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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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Syie9^_^
post Jan 9 2021, 07:05 PM

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QUOTE(MedElite23 @ Jan 9 2021, 07:28 PM)
I’ll be frank and go ahead to ask this, see if anyone is raw enough to give an honest answer.

How important is it to have your portfolio stay green at a given moment? There’s no shame to admitting to your losses in public man..in fact I find those who share their losses are armoured with good virtues like humility, courage and perseverance  notworthy.gif

IMO coming from fundamental investor POV, there has to be a time when your portfolio will be in red. When?

When you are “buying low”.

Because chances are you don’t know where is the rock bottom, you WILL end up catching a falling knife, either by will/ by circumstance. So there will be a time when your portfolio make you look the most foolish person on earth while waiting to reap your harvest harhaha..

If your portfolio is green ALL THE TIME, it may mean two things:
1.) you’ve not touched your holdings for many years they all have appreciated to multiples that don’t warrant often portfolio rebalancing, which is rare when emotions are involved.

Or....

2.) you chase high and buy only green counters. In this case your overall paper gain will be short-lived. Because whatever that goes up must....  tongue.gif

Inb4 this applies to FA-list only ok. Cheers! thumbsup.gif
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When you are “buying low”, there never the concept of stop loss carry with them. As far I know most what FA camp. wink.gif
DCA strategy will be the atypical FA investor.

What happened with most FA vs TA, FA sometime can picked the wrong stock at right time OR right stock at wrong time and continue the HoDL religion without knowing where they are and how long praying for gains.

That can be very damaging staying on With one camp.

Correct me

This post has been edited by Syie9^_^: Jan 9 2021, 07:14 PM
Syie9^_^
post Jan 9 2021, 07:10 PM

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QUOTE(Kadaj @ Jan 9 2021, 08:28 PM)
Make a call with tan sri and ask him what's his target price and we help him push together.  brows.gif
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1000x current price laugh.gif Look, we r anchovies of big game, the whales are institutional player and FF.

A call to LWC, will result in an extrapolated graph in his own target, which will not yield me any good.

Its like asking Tesla-Elon Musk, What is your target price? and he`ll go,

user posted image

p/s: that colluding to push price up.

Pass me your contact, i`ll get SC come strip you naked. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by Syie9^_^: Jan 9 2021, 07:11 PM
Syie9^_^
post Jan 9 2021, 07:25 PM

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QUOTE(MedElite23 @ Jan 9 2021, 08:08 PM)
Definitely possible to have made mistakes for reasons you mentioned..

What would I do..? Does it matter ah? Hahaha..

Ok la..

1.) sell.
2.) depends on what is the stock, I have the weakness of “falling in love” with a stock. So I have tendency to hold onto a stock just because I love the company for whatever reason (think management) even if I later found out I might have bought it at a relatively high multiple. Ended up paying the price of waiting for longer periods until the share price eventually reach the multiple I paid for.
3.) depends on what company again, if it is net cash with good management, proven track record, can sit through the rough patch with them if got holding power.

Traders would’ve left long time ago..

I’d like to call myself an investor for two reasons..

A) I can’t imagine myself trading having to compete with people like you who can draw nice lines and have the discipline to do simulation/notes (and by the way happens to trade for a living haha! tongue.gif )

B) No time to closely monitor the market haha..my patients deserve full attention  tongue.gif
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Hi Sis,

If you have free time, learn another trick/startegy/schoolofthought, Trend Follower.

They dont do what everyone does in FA/TA. Only pick the best tool, to make the best trade and invest strategy.

I encourage you to check upon, Michael Covel books below,

user posted image

user posted image

But these strategy are not the overall answer to our stock selection,investing strategy and buy calls.

No body can predict the future stock prices and time.


Syie9^_^
post Jan 9 2021, 09:01 PM

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QUOTE(MedElite23 @ Jan 9 2021, 08:54 PM)
Yup, cut loss doesn’t exist for fundamental investors, sell is the term used instead..but both mean the same thing la loosely speaking..

Without getting into the nitty gritty, I think the chances of choosing a wrong stock is relatively low if one has done his/her homework, if not what does “value” investing mean to them to begin with..?

