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 Fundsupermart.com v13, Merry X'mas and Happy 牛(bull!) Year

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Vanguard 2015
post Jan 21 2016, 02:34 PM

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QUOTE(Amatiel @ Jan 21 2016, 02:15 PM)
Nolah. Crossed my mind today so I thought I should ask. What happens after they stop accepting new investors? NAV won't ever go up anymore?
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I am not sure.

But as YK Looi puts it, no opportunity for the existing investors to get "revenge" anymore by using DCA or VA once the fund house stop accepting new investments.

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: Jan 21 2016, 02:35 PM
Vanguard 2015
post Jan 21 2016, 02:37 PM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Jan 21 2016, 02:22 PM)
eh - RHB wan dont scare the fellow silly la
that wan not KAPUT la, that wan close coz not feasible for RHB (read as not as profitable) to keep running
was profitable to me heheh. then bakas closed it
thank gawd FSM gave me 0% service charges to buy into any of their funds (GEMs i did)
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Maybe not kaput yet. But this is Boleh-land. Never say never. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: Jan 21 2016, 02:37 PM
Vanguard 2015
post Jan 21 2016, 10:30 PM

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QUOTE(T231H @ Jan 21 2016, 10:08 PM)
hmm.gif you mentioned "Forward Pricing" on 18 jan....
FSM came out an article about it on 21 Jan.....

Understanding Forward Pricing ..... January 21, 2016
In this Idea of the Week, we seek to explain to investors what is forward pricing and why such a pricing system is adopted.

http://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/resea...-Jan-2016--6735

Coincident or what?  rolleyes.gif
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I like this portion of the FSM article,

QUOTE
PRICE DIFFERENCE DOES NOT MATTER

Generally, unit trusts are meant to be held for a time horizon of at least two to three years. As long as the fundamentals of your investments justify a higher valuation in the long-term, then you need not worry too much about the price differences and short-term price fluctuations especially if these fluctuations are caused by weak market sentiment. Investors should focus on buying unit trusts that invest in undervalued equity markets and avoid unit trusts that invest in overvalued equity markets.

Vanguard 2015
post Jan 22 2016, 03:19 PM

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I wish I have sufficient ammo to do VA every month. Alas, I am not a money printing machine. Therefore the next best thing is to do quarterly VA.

I require a huge capital layout to do VA in April 2016. If any forumers here are prepared to give me a friendly loan, please let me know. biggrin.gif
Vanguard 2015
post Jan 22 2016, 04:14 PM

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QUOTE(adamdacutie @ Jan 22 2016, 03:26 PM)
Aeon credit ? Till debts do us apart ...
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or Courts Mammoth Malaysia? biggrin.gif


QUOTE(Clement1001 @ Jan 22 2016, 03:31 PM)
Rhb gold fund not reflecting the current gold price trends . mad.gif  mad.gif
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What do you mean bro? The RHB gold fund is not moving in tandem with the gold price?

I think we get confused sometimes between investing in physical gold and a precious metals fund.

As I understand it, a precious metals fund invest in the securities of mining companies. The mining activities are not limited to gold. Therefore the performance of the precious metals fund will be affected by the skills of the fund managers in picking the right companies and also the management skills of the directors managing the mining companies.

The price of gold alone may not the sole determining factor of how the fund will perform.

Does this make sense?

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: Jan 22 2016, 04:14 PM
Vanguard 2015
post Jan 23 2016, 10:05 PM

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QUOTE(kkk8787 @ Jan 23 2016, 01:50 PM)
I've stayed invested in fsm for close to 5 years. But it seems to be giving a lower return than FD so far. Maybe I always buy in at wrong time. My last major buying was during the 0.5% sc discount. Doubled my portfolio, within days everything dropped
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Bro, I am sorry to hear about your losses. But something is wrong somewhere if you cannot beat the FD benchmark after 5 years. I suspect the problem lies in your asset allocation. Do you mind posting it here so that we can offer some constructive analysis?
Vanguard 2015
post Jan 24 2016, 10:46 PM

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QUOTE(kkk8787 @ Jan 24 2016, 01:35 PM)
ya. need to ask for some advice and adjustment on Monday.
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Bro, Monday is a public holiday. You can ask CIS on Tuesday. Please share their advice here if possible. Would they advise that:-

1. You have deworsified?
2. Over traded?
3. Did not follow VA or RSP?

Without knowing your investor profile, I suspect the main problem is No. 1 above. This means you are buying too many funds which have a high degree of correlation. My own definition of high is 0.85 positive correlation and above.

