this operator very hardworking for 6 months!


today INARI has the highest positive nett cash inflow among all BURSA stocks.



This post has been edited by skty: May 17 2021, 11:10 PM

although Bursa has many green today, the $$$ is still pathetic.


the description is "the ignorance selling to the smart when the stock is on weakness".

for glove, we can guess many scenario, but it's just probability. If you invest in probability, you are playing with fire because your margin of safety might be wrong.

just do what you are comfortable with.

do you feel comfortable if you just calculate the intrinsic value by taking the pre-pandemic ASP x the new capacity + the cash on hand generated from this super profit period?

any extension of super profit will only generate more cash to add into the intrinsic value.

finally O&G sector start moving after brent oil rebound

CA show me oil will have a turning point 3rd week of May (small turning point) and final week of June (the big one).

Hopefully you guys can benefit by starting to strategies your position in O&G like I did with gold.

I did highlight gold and silver last month based on CA.

this is the reason why I say Jerome Powell and Janet Yallen are bullshit-ing.

only those without knowledge and experience will believe their words.

CA showing me things that are so persistently same after every month of updates with latest world economy billions of data.

Study back history you can know what will follow when oil price double up within a year.

Study back history you can know what will happen when bond market bubble burst.

War cycle that I mentioned few months ago has been persistently happening. Trade wars, Myanmar, Israel, whatever.

We are very near already. This opportunity happen only once in every 10 years.

I laughed when Biden launch major infrastructure projects to move the US economy. This only give opportunity for China to speed up the inflation.

Everything happen for a reason. If you can see through things, you would not believe there is random walk in market.

The smart money going into sector and position themselves well before the hoo-haa and retail investors chase in when all good news announced.

The rich is controlling the world and one of the major reason cryptocurrency thrive because the young ones are fed up of it.

operator start throwing in money back into market

raya stock PRIVA finally reaching near my first TP.

Guess I will take some profit first.

Huh? Turning point mean the price will change in direction.

If currently is uptrend, then it will change to sideway or downtrend. Vise versa.

Mid June will have a turning point (I believe is correction) until final week of June then the big trend coming.

I cannot advise anything as I am not qualified.

What I myself will do, I will track and follow the smart money.

I will ride the melt-up in DJI and then exit in strength and wait patiently for shorting.

When everyone rushing in to buy, it's the time to sell.

Whatever majority of people do, I will do the opposite.

In China, there are people operating business where they hire young graduates, provide them basic salary and a lump sum of "war chest" to play stock market. Didn't provide them with any training. If they win money in stock market, they get bonus. If they lose money, they still get basic salary. Those business owners earn so much money when those young graduates lose money. They lose money when the graduates win money.

I have been experimenting with the AI bot on shorting during last two weeks, getting ready for 2H2021.

The business owner hire another team who do whatever opposite of those young graduates do.

The young graduates buy stock "A", they sell/short stock "A". Because young graduates always buy at high price as they do not know how to take profit. Greed.

The young graduates sell stock "B", they buy stock "B". Because young graduates always sell at low price as they do not know how to cut loss. Fear.

Business owner role represent smart ass retailer trying to act as smart money without having the knowledge.

Young graduate role represent typical retail investor/trader.

Sound familiar? Yeah, that's what stock market, commodity market, forex market, whatever market is it.

This is real story. Not a fairy tale.

today I did two mistakes that caused me miss the intraday boat of CAREPLS and ADVENTA.

didn't make 20% profit from CAREPLS or ADVENTA but I think what I learned from today mistake worth more than 200%.

sold off the remaining PRIVA this morning. I still got 3 raya stocks haven't move. Probably need to wait longer considering weak market sentiment. Operators are holding back the $$$.

today suppose to be a shopping day for me but I hold back and stick to my plan not to hold any more new potential stock until end of May / early June where the turning point of US market is.

there will be a turning point next week but both turning points are too near apart each other so I will skip it.




btw, I see many here start to worry about inflation.

it won't come so fast, yet.

CA showing me bond yield turning point is on 2nd week of June.

Next turning point is on end June / early July. This is the one I am waiting for.

This post has been edited by skty: May 19 2021, 06:02 PM

I see crypto bloodbath today. My heart feel bad for those youngsters who are crazy about it. They get manipulated by the rich aka the smart money again.

I warned earlier. I hope none of you guys get hit by crypto.

If yes, take it a lesson and hope you learn something. Money can always earn back.