That is not to say they won’t make mistakes la, after all valuation of a company may vary from one person to another, the gap in between allows mistakes to occur..opportunity loss is the price to pay for..

Generally, as long as the company does well in terms of earning, the share price will follow.. time is the edge investors have..

Cheers  biggrin.gif
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Hmm...

Sell is sell, Cut-Loss is Cut Loss. Never mix-up the terms. But I'm referring to STOP-LOSS.

Sell can be magnified to -100% loss sell and the investor stomach all the losses and left dry hanging. Like counters that gone into cold storage after Years in stock market.

Cut-loss is like you got cancer, you got to cut it, no choice. Or else you`ll die.

stop-loss is a strategy with a risk management in play. Eg, Like you got cut from a blade/glasses due to unexpected accident, will you continue letting it bleed or will you do something about it?. . I`m sure you will know what to do.

If you are not careful, also can lead you to having amenia, because too much loss of blood.

like Warren Buffet, there`s many way looking at value. Timing/Patience/Long game. But before going into that realm, you got to begin with Benjamin Graham. That is his real school of thoughts.

Warren Buffett, Coca-Cola was never great at start and only sold handful in it early years , but able to keep rolling like snowball till now, and you`ll still drink it.

Be it recession, or growing economy, depression Or the world went to war...or the asteroid coming to collide, or Elon musk set foot on Mars..

Coca-Cola will always be, Ahhhh that feeling. rclxm9.gif

And growing company, over X time will build value, people, culture. Some will aged well to 5 generation while some will aged as we are or maybe just a day company.

Warren Buffett have gave us all good wisdom of value investing that he learnt from Benjamin Graham..and maybe in about another 50 years into future, we might have another Value Investor. It could be anyone.

Just 2cent laugh.gif










Syie9^_^
post Jan 9 2021, 09:16 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jan 9 2021, 10:04 PM)
Strong conviction in one's reasoning is the strength and also the weakness of the investor. A good investor believes in their valuation, which is very good cos when the stock falls, they have the conviction to buy more cause they believe that what they are doing is correct. Most of the time, this is when and how they make the big bucks.

But unfortunately, this could also be the biggest downfall. The strong conviction to hold the stock, despite it falling could cause serious damage if the investor fail to acknowledge that they were wrong with their investment reasoning.
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yes big Dragon wub.gif Well written thumbsup.gif

Apologize to all for my thoughts here and there with some weak sentences.

Athena here is overheating cause by crunching future algorithms of market at same time thus need to go hibernate for few hours. laugh.gif More xamzolam rclxm9.gif


Syie9^_^
post Jan 9 2021, 09:55 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 9 2021, 11:00 PM)
Yes rss shall not pass. laugh.gif so Short seller, was Gandalf. rolleyes.gif

"throwing more money to defend the opened short positions might not be the best course of action for the short seller."

Ouch, got drag downed.

Maybe Monday will be

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EmTz7EAYLrs

laugh.gif
Syie9^_^
post Jan 9 2021, 10:24 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 9 2021, 11:29 PM)
ss/jpm is balrog. biggrin.gif

user posted image
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user posted image

user posted image

Really! 40 B on Tesla laugh.gif doh.gif
Syie9^_^
post Jan 9 2021, 10:36 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 10 2021, 12:03 AM)
gandalf represents the retailers. biggrin.gif

while gandalf the grey fell with balrog down the abyss, imprisoned by saruman in isengard, he eventually use a moth to call on the great eagle for rescue.

gandalf the white will emerge soon. laugh.gif
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I know Gandalf will be back, waiting for Light the Beacons earlier.!!! icon_idea.gif

but really, -40B..can one stomach? puke.gif
Syie9^_^
post Jan 9 2021, 10:42 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jan 9 2021, 11:59 PM)
I have read Michael Covel’s books on Trend Trading. It contains a lot of Zen like saying. Very philosophical. Nothing wrong with that but someone might ask ‘But where are the trading techniques ???”

Maybe for an alternative book, you can try “The Ultimate Day Trader” by Jacob Bernstein.

No right or wrong answer. Different investors/traders have different styles. 

