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 Fundsupermart.com v12, Najibnomics to lift KLCI?

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Vanguard 2015
post Oct 12 2015, 03:10 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Oct 9 2015, 12:28 AM)
Received this email today.

Anybody can study this: RHB PRE-IPO & SPECIAL SITUATION FUND 3 (MYR class).

I dont quite know what it is..Need you guys' view
Is it a good UT to buy?

in particular this:
RHB-OSK Pre-IPO Fund (2011-2015), 4 years lock in period, 84% total returns for investors.

--> The last one launched made 84% in 4 years??
1 year average return 21%?? That sounds too good. betul kah?

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Guy3288, I am quoting from FSM's reply below to my e-mail. I hope this helps.

QUOTE
Please be informed that for the sales charge will be strictly 2% in regardless of any situation as below:

Situations:
1.        Normal Investors = 2%
2.        FSM Rewards Program = 2% (regardless silver, gold and platinum)
3.        Intra switching from RHB equity to RHB equity = 2%
4.        New Account Benefits buying Pre-IPO = 2%
5.        Alternative transfer in from other portfolio is not allowed too.
This means that if you invest RM100k, the sales fees is RM2000K. You have to calculate the opportunity costs of not investing the RM2000k for the next 5 years. Your actual investment is only RM98K.

The fund is currently about 50% subscribed. Therefore they may close it before the expiry date of the IPO on 18th November 2015.

Let's look at the track record of RHB's previous IPO fund. I am quoting from FSM's reply below.

QUOTE
RHB-OSK Pre-IPO & Special Situation Fund 2 (09/2014-current), 1 Year (as at 31st August 2015) NAV up 30.9%* (excluding cash distribution), there were 2 times income distribution been declared and the second pay-out is in the process.
2015 Q2 Cash Distribution of 1.3%
2015 Q3 Cash Distribution of 1.6% (in process)
2015 Q4 Cash Distribution is expected to continue based on the current information provided by the portfolio companies
Fund Name Ex-Date Distribution Date1 Gross Income Distribution Rate Net Income Distribution Rate Net Income Distribution Rate (%)
RHB-OSK Pre-IPO & Special Situation Fund 2 28-Sep-2015 28-Sep-2015 RM 0.0162 per unit RM 0.0162 per unit 1.6%
RHB-OSK Pre-IPO & Special Situation Fund 2 18-Jun-2015 18-Jun-2015 RM 0.012856 per unit RM 0.012856 per unit 1.3%
Vanguard 2015
post Oct 12 2015, 03:19 PM

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So is the RHB PRE-IPO & SPECIAL SITUATION FUND 3 worth buying?

Strictly speaking, it is a private equity fund and NOT a unit trust. It is more like Warren Buffet's style of investing.

IMHO, it is suitable for "qualified investors" who are prepared to risk it all, i.e. suffer a 100% loss of capital. Therefore this means that it should only form 5% to 10% of our total portfolio.

A risk rating of 10 is not sufficient.
Vanguard 2015
post Oct 12 2015, 07:22 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Oct 12 2015, 06:43 PM)
Thanks, i also enquired about that 2% fee, got same reply as you, abit disappointed.
Looks like you are considering it also. let me know if you decide to buy.
Suffer 100% loss i think is very very unlikely.
If after 5 years no profit already jialat liao.. We are buying on FSM's reputation.
If FSM bring us to holland, next time no business lo.
But previous series showed very good result, same management right?
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Yes, previous RHB fund series obtained good results. Some brief insights:-

Pros


1. We cannot redeem within 5 years. Therefore no such thing as panic selling or making emotional decision. We cannot even check the NAV price every day if I am not mistaken.

2. Superior return and less volatile as compared to stocks and hedge funds?

Cons / Risks

1. Generally all the risks are stated in the Product Highlight Sheet.
2. Cannot redeem within 5 years. Therefore we have to make sure that we have emergency fund for medical expenses, etc.
3. It is a closed ended fund and not a unit trust. Therefore there is no such thing as using DCA or Value Averaging to average down the costs of the NAV.
4. It is NOT capital guaranteed. The returns are also not guaranteed.
5. The fund is incorporated in the Cayman Islands. If things go south, I don't think even Securities Commission can help the investors.

Comparison with other products


1. EPF - Self contribution maximum up to RM60K per year. Minimum statutory annual dividend of 2.5% per annum. Capital guaranteed.

