Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

6 Pages < 1 2 3 4 5 > » Bottom

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

views
     
sadukarzz
post Oct 4 2020, 07:54 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Sep 29 2020, 03:40 PM)
Bro your Danco  sweat.gif

This case clearly operator fail, can't even get enough public interest to clear that 16m holdings from Teacher's association. 100k shares is enough to tumble the stock > 5%.
*
yeah.. this is the part where i would say it really isnt all fundamental talk.. consumer sentiment / publicity matters too ahaha ..

this is also the part where i comfort myself by saying 'no worries its for long run' hahahaha.. but honestly speaking.. i am somehow damn confident in this counter looking at its spreadsheets now dunno why, also seeing foreverchung and his disciples there made me even more confident despite kena kicked out earlier
sadukarzz
post Oct 12 2020, 04:19 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Oct 12 2020, 12:35 PM)
Seemed like today no selling pressure for major holders. So path forward is now clear ?  bruce.gif
*
i certainly hope so
sadukarzz
post Oct 24 2020, 10:59 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
QUOTE(icemanfx @ Oct 24 2020, 07:50 PM)
With many ready to buy at dip, price is unlikely to drop much.
*
Nah, I don't think will be as much as previous glove mania, investors are closing into cautious schedules ahead. But I feel will have impact depending on tmr announcement.


Possible Combos:
1. Saturday + Sunday = Break 1k Covid-19 case per day (BIG IMPACT)
2. Gomen announce emergency (HUGE IMPACT)
3. Closing in to US Election, investor cautious (MEDIUM IMPACT)
4. Global Covid-19 case on spike (MEDIUM IMPACT)
5. Napoli riot ongoing (SMALL-MEDIUM IMPACT)

Combo Breakers
1. Return of retailers into local bourse (MEDIUM - diminished, limited by resumption of loan payments)
2. Covid-19 cases on the rise, good elevation for healthcare counters (MEDIUM - similar to above, diminished, limited by resumption of loan repayments)
3. Potential glove / healthcare / plastic stellar earnings (SMALL - priced in previously)
4. Gomen positive against securing vaccine early next year (SMALL - rumor, highly speculative)
5. China economy showing recovery (SMALL)

That's how I see it from MACRO-FUNDA view, estimated RR shift is high towards negative side.

Covid case high = Healthcare counter < US election + Msia Emergency cancels/engulfs this effect.
sadukarzz
post Oct 25 2020, 10:58 AM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 25 2020, 10:01 AM)
fair assessment.

all of above pretty much confirmed, except the "emergency".

in the event emergency is declared, bursa will likely drop 5% or so, almost all counters will decline.

in the event that does not materialize but below does, bursa may even rise.
https://www.themalaysianinsight.com/s/280433
if one is not interested in gloves, PE of 5 is about right.

if one is interested in say, tech, 200 is not high.

if one is interested in yet others, losing money big time, prolonged negative cash flow can be = great buys.

that's why the stock market is so colorful. laugh.gif
*
A possible scenario, but personally I feel that the Oppo will be skeptical considering how their top brass has been gamed again and again, so they should require more time before this is successfully mulled.
sadukarzz
post Oct 26 2020, 05:06 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
Huawei + JFTech = Tmr pecah.

Sekian.

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...ers-huawei-unit
sadukarzz
post Nov 9 2020, 10:32 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
GG EPF kena upcar...

haihs
sadukarzz
post Nov 16 2020, 08:21 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
QUOTE(zacknistelrooy @ Nov 16 2020, 08:01 PM)
Pharma holders, are you ready?

TASCO / KGB, are you ready?

AA / AAX / GenM / Genting, are you ready?

Bank stocks, are you ready?

O&G, are you ready?

Last but not least, glove holders, are you ready?
sadukarzz
post Nov 16 2020, 08:26 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
QUOTE(ry8128 @ Nov 16 2020, 08:22 PM)
Definitely. Else why i buy today? And other recovery stocks gonna fall once gloves rise up. Its just a matter of fund transfer according to sentiment. And between healthcare and recovery stocks, i put my money in healthcare cos it reflects the reality  laugh.gif
*
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/emco...ys-ismail-sabri

looks like news is piling up for TG
sadukarzz
post Nov 16 2020, 10:29 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
QUOTE(ry8128 @ Nov 16 2020, 10:21 PM)
I dun rule out the possibility of it dropping more tmr, haha. So if it drop, then buy in some more lo. I always recommend ppl to buy in batches, so we can manage our risk better.

Now we are still in rotational play, where the market sentiment in the recovery trend are strong due to the vaccine news. Once the big fund quit and rotate their funds back to gloves, then u will see the reversal.
*
Its good to see that you are confident in the decision you make in glove counters. Hats off to that.

But a word of advice bro, if if and if, you find your ego is there pushing you to make unwise / uncomfortable decision, don't let your ego beat you i.e. variation Sunk Cost Fallacy - where you diedie go the other way against the current (especially if alot go the other way), rationalizing whichever means possible. I learned my lesson the costly way.

