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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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SUSlowya
post Sep 23 2020, 04:30 PM

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QUOTE(Bendan520 @ Sep 23 2020, 04:01 PM)
4pm no magic show?
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945 down 215 up, not enough show for u? lets try 1000 down.


SUSlowya
post Sep 24 2020, 03:06 PM

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grabbed some HSI call for high risk play.
SUSlowya
post Sep 25 2020, 10:16 AM

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QUOTE(theberry @ Sep 25 2020, 09:40 AM)
Unker, I saw you hold hextar? Any comment?
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Hextar below 0.7 is a buy, only sell above 0.9
SUSlowya
post Sep 25 2020, 10:22 AM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Sep 25 2020, 10:14 AM)
Lai lai, big bets on GENM.

I expect once clear sky hits, this would be the one stock with quite a few foreign fund inflow. Due to they are the premium gaming exposure for South East Asia region for now, apart from Naga Corp.

Key question is, when will there be clear skies or more cloudy days ahead. Huge returns is for the brave as they say  tongue.gif
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the clear sky appear only when the lockdown dark cloud finally announce ended. Meantime it's either sideway with potential downside.
SUSlowya
post Sep 25 2020, 10:37 AM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Sep 25 2020, 10:29 AM)
Yup yup. Downside potential is higher now.

But so far I feel in terms of returns this one got room to move. A probable multibagger ? Maybe
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pls justify your multibagger claim without using feelings.
SUSlowya
post Sep 25 2020, 12:02 PM

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QUOTE(ChAOoz @ Sep 25 2020, 11:14 AM)
If everything goes back to normal, FY22 im looking at EPS of around 0.25 sen, and with P/E @ 15x the share price should be around RM3.75 +- ish

I see a few catalyst moving forward:

1) Capital Investment on gaming assets globally -> Most capital investment is already done. Resort world Malaysia, Catskills, UK etc. Most infrastructures has been updated to reflect the new RW branding and expect those to bring in higher revenue / margin moving forward

2) Lower cost structure due to industry wide restructuring and a loose labor market for tourism/gaming sector. No potential wage growth cost pressure. Most excess fat has been trimmed off during the covid19 saga

3) Majority revenue from Malaysia assets. Expect higher traffic foot flow as theme parks open.

4) Tax Incentives from prior years business losses. There should be Tax breaks on profit moving forward due to the massive losses roll forward to the next year.

EPS 0.25 is a baseline FY22. I'm expecting further positive catalyst may move the valuation from a modest 15x P/E to around 20x P/E to be in line with other regional gaming entity. If PE 20x @ EPS 0.25, the stock will be around RM5+- ish, promising a 1x bagger scenario.
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if the new norm with customers new pattern of spending have shifted, we might be looking at low/no demand as long as the border closed. Even when opened, the image of malaysia impose hefty quarantine fee already scared many inbound visitors.
SUSlowya
post Sep 26 2020, 05:22 PM

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QUOTE(lowya @ Sep 21 2020, 09:54 AM)
a question every Topglove holders should answer:

Why NTA this Q dropped to only RM0.61?!

which is almost historical low?

Something is not adding up.
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Median PE Median PTBV
KLSE 15.24 1.045
Healthcare 38.9 5.2
Topglov 38.56 14.4


SUSlowya
post Sep 28 2020, 09:32 AM

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QUOTE(annoymous1234 @ Sep 27 2020, 10:17 AM)
myeg monday will fly, all in
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whats yr tp?

QUOTE
MYEG

Announced Date Change Type Shares Name
25 Sep 2020 22 Sep 2020 Acquired 2,000,000 EMPLOYEES PROVIDENT FUND BOARD



SUSlowya
post Sep 28 2020, 08:05 PM

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QUOTE(waghyu @ Sep 28 2020, 04:04 PM)
Bintai super easy money, entry 0.685 just prior to halt and exit 0.735 after resumption.
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buy 65c sell 76c in trading range. But bad FA.
SUSlowya
post Sep 28 2020, 08:19 PM

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QUOTE(tommy2468 @ Sep 28 2020, 03:21 PM)
And MMAG as well~~ road to Holland~
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saw that coming, their cost is 37c, only below can beat them.