If you don't know how and when to exit, at least you must be discipline enough to execute your trailing stop loss.

CA never predict thing. It show turning point. It trigger me to look at the chart and figure out myself what is the possible scenario.

And I exit based on TA. You look at the chart and you can find many similarities with glove during October 2020.

lucky bought back KARYON at 0.240...

so fast form handle and breakout...


i so sturborn still don't wanna buy SASBADI...

today up 26%

This post has been edited by skty: May 20 2021, 03:47 PM

TA is about human greed and fear.

It can be applied on any chart as long as the participants are human.

Human nature will never change. That's why 90% of the population are struggling.

You look at the chart. Simple way of saying, frequency of deep pull back is getting more and the volume is shrinking.

Smart money is running away while the ignorance retailers are taking over their ticket.

come qbuy AAX with me everyday.

my qbuy price is a bet that is even better than take money go casino.

until now haven't match my price. haha

Hello. Apologies for late reply as I no longer track this thread. Saw notification of your tagging and came to see what is it about.

First and foremost, I am not sifu. Not qualified to be one.

Good to know that you have learnt a lot from my posts. I hope you have taken actions as well because knowledge is useless, applied knowledge is powerful.

Regarding your question about CA turning point, I have done my part and warned enough about 2H2021.

Below is my view, same view and I am always wrong:

In 2H2021, whoever that invest based on fundamental and have the buy and hold mentality will feel the same experience as the recent price decline of SERBADK. Warren Buffett is no exception to that as well. He knows that and he is holding tons of cash that can double his net worth when the blood is shed. Retailers do not have those kind of cash reserves, so be careful of your capital. 4Q2022 will be the time for value investing to shine again. I am excited to see what WB will do in 4Q2022.

Pay attention to what the rich and wealthy society is doing. This time round, divorce has been used as the smoke bomb to preserve wealth. Their net worth will double up again when the crisis is over.

Pay attention to how the repo market is doing. Things are getting real bad with bunch of PHD working in the government trying to outsmart the free market. No one can fight against the free market, not even US government.

Pay attention to the rate of China's disposing the US bonds. I hope they know what to do, and do it fast. If not they are going to be hurt real bad. Bonds are the trigger for all upcoming dooms.

I have been mentioning there will be a melt-up. I believe it has started. With that believe, I have entered to participate in the anticipated melt-up. Those whom God wishes to destroy, he first makes mad. I will enter into shorting mindset after the melt-up.

Those are my 2 cents. Wish you good luck in all your doings and stay safe.

Signing off from this thread. Peace.

I'm here to warn - get out of Tech stocks while you still can.

I have exited almost all my long positions in US market.

Left a few will exit by next week. Will re-enter after October.

Those news don't make much difference to my decision making now as the nature of news is reporting something that already happen.

Whatever news that is reporting about, it's already taken in calculations in CA forecast months ago. Unless it's a black swan event.



When crash come, most retailers will panic sell. Then comes a V shape rebound.

By then, most retailers will feel that they shouldn't panic sell. They also didn't buy back at the starting of rebound. Regret.

When second crash come months later, they will think they are experienced already. They no longer panic sell, and they buy with confidence when price crash.

The difference now is, the price never rebound, and, can't see any bottoming sign in near future.

I don't really look into the QR, what is the valuation or what IB reports are shouting about.

QR is like majority of news. Talking about story that is past tense. But some news are useful. We ourselves should know how to filter noises in the news.

Valuation or some call as PE is like using the past to give a value. I value a stock based on the future cash flow and I exit when the price reach it's full potential.

So the next question normally ppl will ask me is how does an outsider can know the potential of a stock (or you can refer to the business behind that stock) as good as the insider?

Simple answer: You cannot be researching about every companies in the world. So track the smart monies and do homework.

6 months ago I openly mentioned that I buying KGB when the share price was dropping. Smart monies were keep buying from retailers and yet many were panic selling.

Some who were daring, bought it but quickly sold it for tiny profit when it rebounds. This is classic retailer mindset. This is because they don't know what they are buying into.

6 months down the road which is now, those who are still holding tight for it to reach it's full potential are sitting on at least 60% profit together with the free warrants (could be more if you are good in trading as there are at least 3 cycles to play in between).

Anyway, I am coming back here just to give a reminder of what I said earlier. I'd feel glad even if there is only one person that manage to avoid the crash because of my reminder.

I am off. Good luck and stay safe.