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 USD/MYR drop, v3

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kart
post May 22 2016, 08:01 AM

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QUOTE(bbgoat @ May 20 2016, 10:06 AM)
I am quite happy with return from Public Mutual. Quite consistent returns. Others not that consistent.

*
Sorry for talking out of topic. Which Public Mutual fund do you invest in?

As a HNWI, your thinking must be dramatically different from that of commoners like me. So, I would like to learn a few tips from you, if you do not mind. rclxms.gif

bbgoat
post May 22 2016, 08:32 AM

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QUOTE(aromachong @ May 21 2016, 07:45 PM)
For me, it's real impossible not letting banks earn any of interest especially loan

even u pay everything with CASH.. there re chances banks will earn interests from u beginning.... when u start to work u dont have tonnes of CASH with u.. u need to buy car ... buy properties.. banks are happy with those 2 interests which is obviously known as secured loans

except... he has parents who paid everything for him... car.. bought with cash... properties ... bought with cash.... education study australia which will cost u easily around millions included rental, etc...

and when he started to work his parents will give him millions thus banks can't even a single cent from him thats what i could think of  nod.gif

the only way when u start to work.. let banks earn those interests... after u have stable career.. u begin to venture lot of business making millions to billions .. then at that time bank will give u interest..... dat time banks will give u back and extra money for what they earned from u in past
*
People are different. Especially so with people born with a silver spoon ! tongue.gif

QUOTE(aromachong @ May 21 2016, 07:50 PM)
hav see lots of my friends involved in forex during 08-09's

buying cars and properties with cash.. after few yrs.. no more luxury car and use proton saga .. properties also kena lelong.. asked him why?

as chinese saying goes, "见好就收" - how many person in world able to fully understand what that's mean actually and apply it in real life?  smile.gif
*
I was making big gains in options then lose all plus 6 figures of sum. cry.gif cry.gif

So "见好就收" is something difficult to do but a MUST for traders ! biggrin.gif
jack2
post May 22 2016, 08:47 AM

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QUOTE(bbgoat @ May 22 2016, 08:32 AM)
People are different. Especially so with people born with a silver spoon ! tongue.gif
I was making big gains in options then lose all plus 6 figures of sum.  cry.gif  cry.gif

So "见好就收" is something difficult to do but a MUST for traders !  biggrin.gif
*
Wah.... u r so riCH... 6 figures
bbgoat
post May 22 2016, 08:49 AM

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QUOTE(kart @ May 22 2016, 08:01 AM)
Sorry for talking out of topic. Which Public Mutual fund do you invest in?

As a HNWI, your thinking must be dramatically different from that of commoners like me. So, I would like to learn a few tips from you, if you do not mind.  rclxms.gif
*
I started with 100k in Public Mutual. In 2013, 13 years later, it went to >400k. But last 2 years yo yo. Bought various funds.

Tips, u should get it from others. I am not typical one that u should learn from ! tongue.gif

OT, get tips from other threads:

https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/3189366/+700

This post has been edited by bbgoat: May 22 2016, 08:50 AM
TSwil-i-am
post May 22 2016, 12:02 PM

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QUOTE(bbgoat @ May 22 2016, 08:49 AM)
I started with 100k in Public Mutual. In 2013, 13 years later, it went to >400k. But last 2 years yo yo. Bought various funds.

Tips, u should get it from others. I am not typical one that u should learn from !  tongue.gif

OT, get tips from other threads:

https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/3189366/+700
*
U managed to reap decent returns from PM rclxms.gif
TSwil-i-am
post May 22 2016, 12:11 PM

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QUOTE(jack2 @ May 21 2016, 08:07 PM)
no need to be pro. Use smart technology.. rclxm9.gif  rclxm9.gif
*
Can u share d insights of smart technology here?
SUSMarkora
post May 22 2016, 12:26 PM

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Calling all Forex Traders in Malaysia come join and watch the preview about BREXIT ,Englands exit from Europe and the impact of GBP against all other currencies anticipated about 6000 points movement and you can capture this movement in advance and position yourself in advance.
Join us for this BREXIT preview for Forex Traders in Kuala Lumpur 6000 pips GBP pairs. https://www.facebook.com/events/130504850686753/

Dr Suresh Rama is a regular in Bloomberg and and Financial commentator of the present and future of Global Currency..


Presenters Professional Profile.