Some like to drive a sports car at 180 km per hour to reach the destination faster. But sometimes the driving skill is not good enough. Crashed and burned.

Some prefer to take the train to reach the same destination. Slow and steady but safer.
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Jack Sparrow philosophy will do. laugh.gif

user posted image

Syie9^_^
post Jan 9 2021, 10:43 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 10 2021, 12:08 AM)
that 40b is too much la... but it happens.
Rohirrim!! bruce.gif
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Just imagine that is Penang economy alone laugh.gif the ripple affects mega_shok.gif
Syie9^_^
post Jan 10 2021, 10:47 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jan 10 2021, 10:21 AM)
So many good sharing....  icon_idea.gif  icon_idea.gif  thumbup.gif

Wasn't in a very good frame yesterday evening to give few kupang opinions....  rolleyes.gif  tongue.gif

the FA vs TA thingy.... okay I am not going down that dark rabbit hole but instead I'm gonna say this.... it really doesn't matter. Putting everything aside, there's a lot of similarities... a lot of good stuff, which basically says the same thing...

My fav Buffett quote is 'Our favorite holding period is forever.'
Now one my favorite quote is 'the big money is in the waiting' ....

which basically for me, it tells me not to play in and out of the stock market, hold it longer and you will reap the big profits .....
and in trading ... it says .... if I wanna win big, I gotta stay IN the trade for as long as possible (until I see the sell signal lo)

there's more ... but I better not be so long wind ....  laugh.gif  icon_rolleyes.gif
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even Warren Buffett bought wrong into market last year with his airlines "investment" laugh.gif but the shareholder of BA, Hodl whistling.gif

More wind, more story please wub.gif
Syie9^_^
post Jan 10 2021, 11:04 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jan 10 2021, 12:05 PM)
Yes. Emotions. That's one huge, huge factor.

Those that know me earlier in the stock forums, would know that I don't go cheering my stock if it goes up. Yes, fortunately that's how I was taught. 'Control your bloody emotions. If you can't, the stock markets is not for you.' That's what drilled to me since day 1. Hence for me, focus is very important. Eyes on the ball. Even when in the market is in deep in the red, I do watch which stocks are holding on well or even trying to build on a trend. That's what helped me last April. I was looking but not really looking in the deep end. Instead I was looking at which stocks that are showing strength. (in more simple lingo... in a market of continuous red, instead of looking of seeking gold in the red, I was seeking out which of the green was the better choice. ya.. such strategy, not for everyone but just sharing... )

And yes, of course I understand your situation. Work comes first. wink.gif

Anyway, what I am trying to say is the constant distractions caused by the constant noise on short selling etc etc, does no one any good at all. Because the eyes isn't on the ball anymore. And yes, on the 4th, many were simply too distracted by all the noise on the short sellers. Stock crashing down, short sellers this la, short sellers that la .... how could they have concentrated on that piece of gold news on midday?

by the way... try search more on trend lines. Very basic stuff. It might be useful for someone like you,

In simplicity ... if the main trend line is a line moving up .... the stock will continue to move up unless the stock price falls below the trend line... meaning a reversal of the direction of the stock.

How will it work for you? If you are busy at work... just leave the stock as it is. Cause you know Mr. Market is taking care of the stock for you.

Now if the stock trend line is moving down ... it literally means the stock will continue to move down .... unless the stock breakouts of the trend line... indicating a trend reversal.

How will it work for you? Well...  no matter what our opinion of the stock, the stock will continue to move down as indicated by the trend line. Unless it changes direction. If you are holding ... why jump into a lift when you know it is going down? If you wanna buy? why don't you wait till the trend change?

Simple ideas... which I know you could improvise and perfect to suit yourself.

Let me show you in pictures... it's hindsight but ....it's very enlightening. (I hope)

The stock had that peak in mid Oct. (Oct 20). Of course we wouldn't know that that was the peak...

But after that... we saw the sell down the next day... ok... we cannot be sure... see below...

user posted image

the next few days... the stock traded lower.... see lower...
user posted image

ok ... maybe it's starting to decline for real... how about drawing the TREND LINE now... so we draw one....

user posted image

now... this would have been decision time, yes?