2. Insurance endowment policy. Minimum lock in period of 10 years? Interest rate and bonus of about 5% (my wild guess). Capital guaranteed.

3. Fixed deposit. Current return of about 4.05% for 12 months (Maybank). Minimum deposit RM30K. Capital guaranteed.


Conclusion

The RHB fund aims to double its investment in 5 years. This works out to a return of about 14.87 % per annum. Roughly you expect to see about RM14,870.00 return per year for a RM100k investment.

Yes, I believe it is the same management team as the previous RHB Fund. The fund managers are based in Singapore.

I agree that unlikely that it will suffer 100% loss. The only downside is the 5 years lock in period without any capital guaranteed. But this is how private equity funds work apparently.

So is the fund worth buying? I am not sure. See more info at
http://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/resea...te-Equity--6375



Vanguard 2015
post Oct 15 2015, 03:05 PM

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I took profit today from the following funds:-

(1) KGF
(2) Eastspring Small Cap
(3) Ta European Equity Fund
(4) RHB Asian Total Return Fund
Vanguard 2015
post Oct 15 2015, 05:49 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Oct 15 2015, 03:41 PM)
And switched to?

European equities quite weak recently...what makes u take "profit"? unsure.gif

Bro, don't over-trade UTs lar... doh.gif
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I intra switched all the profits into their equivalent bond houses. I agree that we should not overtrade on UTs....but my fingers are just too itchy sometimes.

Sorry ar. I am not really setting a good example in investing in unit trusts. sad.gif

Other forumers, please don't follow Vanguard's footstep. He will lead you to Holland. sweat.gif

Note : (1) My profit for the TA European Fund was only 6.73%. I think it fell from an initial profit of more than 10% within 1 week.

(2) My definition of "taking profits" is just my layman understanding. For e.g. if I put RM10K in KGF fund and it grew 10%, I took out the RM1000 profit and parked in into the Kenanga Bond Fund. When the NAV of KGF falls later, I switched back the RM1000 into KGF again (usually quarterly). Strictly speaking, not Value Averaging. Like this OK ar, Pink Spider? notworthy.gif

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: Oct 15 2015, 06:14 PM
Vanguard 2015
post Oct 16 2015, 08:01 AM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Oct 15 2015, 07:39 PM)
Speaking of taking profit... a very volatile fund such as below can let one make handsome game... but the risk is just too demanding  sweat.gif  sweat.gif  sweat.gif

But if you like to trade / gamble... try AmPrecious, in one mth gain 13.5%, but its volatility is like 33%. The past three year track record shows 67% of the time it swings between -57% to +9%. If you time it right, when it is at its base of -57%, and it swings to +9%, you would have made a handsome gain of 66% ROI.

Xuzen
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Yes, I had a small gambling portfolio previously and I "invested" in AmPrecious. It was a stomach churning ride. I made some money and lost some money. So for the time being I am staying out. smile.gif
Vanguard 2015
post Oct 16 2015, 08:05 AM

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QUOTE(lizardjeremy @ Oct 15 2015, 09:08 PM)
what is the benchmark for all these funds?

in addition i would just ignore ROI which is a general metric not suitable for measuring the return of mutual fund
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You mean the profit taking I did yesterday is not real??? I thought I made a profit of RM14,515.71 transferring the profits from my equity funds into the bond funds.

So all this time I have wasted my time investing in unit trusts since ROI doesn't matter? Sheesh...what a scam. shakehead.gif



Vanguard 2015
post Oct 16 2015, 02:51 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Oct 16 2015, 12:13 PM)
Let's go back to basics of investing, FV = PV x (1+ ROI)^(t)

ROI = rate of return
t = time

Chasing return by trading is inferior strategy compared to being invested all the time. Even a lower ROI of say 6% consistent return over time will beat a one off 200% ROI.

Look at the equation again... ROI is linearly related to the gains, but if you have a consistent moderate return but your time invested is long, the gain is exponential! That is why looking at the risk / volatility is very important also. It is not just an academic exercise...

Xuzen
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Hi thanks for the explanation Xuzen. I was only trying to stir up sh*t with my earlier remark. Adding more fuel to the fire.

