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 Fundsupermart.com v14, Happy 牛(bull!) Year

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Vanguard 2015
post Jun 7 2016, 05:45 PM

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QUOTE(T231H @ Jun 7 2016, 05:25 PM)
instead of tikam tikam....if can wait.......the new recommended fund lists will be out the next few weeks,..they will give their reasons for selecting them too...
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Eh, good idea bro. No rush for me to buy new funds. Cash is king.

Thanks for the heads up. thumbup.gif
Vanguard 2015
post Jun 7 2016, 08:00 PM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Jun 7 2016, 06:06 PM)
Fuiyoh, 100% EQ.... and you still steady over the last few months  notworthy.gif

With the remaining EQ funds you have I guess it makes sense to keep the proceeds in bond or cash

Other EQ funds in my radar that is doing better than its peers:
- Affin quantum aka ponzi 1.0
- RHB Asian income fund - a rock in the portfolio in the past few months

My bond + cash holding at the moment is about 10% and 20% respectively
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Paiseh, paiseh. Actually I sold off some bond funds earlier. Before this, I think I had maybe about 15% in bond funds.

Actually it is easy to remain steady for the past few months. Just don't log into FSM online or do it once every 2 weeks. Drown yourself in office work. biggrin.gif

Thank you for your recommended funds. I also have the Libra Consumer and Leisure Asia Fund in one of my supplementary portfolios. I think is on Viagra and steroid. Over the last 1-2 months, suddenly the ROI spiked to 8.37%. Unfortunately I only invested a small amount in this fund. sad.gif
Vanguard 2015
post Jun 8 2016, 04:38 PM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Jun 8 2016, 02:30 PM)
Interesting choice of fund, how did it even got under your radar?  tongue.gif
Did you try out the FSM portfolio simulator? Whats your portfolio volatility like?

It's a fun tool to work out what fund to add and to dump
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Dunno. I have always had the Libra Fund in my portfolio, either in the main or supplementary portfolio. It looks OK wor. biggrin.gif

Nope. I have not tried the FSM portfolio simulator before. I hope to try it soon. Thanks for the heads up.
Vanguard 2015
post Jun 15 2016, 12:12 PM

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Roller coaster ride is here again. I am comparing the performance of the 4 FSM accounts that I have.

For now, the account that is giving me the less heart attack is the one with the highest exposure to bond funds. The equity exposure is only 25.22%.

This account has among others, Eastspring Bond, Libra Asnita Bond and RHB Islamic Bond Fund. Smooth sailing. No stress. ROI from 3.32%, 5% and 4.48% respectively.

It also has RHB Asian Income Fund which just turned green with ROI at 2.22%. I just sold off RHB Asian Total Return Fund (too volatile for this particular FSM account). But in the long run, I suspect this account will lose to my other FSM accounts with more equity exposure.

Note : In the current market, for middle aged investors like us, maybe it is time to have a balance of 50/50 in equity funds/bond funds or 60/40?


Vanguard 2015
post Jun 15 2016, 04:04 PM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Jun 15 2016, 01:37 PM)
hmm, interesting. What is the driver behind the different allocation strategy for the 4 different account? Can share a bit?

Perhaps an option would be now when market is volatile keep in FI and later on switch to EQ? Since you have credit ninja trick it doesn't cost that much $$, just a bit more time
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No special strategy. I am just a layman.

Account 1 - My own account. Major in equity and alternative investment funds. Recently I diversified some into bond funds.
Account 2 - My son's education fund. Combination of equity and bond funds. Doing monthly DCA.
Account 3 - PRS and combination of equity and bond funds. Doing monthly DCA.
Account 4 - My wife's money. So majority in bond funds. This account is capital guaranteed by Vanguard. Any profit she take. Any losses, I will absorb.

Technically I am not pumping fresh money into Account 1 and Account 4.

