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 Fundsupermart.com v13, Merry X'mas and Happy 牛(bull!) Year

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wongmunkeong
post Jan 21 2016, 02:22 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jan 21 2016, 01:48 PM)
Oh yes. I think it is not unusual in the US for funds to go kaput and refund the balance invested money to the investors.

In FSM as well, we can see that a number of funds have stopped accepting new investors. See for e.g. a number of funds under RHB and recently one under Eastspring.

Why do you ask this question?  Worried ah?  tongue.gif
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eh - RHB wan dont scare the fellow silly la
that wan not KAPUT la, that wan close coz not feasible for RHB (read as not as profitable) to keep running
was profitable to me heheh. then bakas closed it
thank gawd FSM gave me 0% service charges to buy into any of their funds (GEMs i did)
wongmunkeong
post Jan 21 2016, 02:43 PM

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QUOTE(Amatiel @ Jan 21 2016, 02:15 PM)
Nolah. Crossed my mind today so I thought I should ask. What happens after they stop accepting new investors? NAV won't ever go up anymore?
*
NAV is Net Asset Value, which is calculated mathematically from the fund's total holdings of equities, non-equities, etc
LESS
pro-rated management fees & other costs
then DIVIDED by number of units

in short, NAV keeps fluctuating whether or not fund open or closed to new $
wongmunkeong
post Jan 21 2016, 02:45 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jan 21 2016, 11:30 AM)
Looks like I need to improve on my story telling skills.  sad.gif

The moral of the story is if we are investing for the mid to long term, the daily fluctuation in the unit fund prices does not matter. We should not get unduly worried. We can either sell our unit trusts to the sleeping point or consider other less "stressful" investment.
*
was very clear ma
ie whoever said house prices doesn't fluctuate as much as stocks has NOT been going to house auctions tongue.gif
everything with a price fluctuates, depends on whether we WANT to be tracking it or just ignore on/off
wongmunkeong
post Jan 21 2016, 05:10 PM

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QUOTE(brotan @ Jan 21 2016, 03:52 PM)
first time i withdraw, i don't know

they already know i am a first timer from 1st incident, yet they didn't warn me
*
true they should
maybe they think that the instructions printed on the form says it all (black pen, no whiteouts/corrections, etc.) was enough for investors sweat.gif
wongmunkeong
post Jan 22 2016, 04:34 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jan 22 2016, 03:19 PM)
I wish I have sufficient ammo to do VA every month. Alas, I am not a money printing machine. Therefore the next best thing is to do quarterly VA.

I require a huge capital layout to do VA in April 2016. If any forumers here are prepared to give me a friendly loan, please let me know.  biggrin.gif
*
at what %pa
and how long
with what collateral? tongue.gif

everything can be negotiated in business (donations too) laugh.gif
wongmunkeong
post Jan 23 2016, 01:40 PM

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QUOTE(kkk8787 @ Jan 23 2016, 01:08 PM)
so question is who is right hahaha
*
does it really matter who's right?
as long as one is investing (ie NOT TRADING) + doing asset allocation + in the accumulation phase of life (ie not retired and having no cash flow or income)

most of us here are accumulators
some THINKS they are traders (sorry to burst your bubble cats, wrong vehicle)
why the wall of worry la

funny lor - when Tesco or Gadget shops have huge % down sales
people rush in to buy
now, some of these same people getting scared of stock prices discount (fall) pulak.

Have a plan
Work the plan
Dont draw the "fire escape" plan during a fire notworthy.gif
wongmunkeong
post Jan 26 2016, 11:29 AM

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All these expectations of >8%pa and "for sure stuff" within x years...

sigh.. we forget so fast - of 1997-1998 Asian Currency Crisis + 2008-1st qtr 2009 Credit Crisis / CDOs...

Data is data, imperfect as it DEPENDS on the day we look at it.
Thus, one should take into account such AND only invest a portion of $ which is NOT NEEDED FOR SURE for >5 years.

eg.
US markets' mutual funds / ETF
If U looked at your purchases (done in 2009) @ 2010, wah liao eh
If U looked at your purchases (done in 2009) @ 2011, still wah liao eh EXCEPT if Aug/Sep 2011
If U looked at your purchases (done in 2009) @ 2012, still wah liao eh
If U looked at your purchases (done in 2009) @ 2014, still wah liao eh EXCEPT if Oct 2014
If U looked at your purchases (done in 2009) @ 2015, still wah liao eh EXCEPT if Aug 2015

>20% sure, heck 2010 is like holy smokes 100%pa+/- tongue.gif
however, in long term average, 6%pa-10%pa is my expected and statistically for US markets,
it's approximately 8%pa EXCLUDING FEES (eg 1.5%pa management fees by fund houses)

Note - "average" is a head-case itself
Ever heard of the joke: The 6' tall man, drowned in the river with average depth of 5'? laugh.gif
This is where yearly standard deviations (volatility) comes in.