Suresh Ramanathan

Professional profile
Financial Strategist with extensive market research and market strategy experience. As a strategist I have analyzed
various facets of financial markets while making trading and strategy generating investment decisions in interest
rates and foreign exchange markets.

June 2015 – Present Independent Interest Rate and FX Strategist
Currently I am an Independent Interest Rate and FX Strategist providing financial and economic market analysis,
utilizing my two decades of experience at various financial institutions onshore and offshore. I have spent
considerable period of time looking through different facets of Global Financial Market conditions as a policy maker
as well as a market practitioner, providing insights on mechanics of Financial Markets. My interest are in the areas
of modelling financial market imperfections in Emerging Asia, particularly Interest Rate swaps, Foreign Exchange
Forwards and Monetary Policy Signaling.

Career summary
Jan 2005 – June 2015 Head, Asia FX/FI Strategy
CIMB Investment Bank
 Setup the Interest Rate and Foreign Exchange Strategy Desk. Provided views on interest rates and
currencies as well as trading strategy on Asian interest rates and Asian FX.
 Supported the rates trading and sales desks on FX, Local currency bonds and Swaps by providing daily
market views, relative value trade ideas and auction analysis. Responsibilities include advising clients’
portfolio decisions and composing weekly thematic articles.
 Recommendations included relative value and trend based trading around auction days and macro calls on
curve.
 Analytical Tools- Developed tools to explore relative value opportunities in Bond Swap spread space and
Volatility based trades, Spot and NDF curve analysis. Developed Excel spreadsheets to identify monthly
seasonality patterns and event based patterns.
 Developed econometric models to forecast change in currencies and yield curve movements using linear
multiple regression to be used by treasury products business.
 Formulated market views, strategies, and trade ideas on local-currency government bonds and rates.
Covers Asia ex-Japan (AXJ) with a primary focus on Emerging Asia.
 Monitored and analyzed South and North East Asia Debt, FX, markets and Economic Policy developments.
Evaluate macroeconomic fundamentals, positioning.
 Created high conviction, forward-looking views around Indonesia, Thailand, India, Philippines, China, South
Korea and Malaysia sovereigns.
 Recommended Asian EM investment strategies and tactical opportunities to foreign based EM Debt, Global
Macro and Credit Portfolio Managers and Investment Committee.
 Built analytics to identify and anticipate absolute and relative value market opportunities in local currency
bonds, FX, Provide macro context and top-down analysis to complement credit research and Economics
group. Establish trust and credibility with market specialists, economists, strategists, investors and
policymakers.
 Served as lead FX strategist for Malay Ringgit, Thai Baht, Indonesian Rupiah, Philippine peso and
Singapore Dollar, Chinese Yuan, Korean Won and Taiwan Dollar. Synthesized fundamental and technical
analysis, modelling, regional themes and key drivers to forecast, formulate outlook on Asian currencies.
Developed and managed stable of analytical models, including estimated monthly central bank FX
intervention, Monetary Policy changes.
 Real time analysis, thematic reports, monthly and quarterly outlook reports. Bottom – Up approach analysis
and Top – Down analysis.
Sept 2001 – Nov 2004 Senior Asia FX/FI Strategist
4CAST
 Real time FX and local currency bonds analysis in Emerging Asia, providing real-time market flows, chart
technical, rumors and commentary along with original graphics.
 Identifed key news and market moves to ensure 4CAST stays ahead of the competition.
 Commissioning commentaries and trade ideas, edit technical market content and jump in to do coverage
from time to time.
 A strong team player coordinating with FX/FI strategists in London and New York. Working together with
Asia market specialist, economists and strategists in collaborating reports and views.
 Staying on top of markets and analysing data in a fast-moving, real-time setting.
 In-depth knowledge of Emerging Asian economies. Made bold calls on how central banks will respond on
the monetary policy front and back up arguments, with analytical tools.
 Developed Analytical Tools – Built a Monetary Policy Signalling Index for Emerging Asia Central Banks and
evaluating policy response effect on currencies and local currency bonds.
 Developed Spreadsheet modelling of using International Reserves composition to model currency changes
over medium term, specifically used this approach for Emerging Asia central banks.
 Adept at analysis of the economies of China, South Korea, Singapore, India, Thailand, Malaysia and
Indonesia and writing short-form analysis with strong conclusions with a bottom –up approach.
 Ability to weave solitary economic/financial market trends into big-picture snippets.
 Adept at creating clear charts and visualizations to highlight market trends and anomalies and mispricing of
financial market instruments.
May 2000 – May 2001 Asia FX/FI

