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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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yehlai
post Aug 17 2020, 03:55 PM

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careful muiprop cash flow is very bad

yehlai
post Aug 18 2020, 01:56 AM

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Delete

This post has been edited by yehlai: Aug 18 2020, 09:06 AM
yehlai
post Aug 23 2020, 10:20 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Aug 15 2020, 05:26 PM)
Oh yes, you are 100% right. Trading should only be a small part of your portfolio. It is time consuming and high risk. I am only trading now because of the glove stocks mania. Once in 10 years or once in a lifetime opportunity. Eventually, we will be eaten by the sharks or crocodiles if we stay too long.

I think we need to diversify across time, assets and country. An example would be:

(1) EPF
(2) ASM, Wawasan 2020 (for non-bumi)
(3) Fixed deposit, advance payment into housing loan, etc.
(4) Unit trusts like FSM One Malaysia or FSM One Singapore.
(5) SSPN (if you have kids for tax exemption)
(6) PRS (for tax exemption again)
(7) Stashaway

The investments which did not work for me were:

(1) PSP lending like Funding Societies, etc (default rate too high)
(2) Gold investment like HelloGold (the spread is too high, no interest payment, etc).

Vanguard ETF is available in FSM One Singapore. I have opened an account in FSM One Singapore but I am stuck there because I have not opened a Singapore bank account yet.

Back on track now. Yes, maybe 10% of your money for trading if you have the time and skill.

You may want to allocate another 20% of your portfolio for stock investment in blue chips or growth stocks (this not trading stocks on a regular basis). Some people like the regular dividend payments. Otherwise, you may just opt out from stock investment and to dump it into unit trusts, etc instead.

Whatever it is, start early and have an emergency fund of 3 to 6 months first before thinking of investment. You don't want the decision of when you should sell your stocks or unit trusts to be determined by when your house roof leaks or when your car breaks down.

Buy some investment books to read. Read, read and read.

My 2 cents worth as usual. Sorry, a bit long winded during the weekend.  biggrin.gif
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US ETF have 15-30% tax, still worth to invest?
yehlai
post Aug 25 2020, 12:04 AM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Aug 24 2020, 10:52 PM)
Takaful PE 11.3, CAGR REV 13.6, ROE 28, DY 4
BIMB: PE 7.9, CAGR REV 10.6, ROE 13, DY 4.6
KPower (Risky bet): PE 26, CAGR REV 190, DY 0, ROE 8.4

Takaful: Forumers say something is brewing in(dont know how reliable it is), but I dont give a fck. I buy for long term
BIMB: dont buy now, let it drop more biggrin.gif (banks sentiment now bad, can drop more one)
Kpower: No comment, just saw amazing QR and went to have a quick look
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I feel like put 30% on Intel, 10% on each buy in
but need to hold for sometime

yehlai
post Aug 25 2020, 10:29 AM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Aug 25 2020, 10:21 AM)
When gloves drop, other KLCI components go up. This has happened few times already

Slow institutional fund transfer from gloves to KLCI?
Please dont happen so soon... Hope the big funds dont buy the banks so soon
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You buying banks? MBB dividen quite ok
yehlai
post Aug 25 2020, 11:06 AM

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High price split still have chance to push up the price
split on current price is like split for fun only?
yehlai
post Aug 25 2020, 12:05 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Aug 25 2020, 11:08 AM)
instant gratification is addictive.
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Worst thing is not lose money, is changed of invest behavior

yehlai
post Aug 25 2020, 03:22 PM

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People are too optimistic on the future growth
or just think othet will do stupid thing like keep buy higher
yehlai
post Aug 25 2020, 10:14 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Aug 25 2020, 09:14 PM)
Abit too early though, given the current sentiment, no big funds will buy banks

To bottom fish a bank in a crisis, the safer option is to go for the big 3s (MBB, PBB, CIMB)

Valuation wise
P/E highest among big 3 - bad
P/B highest among big 3 - bad
past ROE highest among big 3 - should be good, but higher ROE means higher financial leverage, not sure if it is good to have high ROE in crisis
expected NPL (based on past performance) lowest among ALL malaysian banks - good