Apart from that, if your decisions are well informed and it is structured, I too wish you all the best! After all we all here to earn.
sadukarzz
post Nov 17 2020, 09:41 AM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
QUOTE(annoymous1234 @ Nov 17 2020, 09:32 AM)
I remember what happen the last time..it was red for a few days. Then out of no where it turn green and puma shoot up rm3 in a day. In a day! Let's see if history repeats itself
*
The time is vastly different now. That was way back before any breakthrough on vaccines.
sadukarzz
post Nov 17 2020, 09:47 AM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
QUOTE(CertifiedHomphobe @ Nov 17 2020, 09:44 AM)
inoculation takes time

Its not going to be a month endeavor but maybe an entire year . Producing , shipping and applying the vaccine will take a lot of time .

I dont get why some people think a vaccine can instantly make the entire worlds population instantly . Not to mention the risks associated with it.
*
Yes it takes time there is no denying it. At this juncture who would not know that it takes time?

What I am trying to say is that, compared to 3 months ago, SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS has been made. So the sentiment would be different as to now, as I was referring to the previous quote of 'whether it would be a sharp rebound like last time'.

3 months ago no one knew that 90% efficiency is even achievable. Now the time is different.

This post has been edited by sadukarzz: Nov 17 2020, 09:49 AM
sadukarzz
post Nov 24 2020, 12:57 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
Any one can give some enlightenment in terms of TA for DANCO?

I am only well versed with FA, which is spectacular at this point, but I am wondering for TA's point of view whether there's a bull coming or not. After I got kicked out of foreverchungs group really couldn't have good TA insights.

DANCO (5276), thanks sifu sekalian.

My own FA analysis tells me that next QR should be even better due to MTL & Edaran contract haven't been been fully factored in.

Current Q EPS = 1.9 sen (assume conservative across all 4Q) x 4 = 7.6 sen.

PE @ 10 = 76 sen
PE @ 12 = 91 sen
PE @ 14 (now) = rm1.06

If EPS is 1.6 sen x 4 = 6.4

PE @ 10 = 64 sen
PE @ 12 = 77 sen
PE @ 14 (now) = 90 sen

gamxia.. im trying to decide whether to add more or not
sadukarzz
post Nov 24 2020, 04:10 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
DANCO finally.
sadukarzz
post Dec 1 2020, 03:00 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
Astala Vista TG.

Those still stay in penthouse just wait take dividend lor.
sadukarzz
post Dec 1 2020, 04:11 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
-7%

come gather hope ~
sadukarzz
post Dec 1 2020, 04:24 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
QUOTE(immobile @ Dec 1 2020, 04:22 PM)
hahah not sure boss...mhmm maybe bankers keep selling...tan sri and his team buying back? but haih....tan sri...bankers...sc...bursa....all also from one kampung...also don't know how it really works...only they can smell and know better  doh.gif  doh.gif
*
even if tan sri buy back also need money, already sbb so long.. the more sbb the more risk eventually to the company cuz the money can be better off used to raise production etc

sadukarzz
post Dec 2 2020, 04:43 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-55145696

UK approved Pfizer widespread use.
sadukarzz
post Dec 2 2020, 06:46 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
QUOTE(dickybird @ Dec 2 2020, 06:41 PM)
Lol
You think infection control policy is for show only?
Will you dare to go to hospital if they are so lackadaisical with ppe use? Lol
*
people also say SOP etc etc lar

but got shop follow strictly or no?
sadukarzz
post Dec 14 2020, 12:44 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Dec 14 2020, 10:52 AM)
From what i see today a bit oversold and overbought just due to emotions running high.

Gloves etc possible to rebound back from lows and recoveries probably will pullback to a more moderate level.
*
different quote same statement, many glove players stay in penthouse, keep average down now all burnt..

if really invest long then wont come to forum here say drop la balls drop la heart broken la etc, those FIFO but caught knife now have to bear consequences..

u go see those FB stock group all keep simply post vaccine negative news based on title alone, u will see alot of ppl stay penthouse..

if really invest long then just shut screen go live life come back after a few months or years..

ego is a dangerous thing to have when it comes to anything that has elements of gambling.

again, not referring to anyone here, just saying the mentality as a whole.. when kena burnt need to come forum find chicken soup for the soul..

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


This post has been edited by sadukarzz: Dec 14 2020, 12:45 PM
sadukarzz
post Dec 14 2020, 03:51 PM

Enthusiast
*****
Junior Member
782 posts

Joined: Jul 2011
QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Dec 14 2020, 03:48 PM)
Maybe this is fear territory already, perhaps can do some swing trade.

Will superman do a 30% reversal to RM9. What are the odds you think ?
*
this is wishful thinking. wake up.

6 Pages < 1 2 3 4 5 > » Top
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
1.7646sec    0.51    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 10th December 2025 - 03:08 AM