An e.g. of deworsification is when Fund A is selling Maybank at RM8 because he thinks it is too expensive. Fund B is buying Maybank at RM8 because he thinks it is cheap.

As an investor, you are holding both Fund A and Fund B in your portfolio and paying the transaction costs for this Maybank deal. So what do you get at the end of the day? 1-1 = 0
Vanguard 2015
post Jan 24 2016, 11:01 PM

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QUOTE(kkk8787 @ Jan 24 2016, 10:52 PM)
Wow now I understand why ppl say dun overdiversify. Or do i. Ok the thing is that the CIS in ny experience wont give clear definate answer, usually just a genera anwer. Maybe i asking wrong question. I need specific answer. Usually they will just give a generalise answer like we advice customer to stay invested and reap the benefit in long term
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Never ask never know. Thus far I have only dealt with Alfred from FSM. I truly think he is the gold standard in his services.

Doesn't FSM design or recommend a portfolio for high value investors after assessing their risk profile? I dunno know. I am just guessing.
Vanguard 2015
post Jan 24 2016, 11:18 PM

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QUOTE(lukenn @ Jan 24 2016, 12:10 PM)
Since I posted my last graph last night, I have received quite a few messages asking for statistics, analysis and advice. While I do appreciate the you value my feedback, I cannot reply to everyone. The same with my earlier post with graphs etc, but this time with even more messages than before.

While I try to contribute to the forum the best I can, I cannot be expected to give timely personalized advice, education and hand holding. Please don't expect pin point accuracy, complete guidelines and an entire portfolio management strategy. I do this professionally for a living. To me that's work, and I'm compensated for it. What I contribute here is what I do in my free time, what I can comment about is what I see.

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Lukenn, I agree 100% with your view. Unfortunately a public forum like this will attract the good, the bad and the ugly.

For some forumers here to expect 100% accurate FREE special tailored advice from a professional financial adviser in a public forum to enhance their portfolio? Wow. I am just dumbstruck.

I hope you will not be put off by this and will continue to contribute to this forum. I think the forumers here including myself have benefitted from your insight. Based on my calculation, we have less than 5 real sifus in this forum. We could benefit by having more sifus.

Vanguard 2015
post Jan 24 2016, 11:24 PM

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QUOTE(kkk8787 @ Jan 24 2016, 11:07 PM)
When i went in many years back then, started with small amount. After that rarely approach them already.
Anyway dun misunderstood i not high value also
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Sorry I just assume high value because I thought you posted before that your current loss now is equivalent to the price of a Proton Saga. That's a lot of money in terms of paper loss.


QUOTE(dasecret @ Jan 24 2016, 11:11 PM)
I think the platinum members have that service. But platinum status is rm750,000 AUM. I'm no where near that
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I see. So if ordinary investors ask the CIS for their advice, would they just say please follow one of the FSM Recommmeded Portfolios, do RSP and have a long term investing horizon of 5 years and above?
Vanguard 2015
post Jan 24 2016, 11:33 PM

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QUOTE(kkk8787 @ Jan 24 2016, 11:27 PM)
Value lost that much coz portfolio imbalance haha. Well I think high value are those hitting 7 figure ones. I personally wont put 7 figure into it, real estate maybe
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Well if it is any consolation to you, my current paper loss is about RM30k but I still ZZZ at night like a baby.

My approach to life? Don't worry be happy. This too shall pass. smile.gif


Vanguard 2015
post Jan 24 2016, 11:51 PM

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QUOTE(river.sand @ Jan 24 2016, 11:26 PM)
If Fund A has positive correlation with Fund B, but negative correlation with Fund C and Fund D, that is not a problem.

The problem with over-diversification is that you have no time to monitor your investments.
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Eh? Apa cakap? I thought we are not supposed to monitor our investments for unit trusts? That's why we have fund managers to do the job? Daily monitoring is only if we are buying shares directly? Therefore only quarterly, half yearly or annual rebalancing is necessary for unit trusts?

QUOTE(dasecret @ Jan 24 2016, 11:34 PM)
Nola, if you email them and ask for advice they will respond to your queries accordingly. But i feel that it's not too different from the articles anyway

Boss, u mean you have never asked them to take a look at your portfolio and give you some suggestions? U shd try it. It's free 😎

http://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/resea...ds-Program-1494
Plat members will get quarterly review and can arrange for face to face meetings

FSM Singapore in this sense is a bit more superior. You can fill up a investment profile and give them a budget. They will propose a portfolio to you. Then you can proceed or request for amendments
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Hi thanks Dasecret. Maybe I will ask them to look at my portfolio

QUOTE(yklooi @ Jan 24 2016, 11:34 PM)
no-lah.....when they called upon to review,....they will ask some personal info/details and if one is ok with the risks and returns of the current holdings.
when one said,..i wanted higher ROI and can stomach the volatility....then they will review .
they would then would make some suggestion....to change the holdings
it is up to individual to follow thru with it...
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Noted with thanks YK Looi.