For banks, a lot of people like to use P/B to measure (because banks rely heavily on assets to make money), also lower P/B means if got cash flow problem, the bank has more to liquidate
Book value ( to get P/B, divide the current share price by the book value)
MBB - 6.94
PBB - 11.15
CIMB - 5.53

But I think at least use both P/B and P/E lo, better
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Don't forget Div payout, MBB is the highest
safe heaven for bullet parking
yehlai
post Aug 25 2020, 10:21 PM

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QUOTE(Bendan520 @ Aug 25 2020, 10:17 PM)
Managed to grab some cash this morning on DPHARMA counter. Goreng in and out within 2 hours. (:
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Whats your strategy? Once hit 15-20% take profit?
if me I'd still hold.. this morning was bullish
yehlai
post Aug 26 2020, 12:54 AM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Aug 25 2020, 10:48 PM)
Hi yehlai,

I didnt consider dividend yield because, all dividends paid are not reinvested into business, which means less growth for the companies in the future. And it is unwise to think that companies will still give dividends like they used to when their earnings are artificially reduced (for provision); actual earnings loss will come from NPL

Once a company has maxed out its growth (e.g. Nestle, Panamy), all earnings will become dividends, if companies are still growing not getting as much dividends is ok smile.gif
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Thats true for growth stock
But what I mean is blue chips is good place for parking bullets, because I will hold around 45% for for DCA or when no better counter to go in (volatile)
unless it's very bullish, then reserve will go below 45%

This post has been edited by yehlai: Aug 26 2020, 12:54 AM
yehlai
post Aug 26 2020, 10:08 AM

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https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/amba...ngrades-neutral
yehlai
post Aug 27 2020, 03:33 PM

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I park 45-50% cap on Maybank
as bullet

30-35 % on growth
10% on goreng stock
yehlai
post Aug 28 2020, 01:09 AM

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QUOTE(chromatino_hex @ Aug 27 2020, 10:44 PM)
From what I can gather, there are multiple sharks playing at glove counters. Keep pressing down prices and jacking them up and down. I suggest yall to stop thinking about goreng stocks for now. Movement will be erratical and you’ll gradually have less time to close your position. We know when retail investors will get out so we try to get ahead of yall. Just some advice. I hate my job
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you from IB? why hate your job.. good money wht

This post has been edited by yehlai: Aug 28 2020, 01:11 AM
yehlai
post Aug 30 2020, 05:53 PM

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QUOTE(ZeroSOFInfinity @ Aug 30 2020, 05:51 PM)
Didnt play. Too troublesome load money into member card. Also most tables full, with limited seating and such.
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cashed out from bursa casino go into lim's table
yehlai
post Sep 3 2020, 11:23 AM

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..


Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
yehlai
post Sep 3 2020, 06:38 PM

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The owners (careplus, comfort and etc) alrdy cash out because doing that earn more than doing their real job.. also they know it better than anyone when should exit

This post has been edited by yehlai: Sep 3 2020, 06:38 PM
yehlai
post Sep 3 2020, 06:47 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Sep 3 2020, 04:29 PM)
At the time being, the glove stocks look like the Titanic heading towards the iceberg.

My unrealised loss is now officially in the five figure, thanks largely to Top Glove.   laugh.gif

What an interesting day. Don't worry guys, this too shall pass... :thumbsup:
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Figure is irrelevant, see %
5 figure cluld be just merely 0.1% of your portfolio

This post has been edited by yehlai: Sep 3 2020, 06:48 PM
yehlai
post Sep 3 2020, 06:53 PM

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QUOTE(pisces88 @ Sep 3 2020, 06:45 PM)
Eh how u know already exit. But sure got some holdings ma
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If you, you sell or hold until the end?
especially the smaller player will face fierce competition from big 4 after demand normalize

Will you take the cash?

This is like your gf father open a 10mil cheque ask you to leave you gf
if you don't take nvm, they will find some assassin to take care
yehlai
post Sep 4 2020, 10:38 AM

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Supermax is stock split? drop like this one..

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