Note 2- some thinks of SD / volatility as "risk".
Personally, if no volatility, no chance of growth
eg. FD's "flatline".... got opportunities for growth? beating inflation in the long term?

er.. for those who are REALLY SKEPTICAL on long term returns, i've been holding Eastspring Investment SmallCap since PRU days (ie. 10years+/- ago) and it is beating 8%pa even as at today and at the low of 2008-2009.
Maybe i'm lucky or it's just statistical probability if the fund managers are consistently "not bad" (don't need to be "great")?

long winded wall of text, just old fart venting/sharing views
to toes unintentionally stepped on notworthy.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Jan 26 2016, 11:31 AM
wongmunkeong
post Jan 26 2016, 11:46 AM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jan 26 2016, 11:39 AM)
I find it quite entertaining reading the posts from last night.  Especially the debate between stock investing and unit trust investing and which is more superior. Duh???

My 2 cents view being a layman investor. I assume  we are investing with a mid to long term horizon (i.e. 3 years and above) and not doing day trading. In the long run, we will make money in a falling market and not in a rising market. It is more dangerous to invest in a rising market rather than investing in a falling market. Does this make sense to you?

IMHO, the key here is staying power, investing consistently and doing at least annual portfolio re-balancing. If we need the money which we had invested into FSM within one year to pay for our wedding dinner, down payment for our house, etc. then we should yank out ALL the money now. This is because we are using the wrong investment tool.

As one author wrote, "If we are investing in unit trusts without having any emergency fund, then our investment decision will depend on the weather. If it rains heavily and our roof is leaking, we will take the money out from our unit trust investment to repair the roof".

*
Been there, done that for the dang roof laugh.gif

2001 - my first home, roof tiles and part of roof severely damaged due to freak hail stones storm
it was so bad - all my cactuses outside died + roof of LRT station Taman Bahagia was blown off!
Bottom line - had to go rob my stocks & UTs of RM12,000 to fix roof AND plaster ceiling... urgh.. talk about buying high/middle AND selling low.. doh.gif doh.gif doh.gif
Credit card as emergency fund doesn't cut it for "cash stuff" - like paying contractors

Now not so stupid sweat.gif laugh.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Jan 26 2016, 11:47 AM
wongmunkeong
post Jan 26 2016, 12:36 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jan 26 2016, 12:03 PM)
Wow, I thought the author was only drawing an analogy between roof repair and investing. I didn't know it could really happen in real life.  ohmy.gif  sweat.gif
*
i'm a walking text book of "kaka happens" laugh.gif
sigh.. so "kids", trust me when i say "kaka happens, have a game plan" - speaking from real stupidities happening in MY, not hypothetical and in US/EU/etc. tongue.gif

eg.
employee of dot com bombs (EPF & tax gone)
employee of sunset companies
trading UTs (yes, that stupid)
trading futures without an edge / systemized execution
trading options with no controlled cut-loss possible at the last day/hour (think SPX & RUT Fri AM settlement )
roof kaboom
accidents
divorce
kidS
more to come i think..., though hoping for not much/none (life sucks, suck harder! sweat.gif )

wongmunkeong
post Jan 28 2016, 03:32 PM

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QUOTE(adamdacutie @ Jan 28 2016, 03:12 PM)
Wah gov contribution to epf slashed 3% ... darn ... nvr expected such move
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aiyo.. EMPLOYEE'S contribution to EPF lar, ie. cash in pocket, not pumped into EPF
Gov contribution pulak... doh.gif
Gov contribute to EPF meh,other than as Employer?
wongmunkeong
post Jan 28 2016, 03:47 PM

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QUOTE(adamdacutie @ Jan 28 2016, 03:41 PM)
Oops my bad for assuming everyone works for our big boss
*
er.. not that leh
that 3% "cut" is NOT Employer's contribution to EPF
it's our contribution from our salary
Thus, cash salary gets more $ since not going into EPF (3%)
Kapeesh?
wongmunkeong
post Feb 4 2016, 09:17 PM

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Just something i think worth reading, especially with most of us AND specifically "newbies" (those that were not "bent over" in 1997-1999 + 2008),
even with PERFECT FORESIGHT & long+short perfect hedging:

http://blog.alphaarchitect.com/2016/02/02/...ctive-investor/

snippets:
"Yet check out the worst drawdown on the PERFECT hedge fund — 70%+. Incredible. And it gets better…"

"Let those numbers soak in a bit.

What the chart highlights is that even GOD HIMSELF would get fired multiple times over. The performance on the perfect hedge fund would get crushed many times over by the passive index.

These results highlight the fickle nature of assessing relative performance over short horizons. We’ve shown this quantitatively, but Ben Carlson talks about the challenge of short horizon thinking here, and Meb Faber recently highlighted that investors are terrible at timing active investments.

Takeaways:

Keynes was right: Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent
Active investors MUST have a long-horizon…and few investors actually have horizon."

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Feb 4 2016, 09:18 PM
wongmunkeong
post Feb 15 2016, 04:26 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Feb 15 2016, 03:40 PM)
It is interesting to read the posts from forumers whom I have not seen here before.

