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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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sjteh
post Mar 7 2020, 06:48 PM

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QUOTE(Yggdrasil @ Mar 7 2020, 06:43 PM)
I'm actually referring to companies that are in sunset industries. They may pay high dividends now but everything is 'priced in'.
I.e. other companies offer 4% dividend but these companies offer 7% dividend. Eventually the capital loss per year is 3% offsetting the additional 3% dividend.
Examples can be seen in O&G even in the absence of terrible economic conditions):

user posted image
8.39% dividend
user posted image
7.30% dividend
Yeah, but Barings Bank collapse wasn't caused by lack of reserves but rather a rogue employee combined with weak internal controls.
Basel, statutory and regulatory requirements are not foolproof too. I used to audit banks and the reserves were underprovided due to human error/intention to boost profits as these are based on the accuracy of the bank's calculation.

I have more to say but can't for obvious reasons.  wink.gif Just believe me when I say banks are not 'guaranteed' safe. In fact, I feel that banks in general are riskier than companies with 50% gearing.
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Just look at India YES Bank.
sjteh
post Mar 7 2020, 08:56 PM

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QUOTE(Yggdrasil @ Mar 7 2020, 06:56 PM)
Wanted to quote that as example but from what I've heard, that bank has already been suffering internal management problems for quite a long time.
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What I meant is bank is not always guarantee wan...
sjteh
post Feb 6 2021, 11:13 AM

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QUOTE(statikinetic @ Feb 6 2021, 10:21 AM)
Industry observation. Plastic packaging has been making moves in the past 2 days, visible across the major counters involved. Possible early signs.
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Mind to elaborate further bout early sign?
Cos saw plastic industry started to rise past days.
sjteh
post Jun 15 2021, 09:34 PM

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QUOTE(Smurfs @ Jun 15 2021, 09:03 PM)
Hold for long term dividend is a good idea, only IF both the share price & DPU is constant  laugh.gif

What if the company earning less in the future, which result in lesser dividend payout...and due to less dividend, share price go down again?  cry.gif

Share price : decline
Dividend receive : reduced

At the end, wasting money in stock market  ranting.gif
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Yes.
Constant DY but price keep draining like cmmt....
sjteh
post Jun 16 2021, 04:52 PM

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Hi boon gor,

Now understand this is 1 of ur criteria b4 you hoot.
😂😂😂
sjteh
post Jul 2 2021, 05:33 AM

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[quote=skty,Jul 2 2021, 02:04 AM]

Wonderful insight.
Thank you!!!
sjteh
post Jul 8 2021, 04:34 PM

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[quote=billy_overheat,Jul 8 2021, 04:07 PM]
Want my help to compile the things you've been writing for years and make it into a pdf and spread across? laugh.gif

+1
rclxm9.gif
sjteh
post Mar 19 2022, 10:52 AM

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Boon gor,

Ini macam hextar je...

sjteh
post Apr 4 2022, 10:00 PM

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QUOTE(howyoulikethat @ Apr 4 2022, 09:28 PM)
i don't get why borders reopening would benefit F&N. Yes, F&N is a blue chip that has been a dividend cash cow with a stable business. But low can get lower, unless the sellers have all sold out or there is a catalyst news that sparks a bullish reversal. F&N is good, but revenue & profits may have stagnated, which dampens investors' hopes.
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Believe reopen, economy coming back & f&n benefit from this trend which have ability to pass cost to consumer esp food inflation currently?
sjteh
post May 12 2022, 08:23 PM

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[quote=skty,Apr 23 2021, 03:18 AM]
due to cycle inversion of March 2021.

I expect correction or sideway but instead it break through resistance and go up.

So I am taking a defensive position as of now. Clearing most stock batch by batch and only remain in sector that I think is going to be super bullish.

I don't know what will happen in May. I am not god. I just know there will be a turning point in May. Whether it's going to sideway or correction, I don't know.

I am watching out Ukraine VS Russia and Japan VS China and Taiwan VS China.
don't know why persistently the CA showing me May and one month in 2H2021 after so many months of CA.


Hi, your monitoring of situation started to surface part by part already.
👍

sjteh
post May 12 2022, 11:33 PM

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QUOTE(skty @ May 12 2022, 11:27 PM)
I don't know.
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Any recommendation to read up history of CA?
sjteh
post Dec 29 2023, 12:19 PM

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Maybe is like this:

NAV = RM3
Market price = rm2.00
Diff = rm1.00

Div = 1% of rm3 + 8% of rm1
= 0.03+0.08
= 0.11

Correct me if I am wrong
sjteh
post Dec 29 2023, 12:20 PM

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If market price > NAV, dunno how it work already

sjteh
post Oct 2 2024, 10:18 PM

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Maybe can go to ibkr forum & ask.
The platform can trade quite a no. of global equities

 

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