QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jan 26 2016, 10:12 PM)
This is especially so if the investors are in their 20's and 30's and have a long term investment horizon.
I think you are heading in the right direction. Read widely, and think what is appropriate to your own situation and objective.
What we read, either here in this forum or elsewhere, might not be applicable to us. The targeted audience of the books/articles might not be for our age group. As in this forum, the opinions can be too general and not for every age groups - readers, please be aware.
In the other thread, I had pinpointed 3 different groups by ages - young, intermediate, and elderly; but did not specifically named the ages then. I would guess the first group would be from age 20 to 45. The 2nd group from 45 to 55, and the 3rd group, 55 and above. And going by the objective of having supplementary income for retirement.
For any other shorter term financial goals for some specific purpose, like holidays or wedding or downpayment for a house in 3-5 years, I think there should be some cautious in investing into equity funds. One may try to use a VA investment strategy, and my advice would be don't be too greedy, and should take the money and run when the savings/investments had reached the targeted sum of money! (Be it from compounded growth or by sheer effort of our savings from the monthly paychecks.)
As to whether it is better to invest during a downtrend or uptrend, I would say neither! If it is a true DCA for the (really) long term, it should be as soon as possible.
I doubt anyone can tell for sure what trend we are now at - up or down. Only time can tell for sure when it had past, the rear view mirror phenomenon. As in a motto of a branded shoe - "Just Do It!" Otherwise, we will be asking this same question everytime - "Should I purchase now or wait another month?" And before you knew it, it would be the end of the year and months had been wasted.
And we will find ourselves in another difficult situation, as we will have accumulated and build up savings from the past months of non-investment. Another additional question to think about: "How much should I invest now or should I keep some for next month?"
As mentioned, if this is a true DCA for the long term - then "Just Do it!". If there are doubts that the "long term" is not really long term, and not long enough to cover any up/down trends, then change the motto to: "Just Stick to FD".
LOL
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PS. I don't think much of a diversified portfolio or asset allocation. They are mainly for the 3rd age group. Always optimised the ROI, especially if in the 1st age group.
Diversify and asset allocation are hedging the funds because (a) we are not too sure which would give the best returns, and (b) when we want to set a minimal ROI we must have each year - either for supplementary retirement income or because we can't bear to see high losses.
Okay for the 1st reason - by having not only the top no. 1 choice, but also the top 2 and 3. The rational is that the top no. 1 might not be the top no. 1 every year. (But if the top no. 1 is a truebreed champion, why hedge and lower the ROI?)
Not so the the 2nd reason... as this means money into bonds/mm/income funds as this contravenes the "always optimised the ROI" rule. Or maybe he is a young & retired guy without regular income who do not want to be categorised into the 3rd group yet.
This post has been edited by j.passing.by: Jan 27 2016, 12:14 AM