I agree with you. It may not be a bad idea to switch some money into F1. This is what I did for my Account 1. For the equity funds which overlap with each other or which I don't like anymore, I switched out to bond funds. But I don't think we should switch out completely from Equity Funds. Maybe at the worst case, still maintain at least 20% in Equity Funds then do quarterly VA or monthly DCA to buy more at low prices?

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: Jun 15 2016, 04:05 PM
Vanguard 2015
post Jun 15 2016, 05:49 PM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Jun 15 2016, 04:52 PM)
Yeah, don't think 100% FI is the way to go, similarly that 100% EQ also not the way to go

Wish someone would capital guaranteed my UT investment too  tongue.gif
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Haha, I also wish I had the same guarantee for my own UT investments. biggrin.gif
Vanguard 2015
post Jun 24 2016, 02:11 PM

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What a great buying opportunity for long term investors. UK unexpectedly exited EU.

Gold will rise, sterling dropping, worldwide share markets dropping in knee jerk reaction.....

Wah...what to buy in FSM? Recommendations???


Vanguard 2015
post Jun 28 2016, 02:34 PM

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The Return Of the Pink Spider. rclxms.gif


Vanguard 2015
post Jun 28 2016, 04:12 PM

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It is not easy to stay invested in a turbulent market. The main problems facing investors are:-

(1) Staying the course when we see our portfolio plunging into the red zone with no relief in sight;
(2) Over estimating our risk tolerance leading to over exposure to equity funds;
(3) Improper asset allocation leading to diworsification, i.e. having too many funds with positive correlation;
(4) Not enough saving to take advantage of the market dip to practise DCA or VA;
(5) Overconfidence in our investing abilities leading to buying high and selling low.
(6) Misunderstanding the nature of unit trust investment.

A combination of the above factors led some investors to get burnt in unit trust investments. Thank God we don't have contra trading for FSM.

For myself, the solution is to keep more cash and bond funds to take opportunity of the crazy market. In the current market, I don’t subscribe to the belief that young investors (i.e. anyone below 40 years old) should be 100% invested in equity funds. We are only human. We just don’t have the stomach to see our portfolio plunging month after month.

IMHO, the current market calls for a defensive position with a 50/50 allocation in equity funds and bond funds. For older investors with higher income level or sufficient emergency funds, they can afford to increase their exposure to equity funds/alternative investments to 70%. Again, this varies depending on the individual investors.

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: Jun 28 2016, 04:16 PM
Vanguard 2015
post Jun 28 2016, 04:30 PM

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QUOTE(Avangelice @ Jun 28 2016, 04:18 PM)

WORD.

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Yes, words...but coupled with action...since I put my money where my mouth is. smile.gif
Vanguard 2015
post Jun 29 2016, 10:43 AM

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I just topped up or intra switched more money into the following funds:-

1. Libra Asnita Bond Fund
2. CIMB Global Titans
3. Ponzi 2
4. CIMB Greater China
5. RHB Money Market Fund.

Hope for the best, plan for the worst.
Vanguard 2015
post Jul 11 2016, 10:52 PM

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Sold down 1/2 of my holdings today in Ponzi 2. Started investing in a 'junk bond' fund last week; made 1.25% profit in one week.

May diversify later into REIT and gold fund. Currently heavily loaded in Libra Asnita Bond Fund. My alternative investment fund is still making losses; should be ripe for harvesting in 4Q.

EISC and KGF still steady; profits at 19.54% and 12.25%.
Vanguard 2015
post Jul 11 2016, 11:04 PM

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QUOTE(T231H @ Jul 11 2016, 10:57 PM)
do you track portfolio IRR?
what is your IRR currently?
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Sorry I am just a layman investor bro. No time and expertise to track IRR...
Vanguard 2015
post Jul 11 2016, 11:11 PM

