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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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Kar Weng
post Feb 19 2021, 07:11 PM

Kar Weng | Physiotherapist
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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Feb 19 2021, 12:46 AM)
I entered too late. The valuation is too rich for me now. I would be lucky to even get 7% profit based on my entry price today.
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Kenanga gave it a TP of 3.10 so no worries I guess?
Kar Weng
post Feb 20 2021, 12:45 AM

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QUOTE(statikinetic @ Feb 19 2021, 08:08 PM)
I am one of those who was skeptical of Mr DIY and thought it was not worth the intrinsic value.
Shows what I know about Bursa movements. Still think it is grossly overpriced though. But FA does not matter.
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If FA does not matter, then what matters?
Kar Weng
post Feb 21 2021, 01:56 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Feb 20 2021, 11:41 PM)
Cis. No fun! So fast guessed correctly already. sad.gif
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Why do you think Fajar has good FA? Just wondering
Kar Weng
post Feb 21 2021, 07:04 PM

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Anyone holding Serbadk? smile.gif
Kar Weng
post Feb 21 2021, 10:59 PM

Kar Weng | Physiotherapist
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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Feb 21 2021, 08:11 PM)
According to some studies, about 30% of bursa counters price movement is no different from gambling.
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That’s an understatement.
Kar Weng
post Feb 22 2021, 02:44 AM

Kar Weng | Physiotherapist
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QUOTE(pinksapphire @ Feb 21 2021, 11:36 PM)
Me...thinking of just selling it off for a loss cuz I entered high. You?
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What is your average acquisition price? I entered quite high and averaged down for the whole of 2020 only to be disappointed by the sleeping giant.

It has good fundamentals though, what’s your reason for not waiting and holding for a longer term?
Kar Weng
post Feb 22 2021, 02:59 PM

Kar Weng | Physiotherapist
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QUOTE(pinksapphire @ Feb 22 2021, 09:32 AM)
RM2. I let my losses run deep, so no more of this moving forward...I want to die die one time pain cut those I don't plan to keep for long if they incur beyond 10-15%.

Fundamentals seem to be not a good reference point nowadays. I mean, I used that to keep those stocks I thought could at least maintain, or drop max 10% over the time, but presently, seems that this doesn't work well with me cuz eventually they go >30% lower, sigh...maybe just my luck too.
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RM2 is pretty high for Serbadk in the short and medium term. My 1st buy was at rm1.9 before I slowly pulled it down to around 1.75-1.78.

I won't say I'm very experienced in value investing, but it's been preached by the many experts again and again that over the long run, the most important thing to look at is the company's fundamentals (value investing).
Kar Weng
post Feb 22 2021, 03:53 PM

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QUOTE(theberry @ Feb 22 2021, 03:39 PM)
1400 is coming
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What makes you think so though?
Kar Weng
post Feb 22 2021, 04:07 PM

Kar Weng | Physiotherapist
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QUOTE(theberry @ Feb 22 2021, 03:57 PM)
Foreign run away fast.
GE coming
Penny flying
Bursa not willing to reduce transaction fee.
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Still, 1400 is far fetched

Kar Weng
post Feb 22 2021, 04:19 PM

Kar Weng | Physiotherapist
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QUOTE(howyoulikethat @ Feb 22 2021, 03:56 PM)
Let's share our thoughts.
1. What companies' shares do you think will face correction in next few weeks?
2. What companies are you bullish on?
3. Would you hold shares until end of 2021? If yes, what are those?
4. Even if price dropped 50%, which ones which you will never touch?

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1. Most high PE tech stocks
2. GenM (on vaccination), aviation (but beware of fund raising), banking, TnB, O&G counters
3. Serbadk, GenM, KGB (based on the subsequent QRs)
4. The goreng stocks
Kar Weng
post Feb 22 2021, 04:21 PM

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QUOTE(voyage23 @ Feb 22 2021, 12:23 PM)
Anyone still trapped with SCIB? My average cost RM2.25. Guilty of chasing high. Thinking should I cut loss 🤔
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Is kpower facing similar fate?
Kar Weng
post Feb 22 2021, 04:36 PM

Kar Weng | Physiotherapist
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QUOTE(Randomization @ Feb 22 2021, 04:24 PM)
What happened today?

