CHINA 2016: THE GREAT TURNING POINT AND THE PROSPECTS OF EURASIANISM
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From this perspective, shaking the flywheel of tension of a hybrid type Third World War began on December 3, 2013 when the then President of Ukraine Viktor Yanukovych visited Beijing and signed an agreement with China for the creation in Crimea of a “Crimean Economic Development Zone of the new silk road “with a multi-functional logistics hub for turnover of 140 million tons a year and lending China three million hectares of arable land to supply the Chinese with 10 million tons of grain annually.
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Thus Crimea should become an important transport and transshipment point of the Maritime Silk Road of XXI century. Earlier, in November 2013, Yanukovych refused to sign the agreement on association and free trade with the EU. This policy of Kiev toward China and Russia, the US and NATO could not be tolerated and so they staged a brazen coup, in result of which in Ukraine came to power pro-American and pro-Zionist forces, and in Donbas a civil war began.
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Thus the driving force of another upsurge of Eurasia is what in political science received the name “tectonic processes of global transformation,” one of which in the foreseeable future will change the global leader that should happen by 2025, when China will overtake the US in the aggregate strength of the economy, military power, culture, diplomacy, reconnaissance, etc.
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Characteristically, the new Silk Road is not only a transport corridor connecting China with Europe, but a path that finds itself under the patronage of the Chinese Economic Development Zone with a guaranteed profit on investment in … US dollars.
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Thus China wants to be free and to repair the colossal mistake of the past 20 years when it was producing large volumes of various goods against which it received green papers that are not backed by anything, and to reinvest them in their own country in regional projects of around 8 trillion dollars. For this purpose it created the Asian Bank for Infrastructure Investment (AIIB) in 2015, as it will gradually get rid of the dollar, will gain position toward the countries benefiting from loans and will transfer them into yuans.
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It is clear that within the crisis of the global credit and financial system based on the US petrodollar, the Chinese project of the Economic Belt of the New Silk Road and Maritime Silk Road of XXI century (“one belt – one path”) is a way of geopolitical demarcation of globalization on land – led by China, and the globalization of the sea – led by the US, with a gradual transition of leadership from the US cycle of emission and credit accumulation of capital, towards the Chinese cycle of production and trade cycle, but without collapse of the dollar, from which the losses of China will also be colossal.
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The Economic Belt of the New Silk Road includes 16 countries, 12 of which belong to the “world of Islam”. It is principally important to note, that the economic zone and the sea route pass through the zone of interests of Turkey. Historically, Turkey has always been a “plug” of the Silk Road since the country has never been in the family of nations of the Unified State of Genghis Khan, nor later in the controlled by Timur, silk road . Turkey today also claims for a special role in the Economic Belt and an important role in the security of the belt.
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“The belt and the road” will be a major trend in the development of China in 2016. Decided will be other important issues. The first of them will be the division of the so-called “Shanghai property”, ie changing the paradigm for common growth, dominant in China over the past 20 years, with the paradigm of development in the new more complex conditions:
– the role of the Communist Party as a synonym for stable development of the country;
– the redistribution of state property;
– Operation “heir to Xi Jinping”, which will start at the 19th Congress at the end of 2017;
– the situation in Taiwan
– new power balance in corporate, environmental, veterans, etc;
– problems in macroeconomics;
– external threats;
– Sino-Russian relations;
– anti-China alliance in the South China Sea and Japan, and others.
These problems will be resolved in 2016, which will be crucial for the development of the PRC until the end of the twenty-first century.
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