QUOTE(BoonieTan @ Feb 7 2021, 10:39 PM)
Was there a structural decline in the business since 2018? The decline started from then.
Stock price always follows company's earnings in the long run, hence the decline of a company's share price over a protracted period definitely warrants some digging into the financial statements.
Tenaga's Debt-to-Equity ratio was 0.48 in 2016. As of the latest quarter, we're looking at D/E of 0.92, nearly doubled in the span of little over 4 years.
Despite being the monopoly in the utility sector, the business itself is not really profitable as they simply do not have the pricing power being a government linked company.
Ps: if you have time do observe around your neighbourhood to check if their lights, air-conditioner seem to be always switched on? you know the drill.
Anyway, flipping through their annual reports you'll also find the incremental debt is partly contributed by R&D in renewable energy sector.
In 2018, political instability started emerging due to the change in political party. Foreign investors never liked uncertainty, since then they have been slowly pulling out from our bursa..
The unexpected pandemic that came later certainly wasn't helping the situation...
That is enough to explain why the share price has been sliding....
Many people know these reasons, but they decide to buy into the company anyway, simply with the believe that it is a monopoly business, it cannot go bankrupt, and of course, it will come back.
*But you know as some of us have said, when the share price falls we always try to explain it with different reasons, sometimes it may be irrelevant already....it's all retrospective discussion...though there may be a certain extent of truth in it...*
This post has been edited by MedElite23: Feb 7 2021, 11:28 PM