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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V150

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SUSlowya
post Jun 19 2020, 11:27 AM

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watch ARBB guys
SUSlowya
post Jun 19 2020, 11:57 AM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jun 19 2020, 11:37 AM)
I think Komark is better.
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every quarter lose money = better?
SUSlowya
post Jun 19 2020, 11:58 AM

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QUOTE(cucubud @ Jun 19 2020, 11:30 AM)
KNM is RED today. Cannot move up?
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is that a question that require yes and no?
SUSlowya
post Jun 19 2020, 12:02 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jun 19 2020, 11:58 AM)
Trading buy only. Goreng stock. It has been on an uptrend for the past 3 weeks?
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fundamentally it's a liability to consistently lose money, not even an asset. ponder.
SUSlowya
post Jun 22 2020, 09:05 AM

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check out ADVENTA
SUSlowya
post Jun 22 2020, 10:08 AM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jun 22 2020, 09:52 AM)
Good morning folks.

Glove stocks are holding steady. Banking stocks are slowly bleeding these past few weeks. Maybank may offer an interesting entry price soon.

BAT may be worth a bat if it falls to RM10.

GenM may be a turnaround stock - Peter Lynch style. The Genting Premium Outlet was packed on Sunday. It was scary. I was queuing up to enter and decided to go back to KL for fear of Covid-19. The crowd was like pasar malam. 😃
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as of now, prefer stay away from finance/construction/property stocks.

your Adventa is looking good now bro, what price u collected? maybe can reach 1.75 today.

Bat is a good entry now TA wise, but FA wise i won't touch.
SUSlowya
post Jun 23 2020, 10:00 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 23 2020, 09:47 AM)
which means it will bounce soon.
SUSlowya
post Jun 25 2020, 02:15 PM

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DSONIC revenue drop, maybe take profit will happen.

ZECON report not bad.
SUSlowya
post Jun 26 2020, 10:37 AM

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check out SIGGAS 45c now.
SUSlowya
post Jun 29 2020, 11:00 AM

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for now just stay away from finance, properties, construction, consumer, plantation.

only certain tech, industrial, and reit is hanging on.
SUSlowya
post Jun 30 2020, 08:21 AM

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QUOTE(ronnie @ Jun 30 2020, 12:25 AM)
How to buy index ?
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ETF in bursa:

CHINAETF-USD
CHINAETF-MYR
PAM-A40M
PAM-C50
METFAPA
METFUS50
METFSID
MYETFID
ABFMY1
MYETFDJ
FBMKLCI-EA

SUSlowya
post Jun 30 2020, 08:33 AM

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QUOTE(jvcpcv55 @ Jun 29 2020, 08:05 AM)
FOR those who like warrants
TOPGLOV-Call Warrants
Author: i3gambler 

user posted image
Make reference to the above screen shot.

First we look at TOPGLOV target prices given by investment banks.

TOPGLOV released their latest quarterly result on 11th June 2020,

Therefore I capture only those target prices given on the same day or later,

Thanks to i3investor.com for the listing the target prices.

The average target price are sky high, an upside room of 44.74%, very rare for a blue chip.

Now, to calculate the fair value of call warrants, we need inputs to the calculation, the two critical and arguable inputs are:

1) Interest:

Common practice:

Input the risk free interest rate, in our current case, should be around 2%

My preference:

50% of the upside room of 44.74%, equal to 22.37%, then plus the dividend yield, but subject to a maximum value of  8.00%.

2) Volatility:

Common Practice:

Calculate from the last 90 trading days, and assume same volatility will be maintained in coming months.

My preference:

Same calculation, but subject to a maximum value, in this case I choose 30%.





Make reference to the following two screen shots:

1) Column C:

The middle price at 4.30 pm on Friday, 26th June 2020.

2) Column M:

Fair values calculated using 200 steps binomial method.

3) Column L:

Fair Value over Market Price.

user posted image


Discussion:

1) At a very unlikely chance, I could have put wrongly the expiry, exercise price or exercise ratio, so please double check at www.bursamalaysia.com if you want to trade any of call warrants.

2) Currently I do not have any TOPGLOV call warrant, and not like will buy any of them.

3) Trade at your own risk.

user posted image
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do you prefer warrant deep in the money, slightly above strike, or under the strike?

also, how many days to maturity and max premium you willing to part with?

anyone can reply.

This post has been edited by lowya: Jun 30 2020, 08:37 AM
SUSlowya
post Jun 30 2020, 10:34 AM

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OCNCASH
SUSlowya
post Jun 30 2020, 03:11 PM

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LUXCHEM
SUSlowya
post Jul 8 2020, 04:58 PM

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QUOTE(ZeroSOFInfinity @ Jul 8 2020, 04:07 PM)
The surprising thing is there are still ppl buying them. Wonder who are they?
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low risk buyers, different breed than your kind who love to chase volumes.
SUSlowya
post Jul 13 2020, 08:40 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 13 2020, 02:30 PM)
diff in that tesla made $16 million in last qtr and share price is $1,544.

topglove made rm350mil or $81 mil in last qtr and share price is rm22 or $5.
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u totally ignored outstanding shares in your comparison, also compare last 4 quarter would be more appropriate.
SUSlowya
post Jul 13 2020, 09:37 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 13 2020, 08:49 PM)
Ya, why dun u do that?
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because i don't take instructions here.
SUSlowya
post Jul 13 2020, 09:48 PM

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QUOTE(prozfromhell @ Jul 13 2020, 06:01 PM)
the glove bubble survived another day.
Lets hope for the same tmrow
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viruses can't enter your body through skin, hence glove does not deter virus directly.

wearing glove and not washing your hand will get you infected, but washing your hand without wearing glove will prevent you getting infection.

So do the maths.
SUSlowya
post Jul 14 2020, 08:01 AM

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QUOTE(jvcpcv55 @ Jul 13 2020, 09:56 PM)
Why the Supermax-HB up so much?

Put warrant not call warrant o..

RM5 - (0.35x20) = -RM2

these crazy investors
buy this put warrant if u think spmx is LESS than RM 5 end of February 2021.
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which means a crash is forthcoming.

btw, where did u get that 0.35 and 20?

Put last close price 0.235 and gearing 3.4, noted RM5 strike, mother last 15.98

supermx PE 152, suppose it correct back to 30 PE, so suppose price reach 1/5 current i.e. 16/5 = 3.2

QUOTE
Formula to calculate value of put warrant at expiry
Value at Expiry = (Exercise Price - Settlement Price) Exercise Ratio


Value at Expiry = (5-3.2)*3.4 = 6.12

from 0.235 to 6.12 WOW did i get it right?

This post has been edited by lowya: Jul 14 2020, 08:02 AM
SUSlowya
post Jul 14 2020, 04:35 PM

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so has the market explained already why glove put warrants went up yesterday?

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