I repeat one of my earlier posts. IMHO, this year is about capital preservation. Forget about making double digit return (unless you have bought into gold funds at the right time). If you can beat the FD benchmark, you are the champion already.

So should we stop investing altogether and stay out from the market until conditions "improve"? My answer is no. To make money in the long run, we need some volatility in the markets and not a flat line.

1.  If you have met your targeted asset allocation already, then there is no point doing DCA.  For e.g., for my main account, I have already met the targeted invested amount. So I will only monitor and wait until the 2Q before doing quarterly VA.

2.  If you have not met your targeted asset allocation yet, then to continue doing monthly DCA or VA. I am using the automatic RSP for two of my subsidiary accounts. In fact, today is the day when the RSP is done automatically.

Stay the course. Don't panic.

There are some investors here who have been around during the Asian Financial Crisis 1997. I am one of them.
*
keeds these daze have not seen -80% "returns" of 1997/1998 (1998 was the lowest KLCI @ 200+),
thus worry this/that lor laugh.gif

well, to execute when fear / lelong is in the air, i've just lumped sum in for Manulife Global Resources Fund for myself & my sis.
(1 out of 2 bullets for energy/commodity equities) sweat.gif
Was a toss-up between AmCommodities or Manulife Global Resources Fund, but what the heck - lazy to track another

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Feb 15 2016, 04:31 PM
wongmunkeong
post Feb 15 2016, 07:07 PM

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QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Feb 15 2016, 05:32 PM)
Wow, you have diversified into commodities fund as well. May the Force be with you.  rclxms.gif

2nd bullet = gold fund?   biggrin.gif
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Gold? lumped in liao lor last year on the lows (not lowest of course) - into the commodity itself as i treat it as a ForEx tongue.gif

The "1 more bullet left" is specifically for energy stocks/funds - just in case it does a 1997 crazy low -->1998 CRAZIER low sweat.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Feb 15 2016, 07:09 PM
wongmunkeong
post Mar 7 2016, 07:39 PM

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QUOTE(MUM @ Mar 7 2016, 05:24 PM)
rclxms.gif yea...good choice...but, try post at this thread if those wanted to discuss gold....
https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/3350149/+2100#entry79004479
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Some people prefer buy high, sell higher ma

Personally, i'd buy more Emerging Markets - already loaded ESI GEM + hunting via ETF CIMBA40
hehe - cigar-butt / cheap fler here

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Mar 7 2016, 07:47 PM
wongmunkeong
post Mar 9 2016, 09:23 AM

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QUOTE(kimyee73 @ Mar 8 2016, 10:56 PM)
Yes, are you calling me?  brows.gif
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hehe - momma says "Know thyself - the greatest battle" rclxs0.gif
anyhow, not U lar - just generally people tend to get excited & chase things that are already up.
still, if there's A PLAN & METHODOLOGY, is good.

buy high, sell higher - bulls (momentum, arbitrage, etc) makes $
buy low, keep/sell much later - bear (chicken littles, pessimists, etc.) makes $
no plan & methodology - pigs get slaughtered laugh.gif
wongmunkeong
post Mar 9 2016, 09:30 AM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Mar 9 2016, 07:58 AM)
hmm.gif you mentioned "Uncle looi"... mad.gif
what did he know about UTs, excepts grumbling (in a positive tones) about his non superb performing IRR.....
just don't buy in this near short term what he is holding now..... biggrin.gif

btw, I am sure he (uncle looi) is of no where near the league of the other names you just mentioned above + many others as listed...... notworthy.gif
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Uncle - U & i are in the similar age-band leh (i think - beatles/disco era)
AND U are already in the FULevel (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xdfeXqHFmPI - STRONG LANGUAGE WARNING! please avoid if ears/prim&proer fails easily), thus need not work for /chase $

Most of us - definitely me, still a slave to the great $ cry.gif

Thus U have the greatest "sight" - investing like a MULTI-millionaire, ie U only take rewarding risks, not just any potshots notworthy.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Mar 9 2016, 09:31 AM
wongmunkeong
post Mar 9 2016, 11:07 AM

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Just sharing - 10 years' asset classes' returns
http://awealthofcommonsense.com/2016/03/up...formance-chart/

Being a bottom-feeder (mudskipper? tongue.gif), seems to correlate with my lelong buying / pecking on "commodities & emerging markets". Cautionary note - i am willing to keep buying / pecking every 4 to 6 months for 5 years (on top of value averaging quarterly), as long as it's still "fear/sad" on these.
wongmunkeong
post Mar 10 2016, 05:05 PM

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QUOTE(river.sand @ Mar 10 2016, 05:02 PM)
The management fees actually go to the fund houses, and not FSM right?
Sales charges are also 0%.
Then what do FSM earn  hmm.gif
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laaaaaaaaarge trailing commissions?
incentives for each tier hit (AUM)?
etc etc - i'm sure they've negotiation powers hehe

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