QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jan 15 2016, 03:51 PM)
The projected oil price drop is USD 20 a barrel. It may or may not happen. Warren Buffett is buying up shares in oil companies. Unfortunately we are not him. I would rather use the money from Am Commodities to invest in other funds. I am just looking at the lost opportunity costs.
It is your money and your call bro.
Higher volatility = higher risk = higher reward.
Not easy to make the call; after finding that there was more risk than one can stomach. Which is common enough since investors often think of high returns, and seldom the higher risk of loss.
It is back to square one, the initial decision before getting into any fund: How much volatility/risk should one take?
If switched to another less aggressive fund now, there could be another round of lost opportunity when the market rebounds. Tough choice...since switching into another less aggresive fund could means taking a longer time to recoup the loss.
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Whatever funds to switch into, even the same fund after pulling out temporary; maybe ponder on this investment strategy with a
big sum of money:
1. Don't do one-time lump sum investment.
2. Split it into 2 halves, and invest 50% first.
3. Staggered the other 50% over 5 years.
4. If market behaves normally, then invest 10% each year.
5. If market falls sharply, then do following to take advantage of the steep drop:
Market fell by this much; Invest this much.
10% 10%
15% 22%
20% 30%
30% 13%
40% 12.5%
50% 12.5%
Q: What if market drops less than 10%?
A: It is normal and expected in an aggressive and volatile fund. As seen in recent days, funds can easily lost 1% to 3% in a day. If one can't withstand the volatility, then choose a more conservative fund with lower expected returns.