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 USD/MYR drop, v3

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dasecret
post Mar 24 2016, 09:42 PM

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QUOTE(lukenn @ Mar 24 2016, 09:39 PM)
Wow you guys must be big time traders to be considering the USD/MYR. A quick look at the TT FX rates on M2U, and found this :

Selling : 4.0865
Buying : 3.9585

The spread itself is  0.1280. I guess that's a lot better than the 0.1700 earlier this year.
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Or kacang puteh trader go change at money changer n keep under the pillow 😁

There must be a reason why the midvalley money changer always have such long queue
dasecret
post Mar 24 2016, 09:58 PM

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QUOTE(HarpArtist @ Mar 24 2016, 09:48 PM)
u can get preferred  rates at some changers like them if u go often and do big amounts.
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But at midvalley they r so busy how would they remember you unless you go every week to change at least rm10k each time 😅
If change so often n so much banks shd be able to give better rate right? Not to mention security risk when you become regular
dasecret
post Mar 24 2016, 10:05 PM

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QUOTE(HarpArtist @ Mar 24 2016, 10:01 PM)
MV is pretty secure la. banks got limit to the rate they can give even if it is 6figure amounts. im sure many sifu here play 10k usd a day laugh.gif
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notworthy.gif notworthy.gif notworthy.gif

I'm not worthy
dasecret
post Mar 29 2016, 05:20 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Mar 29 2016, 03:31 PM)
Guys,... I'm sorry to say this, but if your amount is not big enough, there is really not much to make from currency trading,... especially when you need to exchange with a broker or a money-changer, hoping after that that the currency-pair will move in your favour, and then converting it back to pocket the profit. It's really not worth the risk and the time,... and not worth the wait too for the movement to take place too.

After you have converted into the foreign currency of your choice, you need to invest that foreign currency that you have just obtained in-hand and ake more of tat foreign currency amount, while not losing the principal.

Then as you make more of that foreign currency, you will have the luxury of converting it back to the Ringgit in future when you needed to use the Ringgit in Malaysia, or,............the Ringgit falls enough for you to do so profitably.

This is the ONLY way.
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A very rare occasion that I completely agree with your views blush.gif

The volatility that we have seen for the past 1 year on forex is not something that we should expect for coming year....
dasecret
post Mar 29 2016, 11:38 PM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Mar 29 2016, 07:56 PM)
This is RM400/transaction we are talking about. Even a 2x transaction will beat ASX FP. ASX FP gives only say RM630/year. We know that USD/MYR will swing every now and then. How many times in a year have that happen over the past 1 year? Money changer rate won't go up so fast compare to online broker. Downside is the need to bring lump sum of cash with you. I will experiment when I am working to see if my idea is feasible. I am thinking unker dreamer have a point here. Holding USD cash.
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To earn 400 per transaction you will need the rate to swing about 0.2 or more taking into consideration the spread charged by money changer. That's 5% swing. How long does it take to achieve that? If u r lucky n strike within 2 weeks to 1 month that may be a good deal. But what if u don't strike even in 3 months? The opportunity cost of 4.5% FD promo rate is already rm100. So nett nett you get rm300 in 3 months, worth the potential downside risk or not?

To be honest, I find your views quite interesting, or bluntly, quite contradicting. At one side you want to make no loss, would only sell the ASx VP funds when you break even, but at the same time willing to take forex risk for a measly gain

This post has been edited by dasecret: Mar 29 2016, 11:39 PM
dasecret
post Mar 29 2016, 11:52 PM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Mar 29 2016, 11:49 PM)
Well if you look at it USD/MYR have swing quite a lot. Don't count the 3.8->4.x Count the number of swing of 4.x. If I have access to RM10k, I think easily profit >RM1k already. ASX FP is for emergency fund. Those funds will never be touched as I will make sure that the dividend gained is more than enough to support me for 1 whole year (enough to cover my monthly expenses)

If you want to outrun inflation, you will need something at least 8%. ASX FP cannot give 8%. They only give 6.x%/year = more or less the real inflation. So need risk to gain more. I have counted. Theoretically it is possible provide the money changer spread is 0.1 and not higher. That's why I said, need to experiment to know if it is feasible or not. smile.gif
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My solution to getting 8% is much simpler
http://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/fundi...formed=topFunds

10 year annualized 17%. Why bother with the kind of risk coming from FX which God knows which direction it will go next

dasecret
post Mar 30 2016, 10:32 AM

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QUOTE(MGM @ Mar 30 2016, 08:36 AM)
Wa, this Eastspring Investments Small-Cap Fund is a top performer in long-term categories.
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Come join the fun!
https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/3892713
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