Strategist
Informa Global Markets/MCM Money Watch
 Real time FX and local currency bonds analysis in Emerging Asia, providing real-time market flows, chart
technical, rumors and commentary along with original graphics.
 Modelling of NDF markets using curve spreads analysis for identifying arbitrage trading ideas. NDF markets
in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, India, South Korea, China and Philippines were main areas of focus.
 Developed analytical tools taking into account of policy spreads influence on Emerging Asian currencies,
using regressions, correlations approach.
 Analyzed effects on US Treasury curve moves on Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, South Korea, India and
Philippines local currency bonds.
 Provided market intelligence reports that included market scoops on policy changes on FX and Interest Rate
policy in Emerging Asia.
 Provided insights on interest rate market flow and key technical reversal levels. Used technical analysis and
market flow as key barometers in gauging market behavior. This approach was vital when event risk
occurrence was high.
 Used Implied and Realized Volatility valuation for forecasting and short-term/medium-term trading strategies
in FX and local currency bonds in Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, India, South Korea and Philippines.


Aug 1997 – Apr 2000 Asia FX/FI Strategist
SBC Warburg/UBS
 Developed Daily Asia FX/FI strategy pieces and published position papers on a regular basis.
 Provided trade recommendation on the purchase, sale or holding of Emerging Asian currencies to global
fund managers and Asset Management teams.
 Developed quality thematic and strategic research client servicing with strategy recommendations and trade
ideas. Communicated recommendations to clients either in cooperation with sales force or directly with
clients.
 Worked together with the front-office team on the FX floor in London, New York and Singapore with primary
focus on FX markets.
 Responded to requests from sales force and clients for analysis/advice within assigned area which was
Emerging Asia markets
 Made presentations to clients, industry groups and internal departments. Developed and distributed written
materials and reports.
 Analytical Tools - developed proprietary econometric models for foreign exchange analysis and forecast for
South East Asia.
 Analysis of major country events related with foreign exchange dynamics particularly during the Asian
Financial Crisis of 1997/98. Analysis included modelling news flows and impact on currency and interest
rate movements in Emerging Asia markets of Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, China, South Korea, India and
Philippines.
 Analyzed market microstructures and quantitative trading in FX/FI markets of Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia,
South Korea and Philippines when capital control measures were implemented during AFC of 1997/98.
 Mapped data flows across FX/FI markets in South East Asia and applied to formulate trading strategies.
 Assisted in developing views on FX and Local currency bonds with strategists and economists within the
Global Research team.
 Worked with the Global Fixed Income Research team to develop and improve models in the areas of fixed
income asset allocation.
 Participated in the Fixed Income investment strategy meetings, presenting to senior management on the
macro outlook.
 Interacted with Portfolio Managers and other asset management team members to support the investment
process.


July 1994 – July 1997 Asia FX/FI Strategist
Central Bank of Malaysia
 Collaborated with Central Bank dealers in supporting decisions on international investment position, via FX
and Fixed Income reports. Played an integral role in the quarterly investment strategy decision-making
process.
 Conducted quantitative analysis in reserve investment and risk to facilitate active monitoring and interim
investment strategy formulation.
Analysing Asian interest rate and FX markets and providing inputs to the Monetary Policy division of the
Economics Department.
 Was part of the International Reserve Management Committee that was tasked in evaluating and providing
recommendations to the Ministry of Finance and the treasury department of the Central Bank.
 Produced research reports on a wide variety of topics pertinent to the management of the international
reserves.
 Supervised and was responsible for the work produced by Central Bank’s financial markets analysis section
particularly in the areas of FX and Fixed Income markets of Emerging Asia.


Education
University of Malaya, 2009 - 2014
Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.). Specialization in Financial Macro Economics, Econometrics, Quantitative Analysis
My thesis title'Modelling Financial Market Imperfections in Emerging Asia'.
I adopted three significant approach in this study, short term interest rate swaps applied to single factor interest rate
models, testing the onshore and offshore FX forwards and NDFs in the Mundell Fleming model, building a monetary
policy signaling tool to evaluate Asian central banks signaling potency and capabilities.
The imperfections in interest rate and foreign exchange markets were evaluated against monetary policy signaling
in Emerging Asia in a pay-off matrix using risk -reward approach.
My examiners were Prof. Barry Eichengreen of UC Berkeley and Prof. Stephen Figlewski of NYU Stern School of
Business.


