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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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zstan
post Jun 24 2020, 10:15 AM

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QUOTE(ZeroSOFInfinity @ Jun 24 2020, 09:47 AM)
All other countries are in green, and only ours are in red now. Man that's really bad.
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our recent rally were carried hard by top glove. momentum gone whole klci also stagnant.
zstan
post Jun 24 2020, 05:11 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jun 24 2020, 05:06 PM)
KLCI closed 1502.

nice. biggrin.gif
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still above the psychological support phew.
zstan
post Jun 25 2020, 10:24 PM

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What a come back by DJI & SP500
zstan
post Jun 26 2020, 09:55 AM

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Short sellers conserving energy biggrin.gif
zstan
post Jun 26 2020, 11:18 AM

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QUOTE(silverwave @ Jun 26 2020, 10:45 AM)
Anyone still holding K1? What's your opinion on this share?
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bought at 0.5. still holding
zstan
post Jun 26 2020, 02:20 PM

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QUOTE(silverwave @ Jun 26 2020, 11:48 AM)
My average is at 0.48 but i'm just a bit worried on the dropping trend. Long term, for roughly 3-6 months?  biggrin.gif
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it's a kangaroo market though. will sell only when the price is right i guess.
zstan
post Jun 26 2020, 03:10 PM

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QUOTE(HereToLearn @ Jun 26 2020, 02:35 PM)
negative earnings growth. So making money, but making lesser and lesser with time. Maybe because too much of 'illegal' cigarette floating in the market.
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or maybe just less people smoking...? many are switching to shit products like vape
zstan
post Jun 26 2020, 08:28 PM

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YEAH ALL IN GLOVES ALL IN AIRASIA
zstan
post Jun 29 2020, 08:45 AM

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QUOTE(jvcpcv55 @ Jun 29 2020, 08:05 AM)
FOR those who like warrants
TOPGLOV-Call Warrants
Author: i3gambler 

user posted image
Make reference to the above screen shot.

First we look at TOPGLOV target prices given by investment banks.

TOPGLOV released their latest quarterly result on 11th June 2020,

Therefore I capture only those target prices given on the same day or later,

Thanks to i3investor.com for the listing the target prices.

The average target price are sky high, an upside room of 44.74%, very rare for a blue chip.

Now, to calculate the fair value of call warrants, we need inputs to the calculation, the two critical and arguable inputs are:

1) Interest:

Common practice:

Input the risk free interest rate, in our current case, should be around 2%

My preference:

50% of the upside room of 44.74%, equal to 22.37%, then plus the dividend yield, but subject to a maximum value of  8.00%.

2) Volatility:

Common Practice:

Calculate from the last 90 trading days, and assume same volatility will be maintained in coming months.

My preference:

Same calculation, but subject to a maximum value, in this case I choose 30%.





Make reference to the following two screen shots:

1) Column C:

The middle price at 4.30 pm on Friday, 26th June 2020.

2) Column M:

Fair values calculated using 200 steps binomial method.

3) Column L:

Fair Value over Market Price.

user posted image


Discussion:

1) At a very unlikely chance, I could have put wrongly the expiry, exercise price or exercise ratio, so please double check at www.bursamalaysia.com if you want to trade any of call warrants.

2) Currently I do not have any TOPGLOV call warrant, and not like will buy any of them.

3) Trade at your own risk.

user posted image
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analyse for people but ownself didn't buy laugh.gif
zstan
post Jun 29 2020, 11:48 AM

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Markets slowly inching downwards. nothing much to post about laugh.gif
zstan
post Jun 30 2020, 12:18 AM

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QUOTE(jvcpcv55 @ Jun 29 2020, 10:24 PM)
which stock tell you can last for 5 10 years????

genting?
felda?
LC titan?
Petronas?

all dropped.

why don't focus on what can make for next months instate of the next 10 years
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That's why.. Buy the index.. It will only go up laugh.gif
zstan
post Jun 30 2020, 08:45 AM

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QUOTE(ronnie @ Jun 30 2020, 12:25 AM)
How to buy index ?
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QUOTE(lowya @ Jun 30 2020, 08:21 AM)
ETF in bursa:

CHINAETF-USD
CHINAETF-MYR
PAM-A40M
PAM-C50
METFAPA
METFUS50
METFSID
MYETFID
ABFMY1
MYETFDJ
FBMKLCI-EA
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but Malaysia's ETF very very small volume though. price movement not much.
zstan
post Jun 30 2020, 09:00 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jun 30 2020, 08:55 AM)
ETFs in bursa somehow never caught on, not popular, illiquid.

but bank's units trusts take blardy high commission, yet people still buy! biggrin.gif
that will b nice... can buy some more. tongue.gif
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ETF not much commission mah so nobody wanna push lol. majority stocks not doing well alsoo.
zstan
post Jun 30 2020, 09:01 AM

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https://www.ambankgroup.com/sites/fbmklciet...es/default.aspx

aah the FBM KLCI ETF managed by AmBank. interesting
zstan
post Jun 30 2020, 09:07 AM

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GREEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEN
zstan
post Jun 30 2020, 02:56 PM

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QUOTE(theberry @ Jun 30 2020, 02:23 PM)
dow jones in red already
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QUOTE(theberry @ Jun 30 2020, 02:46 PM)
future is  red  console.gif
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- 50 points only. still got hope.
zstan
post Jul 2 2020, 02:10 PM

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QUOTE(kuai_chai @ Jul 2 2020, 12:55 PM)
some glove stocks today didn't fly as yesterday..
need to consider is this the end of the hype?
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seems like everybody will have this question laugh.gif

analysts all say TP at RM20 eh laugh.gif
zstan
post Jul 3 2020, 09:07 AM

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WOOTS BANKS CUMBACK.
zstan
post Jul 3 2020, 10:20 AM

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my maybank back to green rclxm9.gif what happened ah.
zstan
post Jul 3 2020, 11:25 AM

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QUOTE(ZeroSOFInfinity @ Jul 3 2020, 10:56 AM)
See who's been buying shares for last few days, and you'll understand.
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EPF?

they everyday also buying MBB wor

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