QUOTE(silverwave @ Sep 28 2020, 04:26 PM)
TG seems like no energy to move
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buy 8 sell 9 trading range

QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 28 2020, 06:46 PM)
EPF... the acquisition of TG shares continued on Sep 23.
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KWP and EPF have been buying Tenaga, safe.

TG Total they have 6,417,205 EMPLOYEES PROVIDENT FUND BOARD if my calc correct.

QUOTE(joeblow @ Sep 28 2020, 07:07 PM)
I am quite vested now in banking, BAT, Tenaga

I am very heavily vested in CIMB shares
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Despite current price below big boy cost at 10.5 considered ok, BAT revenue & div has been consistently declining since 2015, not sure what do u see.

assuming i have to force myself to buy cimb, with monthly chart pointing to buy at 2.15 and sell at 3.00.

apparently your definition of cheap need to be revisited.


SUSlowya
post Sep 29 2020, 08:14 AM

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time for finance, energy and properties stocks to move.
SUSlowya
post Sep 29 2020, 08:34 AM

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Bursa Malaysia have extended the temporary margin financing flexibilities to 31 December 2020.


SUSlowya
post Sep 29 2020, 09:08 AM

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QUOTE(theberry @ Sep 29 2020, 08:36 AM)
Foreign net sold 292m yesterday
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any idea who they are specifically?

which FF is the biggest in msia?
SUSlowya
post Sep 29 2020, 04:25 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Sep 29 2020, 03:26 PM)
I am catching a falling knife - SCGM. Now down about -13%.

Please come and join me.  biggrin.gif
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ok queue 3 to sell at 3.5
SUSlowya
post Sep 30 2020, 10:03 AM

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QUOTE(enixcv123 @ Sep 30 2020, 09:58 AM)
pick up some scgm, wait for profit :-)
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FA solid but large selling volume too high for comfort
SUSlowya
post Sep 30 2020, 10:12 AM

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QUOTE(kembayang @ Sep 30 2020, 10:07 AM)
Any idea what are the other companies that are worth to look into?
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TSRCAP at current price worth checking out.
SUSlowya
post Sep 30 2020, 11:24 AM

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QUOTE(annoymous1234 @ Sep 30 2020, 10:08 AM)
can check bioalpha? still stuck on this. dunno if i should cut loss or got hope or not sweat.gif
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depends on: yr net worth, account size, trade size, entry price, and risk tolerence.

so only you can answer that.
SUSlowya
post Sep 30 2020, 11:30 AM

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QUOTE(waghyu @ Sep 30 2020, 11:26 AM)
Many take too long to think of cutting losses. Unless have ready cash to buy more at lower levels.
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guilty of that, a slight glimpse of hope could turn into disaster in trading.
SUSlowya
post Sep 30 2020, 12:34 PM

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QUOTE(waghyu @ Sep 30 2020, 11:39 AM)
XOX 0.135 entry.
Bintai 0.550 entry.

All goreng stock, high risk as usual. Its just money game. Money make more money. Good luck.
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heading to

0.085
0.395
SUSlowya
post Oct 1 2020, 10:11 AM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Oct 1 2020, 09:52 AM)
Good morning folks.

FGV down about -7%. Please don't think that it is a bargain. There is no margin of safety. The likelihood of being slaughtered is very high.

A good example is XOX and Kanger. Now down -11.54% and -13.89%. That's the risk we take when we play with pure goreng stocks. You win big or you lose big.
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support level

FGV 1.02
XOX 0.09
Kanger 0.115

QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 1 2020, 09:57 AM)
gloves... harta ex-div today... good rebound.
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support level

Harta 14.9



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