QUOTE(lukenn @ Jan 24 2016, 11:35 PM)
Vanguard, are you in the same category as dasecret ?? RM30K loss no feeling... biggrin.gif  biggrin.gif
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Maybe because it is paper loss and not realized loss? smile.gif

Anyway, I always try to look at the bigger picture in life. Once I had a client who sold his shares in a business. He received something like RM30 million. Unfortunately he had liver cancer and passed away. All the best doctors could not save him. Another rich client passed away suddenly a few years ago from dengue.

So why I should get stressed up from unit trust investing? I still have my life, my health and my family. That is all that matters.
Vanguard 2015
post Jan 24 2016, 11:55 PM

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Sorry everyone. I think I was not very clear in my early post. What I meant to say is that all my previous paper gain of RM30k has been wiped out. Therefore my current ROI is about +0.67%.

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: Jan 24 2016, 11:59 PM
Vanguard 2015
post Jan 25 2016, 12:33 PM

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QUOTE(lukenn @ Jan 25 2016, 12:11 PM)

Paper loss is not yes realized its a loss .... ?? laugh.gif
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Psychological effect mah. I didn't sell. Therefore I didn't suffer any loss. biggrin.gif
Vanguard 2015
post Jan 25 2016, 12:38 PM

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QUOTE(river.sand @ Jan 25 2016, 08:15 AM)
I don't monitor my UT investment daily, but I know there are some people here who compute IRR everyday  tongue.gif

Anyway, back to correlation coefficient...
Portfolio A - 1 Asia ex Japan fund which makes up 40% of the portfolio
Portfolio B - 2 Asia ex Japan funds, each makes up 20% of the portfolio

Portfolio B is more diversified, and the two funds are positively correlated, but I don't see a problem with it.
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Well I guess it depends on the degree of positive correlation. We can use the Morningstar Asia X-Ray portfolio to find out. If the positive correlation is 0.80 and above between 2 funds, then I think it will have some effect on the long run performance of our portfolio.
Vanguard 2015
post Jan 26 2016, 11:39 AM

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I find it quite entertaining reading the posts from last night. Especially the debate between stock investing and unit trust investing and which is more superior. Duh???

My 2 cents view being a layman investor. I assume we are investing with a mid to long term horizon (i.e. 3 years and above) and not doing day trading. In the long run, we will make money in a falling market and not in a rising market. It is more dangerous to invest in a rising market rather than investing in a falling market. Does this make sense to you?

IMHO, the key here is staying power, investing consistently and doing at least annual portfolio re-balancing. If we need the money which we had invested into FSM within one year to pay for our wedding dinner, down payment for our house, etc. then we should yank out ALL the money now. This is because we are using the wrong investment tool.

As one author wrote, "If we are investing in unit trusts without having any emergency fund, then our investment decision will depend on the weather. If it rains heavily and our roof is leaking, we will take the money out from our unit trust investment to repair the roof".

Vanguard 2015
post Jan 26 2016, 12:03 PM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Jan 26 2016, 11:46 AM)
Been there, done that for the dang roof  laugh.gif

2001 - my first home, roof tiles and part of roof severely damaged due to freak hail stones storm
it was so bad - all my cactuses outside died + roof of LRT station Taman Bahagia was blown off!
Bottom line - had to go rob my stocks & UTs of RM12,000 to fix roof AND plaster ceiling... urgh.. talk about buying high/middle AND selling low..  doh.gif  doh.gif  doh.gif
Credit card as emergency fund doesn't cut it for "cash stuff" - like paying contractors

Now not so stupid  sweat.gif  laugh.gif
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Wow, I thought the author was only drawing an analogy between roof repair and investing. I didn't know it could really happen in real life. ohmy.gif sweat.gif
Vanguard 2015
post Jan 26 2016, 03:51 PM

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QUOTE(kimyee73 @ Jan 26 2016, 03:03 PM)
I think you'll need to clarify on what you meant by the above because it depends on what you did in the falling or rising market that will determine if you make money. There are phrases such as never cash a falling knife and buy high sell higher.
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What I do in a falling market? Keep on buying either using RSP or VA. If no money to buy, then just stay put and do nothing. But hey, I am talking about investing for the long run. Thus far, it works for me. So I don't see the need to change it. smile.gif

Why I do this? Because nobody can time the market. Even if someone claims that they can time the market using technical analysis or fundamental analysis, etc. I bet my bottom dollar that they cannot do it consistently over the long run.