University of Malaya, 1995 -1999
Master's Degree, Economics
My dissertation title ' Fiscal Policy Impact on Real Exchange Rate and Trade Balance of Malaysia: With reference to
the late 1990s crisis'
University of Malaya, 1990 - 1994
Bachelor's Degree, Applied Economics
Technical Skills
I am adept in using E-Views which is a time series statistical software.
Analyze it – which is a statistical tool that interfaces with Excel for Correlation and Principal Component Analysis.
Vose Risk – which is a Model Risk software that interfaces with Excel for analyzing correlation of nonlinear data and
time series analysis.
Reuters and Bloomberg
Achievements
Book Prize for best graduate in Applied Economics Division, Faculty of Economics, University Malaya 1994
Central Bank of Malaysia – Gold Medal Finalist for Economics 1994
Best FX Research and Market Coverage in Malaysia – 2012, 2013, 2014 – Asiamoney Poll
Best FX Research Analyst – Asiamoney Poll 2014
Best FX Strategist/Economist – Asiamoney Poll 2014
Publications
 Ramanathan, Suresh, and Kian-Teng Kwek. "The twin faces of emerging Asia's currency forward
markets in an imperfect setting." Applied Financial Economics 23.18 (2013): 1433-1446.
 Ramanathan, Suresh, and Kian-Teng Kwek. "Drift term and vertex point in single factor interest rate
model." Mathematical Finance Letters 2013 (2013).
 Ramanathan, Suresh, and Kian Teng. "Emerging Asia’s Version of the Mundell-Fleming Model."
Modern Economy 4 (2013): 596
 Ramanathan, Suresh, and Kian-Teng Kwek. "Inferences from Interest Rate Behaviour for Monetary
Policy Signalling." IOSR Journal of Applied Physics 4 (2013): 55-65.
 Ramanathan, Suresh, and Kian Teng. "Single Factor Interest Rate Models in Inflation Targeting
Economies of Emerging Asia." Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods 2.3 (2013): 95-104.
 Ramanathan, Suresh, and Kian Teng. "Behavioral Pattern of Emerging Asia Currency Option Risk
Reversals: An Indicator for Foreign Exchange Hedging." The Journal of Trading 9.2 (2014): 27-38.
 Ramanathan, Suresh, and Kian-Teng Kwek. "Modelling an Alternative Expression of Covered Interest
Parity–in Inflation Targeting Economies of Emerging Asia." Journal of Reviews on Global Economics 3
(2014): 373-376.
 Ramanathan, Suresh and Kian-Teng, Kwek “Signalling and Imperfections – A Risk Taker and Risk
Averse Game”, Journal of Game Theory, Vol 3, 2 (2014), pp 24-30.
 Ramanathan, Suresh and Kian-Teng, Kwek “Deviation from Covered Interest Parity and the Influence of
Arbitragers and Speculators in Asian Currency Markets” WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON BUSINESS
AND ECONOMICS, 2015



Calling all Forex Traders in Malaysia come join and watch the preview about BREXIT ,Englands exit from Europe and the impact of GBP against all other currencies anticipated about 6000 points movement and you can capture this movement in advance and position yourself in advance.
Join us for this BREXIT preview for Forex Traders in Kuala Lumpur 6000 pips GBP pairs. https://www.facebook.com/events/130504850686753/

Dr Suresh Rama is a regular in Bloomberg and and Financial commentator of the present and future of Global Currency..

nexona88
post May 22 2016, 03:00 PM

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From: REality
QUOTE(bbgoat @ May 22 2016, 08:49 AM)
I started with 100k in Public Mutual. In 2013, 13 years later, it went to >400k. But last 2 years yo yo. Bought various funds.