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QUOTE(T231H @ Jul 11 2016, 11:07 PM)
ok...
I see just did frequent switching here and there......
ok...no IRR....but how is the ROI from these switches?
must be GOOD-eh, else you would not continue... :hehe:
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Ehh...cari makan only bro. This year I only use FD as my benchmark. Capital preservation is my main priority now. I have to swallow my pride and play defensive for the remaining 6 months.
Vanguard 2015
post Jul 11 2016, 11:13 PM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Jul 11 2016, 11:11 PM)
The excel spreadsheet in first post is fantastic. Doesn't take too long to set up n once done it's so easy to maintain. Highly recommended
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Hey thanks sis. Will look into it.
Vanguard 2015
post Jul 12 2016, 07:20 PM

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QUOTE(dasecret @ Jul 12 2016, 10:42 AM)
What is your fund selection or asset allocation strategy actually?
cos I thought you sold RHB ATR which has a small exposure in asian high yield due to volatility and now you are buying into a pure high yield?

Did you buy the RHB high yield or the EI one?

I a bit chicken with asian high yield after reading this
https://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/resea...and-Brazil-7253
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No fixed asset allocation strategy. It all depends on the market. Usually I will spread my money in different funds. Some for speculation or gambling as well.

RHB ATR is not performing this year so I dumped it. Now I am just riding the wave with Eastspring High Yield Fund. See how long the ride will last. If I make a few thousand from this fund within a few months, I may take the excess profit out or sell all. If bond default, then finish-lah. No risk no gain.

I have other funds in my portfolio which are long term.
Vanguard 2015
post Jul 14 2016, 12:16 PM

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I don't see anything interesting to buy. For now, I will only buy back AmReit and Affin Hwang Quantum Funds. These are funds which I had previously but I sold it off. Well looks like I am running in circles.

I thought of buying TA Global Technology. But what is the point? The correlation with CIMB Global Titans Fund is 0.92.

Topping up Eastspring High Yield Bond Fund.

To continue holding more bond and cash. We don't know how the market will behave for the remaining year.
Vanguard 2015
post Jul 14 2016, 12:34 PM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Jul 14 2016, 12:26 PM)
Even KGF and smallcap? Not going to topup?
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No need. I am already quite heavily invested in these 2 funds.
Vanguard 2015
post Jul 18 2016, 07:46 PM

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QUOTE(Kinggnik87 @ Jul 18 2016, 05:33 PM)

On a even more serious note, many signs indicating a 2008 happening soon, sifus here got any good ideas on dealing with the inflation and economy crisis? Thanks.
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No sifu here. But I have been working for close to 20 years now since the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis. My 2 cents worth...the economy is not doing well. Things could get worse next year. Some of my clients are doing VSS. Other foreign clients are packing up and going back to their countries. Sale of properties are down.

For me, I am concentrating on bond funds and cash. I still have some equity funds at about 40% or less for different portfolios. IMHO, we should:-

1. Save more money for a rainy day;
2. Try not to have big expenditure this year like buying a new car, fancy new handphone, etc.
3. Should not start a new business or change job.

Number 1 reason for bankruptcy cases in Malaysia for young employees now are car loans. The 9 year car loan is a curse. Those days, the main reason for bankruptcy used to be credit cards.
Vanguard 2015
post Jul 19 2016, 12:12 PM

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QUOTE(T231H @ Jul 18 2016, 10:57 PM)
for those that are considering your 'Concentration"......here is one latest article from FSM....

1H2016 Top And Bottom Fixed Income Funds: A Great Year For Bonds So Far
https://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/resea...nds-So-Far-7285
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Thanks for the head up bro. This is very useful. thumbup.gif

QUOTE(Kinggnik87 @ Jul 19 2016, 10:48 AM)
Your suggestions are just like what my friend in the financial sector told me, which  now convinced me even more to save and not make any drastic move.

I'm surprised with the car loan being the main reason for bankruptcy though.  ohmy.gif 
I always thought it was the credit card factor.
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It used to be credit cards being main reason for bankruptcy until they changed the law to state that minimum amount for bankruptcy is now RM30K.

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