Seems like retailers got spooked and panic sell.
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Everyone thought the arrival of vaccines on the weekend will spike the market up but it went opposite burning countless counters
Kar Weng
post Feb 22 2021, 04:46 PM

Kar Weng | Physiotherapist
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QUOTE(SGSuser @ Feb 22 2021, 04:37 PM)
you in?  biggrin.gif

serbadk tempting again...itchy hands
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If you’re in for the longer term, welcome to the club!

But if you’re looking for quick gains be prepared to get serbadisappointamic
Kar Weng
post Feb 22 2021, 04:47 PM

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QUOTE(lowya @ Feb 22 2021, 04:38 PM)
the key to win this game is summarized as:

1. solid FA filter (growth and undervalue)
2. trending TA filter
3. small risk high reward precision entry
4. damn good discipline to stick to 1-3.
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The reminder we all need, thank you
Kar Weng
post Feb 22 2021, 04:51 PM

Kar Weng | Physiotherapist
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All people pointing at the emergency to explain the dip today gotta remember that the emergency has been declared for more than a month now.
Kar Weng
post Feb 22 2021, 05:07 PM

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QUOTE(SGSuser @ Feb 22 2021, 05:04 PM)
already in even before covid hits bro

super undervalued
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Haha then just keep collecting. In Karim we trust.

It’s hard to understand why serbadk hasn’t moved as well as scib and kpower?
What’s your avg acquisition price btw?
Kar Weng
post Feb 22 2021, 07:51 PM

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QUOTE(SGSuser @ Feb 22 2021, 05:19 PM)
below 1.6

sentiments arent good, but ceo himself said he thinks it is undervalued and have been collecting himself

so yeah if trust karim then nothg to worry, high & low we ride
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Wow your price point is so good, must still be profiting now, great job! I always top up too high

Why do you think sentiments aren’t good?
Kar Weng
post Feb 22 2021, 07:54 PM

Kar Weng | Physiotherapist
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QUOTE(thecurious @ Feb 22 2021, 05:21 PM)
Since you are so interested in serbadk, you should have noticed the multiple private placements throughout 2020 right? many people dont like it.
you bought some in there? I was interested in that counter but end up didnt buy lol
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As stated above there wasn’t multiple PP.
What I really hate about the PP is that it’s sold on a discount rather than a premium and it’s reserved for insiders. I didn’t have the chance to participate, only ended up with the share value diluted by 10% as the result of increasing shares after PP

That said the PE is still very attractive from a value investing PoV
Kar Weng
post Feb 23 2021, 05:19 PM

Kar Weng | Physiotherapist
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Any GenM holders here? 🙌
Kar Weng
post Feb 23 2021, 05:26 PM

Kar Weng | Physiotherapist
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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Feb 23 2021, 05:20 PM)
My hard lesson in investment. I posted it here before in March 2020 and some of the forumers here laughed their head off. But it's OK. I got no ego issue.  smile.gif

To re-cap. Sometimes in April 2017, I had a hot run in Bursa. Gold finger. Nearly every single stock that I bought went up. By October 2017, my unrealised profit was about RM110K. Not including dividend payment of about RM14K for the year.

Usual story. I got cocky. Nothing can wrong. No cut loss policy. Even when the TA and FA turned sour.

Fast forward. By 2019, loss of about RM190K. Overall portfolio down by -50%.

Moral of the story. Please learn from my mistakes.

Decide early.

1. Are you a trader or a long term investor?
2. To average down or to cut loss when the stock is down -10%?
3. Do you have an entry and exit plan?
4. Diversify across different sectors if possible.
5. For investors, what is your definition of long term? Anything less than 1 to 2 years is only short term.

P/S:  Paper trading or doing things in theory is very different from practice. Read more investment books and trading books. Do not trade stocks with money that you cannot afford to lose. It is a one way road to Holland.

My 2 cents... :thumbsup:
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Thanks for sharing with us your wisdom and experience here! How old are you though? Why do they call you unker here?


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