Tips, u should get it from others. I am not typical one that u should learn from !  tongue.gif

OT, get tips from other threads:

https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/3189366/+700
*
I'm impressed with your return from PM thumbsup.gif sweat.gif
jack2
post May 22 2016, 03:42 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ May 22 2016, 12:11 PM)
Can u share d insights of smart technology here?
*
only speculative trades can earn that much without high capital.
TSwil-i-am
post May 22 2016, 04:11 PM

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QUOTE(jack2 @ May 22 2016, 03:42 PM)
only speculative trades can earn that much without high capital.
*
On average out of 10 txn, how many txn u made?
bbgoat
post May 22 2016, 04:34 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ May 22 2016, 03:00 PM)
I'm impressed with your return from PM  thumbsup.gif  sweat.gif
*
Power of compounded returns. Last 2 years stagnant due to market issues. About 9% returns per year average over the 16 years as now about 425k.

Actually did not touch it for years since I bought them around year 2000. tongue.gif
nexona88
post May 22 2016, 04:36 PM

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Joined: Sep 2014
From: REality
QUOTE(bbgoat @ May 22 2016, 04:34 PM)
Power of compounded returns. Last 2 years stagnant due to market issues. About 9% returns per year average over the 16 years as now about 425k.

Actually did not touch it for years since I bought them around year 2000.  tongue.gif
*
nice rclxms.gif
jack2
post May 22 2016, 05:46 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ May 22 2016, 04:11 PM)
On average out of 10 txn, how many txn u made?
*
1 week about 10-25 transactions.

But I do diversify too...

Can consider the attachment's...



Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
TSwil-i-am
post May 22 2016, 08:33 PM

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QUOTE(jack2 @ May 22 2016, 05:46 PM)
1 week about 10-25 transactions.

But I do diversify too...

Can consider the attachment's...
*
Out of 10-25 txn in a week, how many txn u profit/loss/breakeven?

Thanks for d chart
It's ez to register high/low ROI if the base sum is small
U can explore to increase d base sum to 5 or 6 or 7 digits n c whether u can achieve 15% ROI? smile.gif

aromachong
post May 22 2016, 08:49 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ May 22 2016, 08:33 PM)
Out of 10-25 txn in a week, how many txn u profit/loss/breakeven?

Thanks for d chart
It's ez to register high/low ROI if the base sum is small
U can explore to increase d base sum to 5 or 6 or 7 digits n c whether u can achieve 15% ROI?  smile.gif
*
agree on this part
jack2
post May 22 2016, 09:56 PM

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Joined: Oct 2004
QUOTE(wil-i-am @ May 22 2016, 08:33 PM)
Out of 10-25 txn in a week, how many txn u profit/loss/breakeven?

Thanks for d chart
It's ez to register high/low ROI if the base sum is small
U can explore to increase d base sum to 5 or 6 or 7 digits n c whether u can achieve 15% ROI?  smile.gif
*
Can. Because it is Pamm which got 690k from many investors.

The profit is distributed according to investors' share.

What I get the profit, they will get too.

On 970 over 690k... u should be able to count off how many total profits.

This post has been edited by jack2: May 22 2016, 10:10 PM
TSwil-i-am
post May 22 2016, 11:03 PM

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QUOTE(jack2 @ May 22 2016, 09:56 PM)
Can. Because it is Pamm which got 690k from many investors.

The profit is distributed according to investors' share.

What I get the profit, they will get too.

On 970 over 690k... u should be able to count off how many total profits.
*
I failed my maths in primary school
Since u r confident, did u consider to show hand?
jack2
post May 22 2016, 11:10 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ May 22 2016, 11:03 PM)
I failed my maths in primary school
Since u r confident, did u consider to show hand?
*
Share ratio = 970/690,000 = 0.14%

Total Profit = 152 /0.14% = 108,570

So work back total profit x share ratio = 108,570 x 0.14% = 152

So 108,570 / 690,000 = 15.7% also la...

because the account earned USD108,570 of out 690,000


Ya, i invested another 5k last week.
TSwil-i-am
post May 22 2016, 11:16 PM

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QUOTE(jack2 @ May 22 2016, 11:10 PM)
Share ratio = 970/690,000 = 0.14%

Total Profit = 152 /0.14% = 108,570

So work back total profit x share ratio = 108,570 x 0.14% = 152

So 108,570 / 690,000 = 15.7% also la...

because the account earned USD108,570 of out 690,000
Ya, i invested another 5k last week.
*
15.7% is over a period of how many mths?
jack2
post May 22 2016, 11:17 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ May 22 2016, 11:16 PM)
15.7% is over a period of how many mths?
*
1 month... u see the bottom of the pic// usd970 is invested on april 20..

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