Right there and then...  one could have sold around 7.4 or so ..... (no need to ride the stock all the way below 6) 
now if I extend that trend line... it would have looked like this below.....

user posted image
Would it have helped?
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then what next? brows.gif
Syie9^_^
post Jan 10 2021, 11:11 AM

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QUOTE(lauwenhan @ Jan 10 2021, 12:06 PM)
I put money in Bitcoin and this is so fucking stupid. Keeps going up wtf
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if you dont want the bitcoin, you can give me. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by Syie9^_^: Jan 10 2021, 11:25 AM
Syie9^_^
post Jan 10 2021, 11:32 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jan 10 2021, 12:50 PM)
That fella.. laugh.gif

Watch what he does and not what he says laugh.gif
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I`m just waiting the day he(WB) say, I`ll have some stake in Bitcoin. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by Syie9^_^: Jan 10 2021, 11:32 AM
Syie9^_^
post Jan 10 2021, 12:30 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jan 10 2021, 01:45 PM)
Difficult to progress if you cannot get that FOMO monster out of you. wink.gif

On fake trading...there's so much you can do....

You need that 666 book. Write down the exact price you think the entry should be. Jot down why. Jot down how you will play it.

That's for starters.

From there.. you know roughly what style trading you are good at. Hopefully you discover your weak points too.

Then move on to the challenging part. The big test.

Prepare yourselves. Arm yourself with 100k of fakeness. Test it over a period but remember 100k is all you got. You lose it all, you failed. Challenge yourself. 6 months. 12 months. See your results...
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Did I hear FOMO?

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


This post has been edited by Syie9^_^: Jan 10 2021, 12:31 PM
Syie9^_^
post Jan 10 2021, 12:49 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 10 2021, 02:11 PM)
not a problem... over time, u learn how to filter/ignore the noise u find useless or simply garbage!
careful there... grogu exhibits fears like young anakin.... maybe turn out to be another darth! laugh.gif
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» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

Syie9^_^
post Jan 10 2021, 12:57 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 10 2021, 02:21 PM)
Bursa/share investment has been around since time immemorial. Many boomers were gold fingers at one period of time and many millennium are following the same path.

For reasons, only about 4% of adults in this country have over us$100k net worth.
*
Much Gold finger got chopped in 1997 AFC, and further down 2008.

If one have not participated full time and just buy the dips!, now they are more than 100K USD net worth.

This post has been edited by Syie9^_^: Jan 10 2021, 12:59 PM
Syie9^_^
post Jan 10 2021, 01:10 PM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jan 10 2021, 02:37 PM)
Also some bought at dip got delisted, whatnot and become worthless. A reason why many boomers shy away from bursa.
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Buy what is will be scarcity value building in future, Not what is available CHEAP. That will be delisted.
Syie9^_^
post Jan 10 2021, 01:14 PM

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QUOTE(Duckies @ Jan 10 2021, 02:40 PM)
Another question. For those long term FA investor, what do you do when market crash? Cash out or hold then come back few years later?
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cut-loss, position stop-loss or DCA which depends how much your dry powder available.

OR just be

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


Then while looking at your stock a year later,

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

Syie9^_^
post Jan 10 2021, 01:26 PM

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QUOTE(Duckies @ Jan 10 2021, 02:48 PM)
Yea, always a tough choice to make. You know it's a good company with good fundamental so it'll recover in time. But you can't help but to think what if I cut loss now and enter at a lower price and hold.

Example your current price is 2. Stock crash causes it to drop to 1. Then after 1 or 2 year it climbs back to 2. So if you cut at 1.5-1.8 and get into it like 1-.1.2 then you get more profit.

But then it somehow contradicts to long term FA investor strategy? hmm.gif
*
One best example for me in FA camp lesson was this stock. 5292

EP-1.47 in 2019, a week later sold at 1.23. A Loss? Yes.

If I had Not sold, Or maybe bought more in 2 week march 2020 crash,

Today Price @ Jan 10, 2021 = 9.20! bangwall.gif bangwall.gif bangwall.gif Highest, 10.288.

still A bangwall.gif bangwall.gif bangwall.gif

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