I think the phrase "don't catch a falling knife" is sometimes misunderstood. In the context of FSM, IMHO, it can be used for Am Commodities and Am Precious Metals. Just my 2 cents worth la.

QUOTE(xuzen @ Jan 26 2016, 03:08 PM)
Let itu Penjaga Van invest in a falling market....

I prefer to ride the wave and latch on the upwards momentum.

Xuzen
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Hahaha. I dunno how to do trend trading like some investors here. All I have are my titanium balls and spare ammos. I have no fear. Come, come, come. The markets can fall some more. Then I will gain more in the long run. drool.gif cool2.gif

Vanguard 2015
post Jan 26 2016, 05:30 PM

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QUOTE(kimyee73 @ Jan 26 2016, 05:05 PM)
Ha! VCA/DCA in a falling market will also depends on your frequency of topping up. If you ran out of ammo earlier on, you'll missed buying at even lower price. Also you would assume the fund you bought will bounce back. What if it takes longer to go back up or never back up like japan or china stock market. Even some local fund like FSM recommended AMB Ethical that have very good track record for past 5 years but went down hill since July'14 high. If you keep DCA these fund, definitely will ran out of ammo soon. IMHO better to use the ammo on funds that are going up than going down.
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Ahh....now I understand where you are coming from. IMHO, the problem lies not in using VCA/DCA in a rising or falling market but in the investor's asset allocation. As I have said before (as repeated in many investment books), the long term success of unit trust investment lies in the investor's asset allocation.

E.g. an investor has 8 different funds. He thinks he is diversified. He buys CIMB Asia Pacific Dynamic (Ponzi 2), he buys Am REIT, he buys CIMB Greater China fund, RHB Asian Financial Fund, etc. Lo and behold. When we use the Morningstar x-ray, we discover that his allocation in China is 65% and 35% lain-lain. So he fails the asset allocation test. In the current market, all I can say is....good luck. He will need it.

So I thought it is logical that we buy the whole farm. As I have said before, buy the chicken, the sheep, the cow, the goat, buy a bit of everything. If an investor taruh everything or a majority of his investment into a country specific or sector specific fund, then he has nobody to blame but himself. VA or DCA may or may not save him. Remember the lost decade for Japan and US?

God willing, I will not run out of ammo. Why? Because I am working. So? I have savings. Because? I spend less than I earn. Therefore there will always be a source of income for fresh injection. We shall see whether the 3% signal principle works or not for me rclxms.gif

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: Jan 26 2016, 09:46 PM
Vanguard 2015
post Jan 26 2016, 05:43 PM

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QUOTE(voyage23 @ Jan 26 2016, 04:17 PM)
Dear all sifus, I have just newly started on my unit trust journey after saving 6 months emergency funds in e-FD.

After reading through the thread here and reading the funds with my limited knowledge, I have bought into these funds:

1. Titans 1% SC RM500
2. Ponzi 2.0 0.5% SC RM1000
3. Eastspring Small Cap 0.5% SC RM1000
4. Kenanga Growth Fund 1% SC RM1000
5. Libra Asnita Bond 0% SC RM1000

I planned to do RSP and hold these funds for long term of just RM100 each month for each funds (except RM200 for Titans and Ponzi 2.0).

What do you guys this of this for a start?

Thanks!
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Welcome to the FSM club.

While waiting for the sifus to reply, please allow a small fry like me to reply first. Your portfolio looks great but you may want to consider increasing your bond portfolio. The waters are choppy this year and some investors are already vomiting or bailing out.

So I suggest adding the RHB Asian Total Return Fund and the Eastspring Bond Fund into your portfolio to stabilise it. Reduce your Titans and Ponzi 2.0 to RM100 each per month. Use the extra RM200 for RSP by dividing it into RM100 each for RHB ATRF and EBF.

You may say, "But I am young and I am an aggressive investor. I can take the risk...". Yeah, yeah. I have heard that line before. That's what most investor think. But they have been proven wrong again and again. You can always switch back to become an aggressive investor next year once you get used to seeing red in your portfolio.

At the end of the day, it is your money, your choice. Good luck!

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