Bro, but in terms of corporate earnings you need to be aware that stronger US dollar hurts US companies earnings. More of US companies sales are not based in US hence hurting during translation.

Thanks for sharing your Xuzen algorithms on geographical allocation.
TakoC
post May 29 2016, 07:48 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ May 29 2016, 02:25 PM)
The above is not from Algozen™, it is what I heard from that particular UTMC's CIO.

Algozen™ asset allocation as of Apr 2016 is 25% US (Manulife US), 25% Asia Pac ex-Jp (RHB Asian Income), 30% Malaysia (ESISC) and 20% Develop Mkt (GTF).

BTW you'd notice I have fired the Ponzi 2.0 UTF-FM. That fund now suxs!

Xuzen

p/s But I think the both of them differ not much because we probably use similar type of data and valuate it in a similar fashion (probably from the same academic training).
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Yeah. I remember I share some IRR for some funds that sux. Quite hands off already. So can't recall until I see my model.
TakoC
post Jun 2 2016, 07:27 PM

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QUOTE(kimyee73 @ Jun 2 2016, 05:38 PM)
Below is my Main portfolio May performance based on 31/5/16 NAV

Mar Apr May
Overall IRR 5.36% 6.81% 8.95%
Top 3 Funds % of Port
AmPrecious Metal 8.6% IRR 50.15% 74.73% 54.2%
EI Small Caps 4.4% IRR 20.87% 19% 19.23%
RHB Small Cap Opp 2.7% IRR 13.53% 8.62% 7.56%
Bottom 3 Eq Funds % Port
RHB Smart Treasure 2.4% ROI -3.56% -5.51% -5.48%
TA Small Cap 1.2% ROI -5.28% -6.53% -6.06%
AMB Ethical 4.5% IRR -4.1% -5.67% -6.13%
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How long have you hold your EI Small Cap?
TakoC
post Jun 3 2016, 01:50 PM

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QUOTE(kimyee73 @ Jun 3 2016, 12:13 PM)
Since June 2013 but top up here and there.
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Fair enough.

Whose the fund manager again?
TakoC
post Jun 3 2016, 07:25 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jun 3 2016, 05:28 PM)
Wah, suddenly this thread become so HOT when the market is HOT.  rclxms.gif

Is it a good time to buy or to sell now? There is no difference for the true unit trust investor.

As William Bernstein said, "The most dangerous time to buy is in a rising market and the safest time to buy is in a falling market".
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So now is not the right time then.

Buy in Malaysia market smile.gif
TakoC
post Jun 4 2016, 03:10 PM

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QUOTE(Kaka23 @ Jun 4 2016, 06:40 AM)
You buying? tongue.gif
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AmAsia Pac REITS...

Any advantage in buying at current market?

Interest rate hike and all?

QUOTE(Kaka23 @ Jun 4 2016, 09:55 AM)
Portfolio inching up... good to see this... smile.gif
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Just updated the latest may 2016 figure.

On my side, overall return is still slightly lower than last year closing. Any 2nd half prediction guys? Which performance will do well, which will go south?
TakoC
post Jun 4 2016, 04:02 PM

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QUOTE(Kaka23 @ Jun 4 2016, 03:56 PM)
You planing buy big amount or just regular top up?

I dont hv crystal ball bro....
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I never really like REIT. So might trade on it.

On the other hand, my HK/China and SEA exposure are still low. Below 10% each. Topped up my EI small cap earlier hence my MY exposure is high at 25%. Hence got space to leverage up the other region..

That's why asking I should buy in the fund. That's why seeking advice what advantage the fund have?

QUOTE(vincabby @ Jun 4 2016, 03:33 PM)
things to watch would be 'brexit' and 'grexit', rate hike in june which is this month, opec news which you should be hearing around now. I guess those are the big big things happening right now.

i have no predictions to give, all I can say is, hope i have enough covered for the volatility that will come about.
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Volatility? I don't track volatility.

QUOTE(Kaka23 @ Jun 4 2016, 03:57 PM)
My current portfolio still not as good as mid last year..
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Hmm I have to see that too.

This post has been edited by TakoC: Jun 4 2016, 04:05 PM
TakoC
post Jun 5 2016, 03:36 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Jun 5 2016, 11:12 AM)
Yes. I'm going heavy on Asia Pac ex Japan.
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Sounds like the best region to bet on.

It's my strategy as well.
TakoC
post Jun 5 2016, 10:42 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Jun 5 2016, 06:10 PM)
They're plenty of similar fund but I think Ponzi 2.0 is the slower stabler crawler.
I have been in Asia ex Japan for the past 2 to 3 years. No particular view on this.
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Which Asia ex Japan fund you favour then?
TakoC
post Jun 14 2016, 08:31 PM

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Wow. Eastspring Small Cap fund is performing well even with the volatility lately.
TakoC
post Jun 15 2016, 10:51 PM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Jun 15 2016, 07:09 PM)
hmm.gif at the end of last year I posted (boasted) about the unexciting IRR and its projected IRR% for the next few years if my portfolio remains as it is,..., thus self targeted my self to jump start my IRR growth......HEAVY on Small cap....in the beginning of the year.....
DAMNED....Mal EQ corrected in Jan 2016 and stayed flat for the next few months....

will keep to my current composition as per Jan portfolio.....keep it till end of the year to see how it goes....(with minor changes when needed between now and Dec)

yes,...current IRR is not interesting....but what can be done; when 2 weeks after the buying in...both EQ and FI corrected at the same time in May 2013 for many months?
luckily made a litttle from China boom in 2015
unlucky changes is having 20% allocation in GTF for 10 month with mearge ROI from Jan ~ Oct 2014...days after throwing it out in Oct 2014...it boomed 30%

no use crying over spilled milk...thus just do whatever within my risk appetite to pull up my ROI....(bcos...very difficult to pull up IRR when the duration is long already)
currently still following my "illusion" targeted IRR of 8%...(guess it will be very difficult to get 2.5% growth continuously for the next 6 months).......just waiting for ahjib to do the magic on FBMSCAP.....

doing abit of self comforting...like what T231H mentioned......6 month ROI is >4% ...yes better than FD rclxm9.gif
IRR of 3 years is 3% ...is better than S/A.... biggrin.gif

to be honest, sometimes I also  ranting.gif  mad.gif  bangwall.gif  biggrin.gif
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So what are u doing to pull up your ROI?

A lot of index are still down YTD.. So still randomly topping up on all region? Or focusing on some particular region now?
TakoC
post Jun 15 2016, 11:17 PM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Jun 15 2016, 11:10 PM)
I guess every dog has its day.....just focus heavily on some downed regions.....asia pac and m'sia...
just buy, wait and see...
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Looks like no one is going for US Europe market. Or emerging even.
TakoC
post Jun 24 2016, 12:21 PM

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Nikkei down. Hang Seng down. Top up time?
TakoC
post Jun 25 2016, 12:01 PM

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What's THE bond fund these days?

Used to be AmDynamic.
TakoC
post Jun 25 2016, 03:38 PM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Jun 25 2016, 02:55 PM)
Good ol Anita never disappoints. May want to look into this for next top up
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How big was AmDynamic size in the past again? I didn't really pay attention. But the fund mentioned seem to be a bit bigger.

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