I am just a layman investor. As long as my profit and loss column is green and looks OK, I am happy. I don't really follow up about IRR, CAGR, etc. Of course if possible my profit should be higher than FD rate. biggrin.gif
Vanguard 2015
post Oct 16 2015, 03:00 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Oct 16 2015, 01:34 PM)
You foresee KGF And Eastspring Small Cap will drop?
My KGF profit  13.2% and Small Cap 11.8%, if you foresee they will drop i want to sell also.
My highest profit now is 21.7% CIMB Asia Pac Dynamic, frens in here say can buy more.

CIMB Global Titans also they all recommended - i added 3k today.
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Hi Guy3288, I can't really foresee what will happen to KGF and Eastspring Small Cap in the future. Sometimes I practise constant dollar investment for KGF and EISC because they already form close to 18% of my total portfolio.

This investment strategy works well for those investors who are somewhat risk adverse. But you won't earn as much profit as Value Averaging or a buy-and-hold strategy in a rising market.

Read more at http://www.finweb.com/investing/constant-d...l#axzz3oi81j7Gl

Now you have 3 methods to choose from depending on your investment strategy, either DCA, Value Averaging or Constant Dollar Investment.

Happy Investing bro. biggrin.gif

Note: I only intra switched the profits from my KGF and EISC funds into the Kenanga Bond Fund and Eastspring Bond Fund. But my principal sum remains invested in KGF and EISC.

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: Oct 16 2015, 03:12 PM
Vanguard 2015
post Oct 16 2015, 04:52 PM

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Thanks for sharing Xuzen. As they say, investing should be boring. smile.gif
Vanguard 2015
post Oct 16 2015, 05:29 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Oct 16 2015, 05:03 PM)
but yours is...exciting brows.gif
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Yeah..my previous portfolio was too exciting. That's why I rebalanced my portfolio. My heart cannot take it already. tongue.gif

Vanguard 2015
post Oct 19 2015, 02:47 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Oct 19 2015, 02:01 PM)
this FSM FPX payment got problem, unable to receive TAG, tried M2U and cIMB click also same.......looks like i cant top up Global Titans today....sigh
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Buat manual-lah bro. You can still pay by logging in on M2U and select:-

1. Bill Payment
2. Make a one off payment
3. Unit trust and investment
4. I-Fast Capital Sdn Bhd
Vanguard 2015
post Oct 21 2015, 10:49 AM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Oct 21 2015, 08:12 AM)
some thing to ponder about this morning.... biggrin.gif
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Hi YK Looi,

Based on my personal experience, Point No. 1 is possible, i.e. earning the 1st million by the age of 37. I am only using standard 6 maths. Assuming that a person starts working at the age of 23, his salary, increments, bonuses, EPF, may add up to RM1 million by the time he is 37 (excluding expenses).

But if the article is referring to accumulating a net amount of RM1 million at the age of 37 (after deducting expenses), this is not easy unless one is self employed or a savvy investor.

For Point No. 2, earning the first RM1 million through unit trusts investment by the age of 37, I think this is highly unlikely. Assuming that a person start investing at the age of 23 until the age of 37 (i.e. an investment period of 14 years), I calculated that roughly he will need an initial capital layout of RM200K and a monthly investment of RM1000K and a return of 10% per annum to get RM1 million in 14 years. My calculation EXCLUDES the sales fees and the annual management expenses.

Thus far I have not met a person who invested RM200K in unit trusts at the age of 23. Of course he could have invested RM20K at the age of 23 and then increase his monthly investment to RM3000K but again, this is unlikely.

Therefore IMHO, although the article maybe well intentioned, it is not entirely correct.

P/S: I am just wondering what is the source of the article.
Vanguard 2015
post Oct 21 2015, 11:27 AM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Oct 21 2015, 11:00 AM)
the source....

Eastspring Investments Berhad releases Unit Trust Investor Behaviour Study

Kuala Lumpur (2 October 2015) – Eastspring Investments Berhad, the Asia asset management arm of UK-based Prudential plc, today released Unit Trust Investor Behaviour Study.
http://www.eastspringinvestments.com.my/do...roved_Final.pdf
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Ahh....that explains a lot. Ok thanks.
Vanguard 2015
post Oct 21 2015, 02:35 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Oct 21 2015, 01:40 PM)
hello frens, see got quite some profit in my FSm, wanna take profit, sell  east spring small cap, KGF,  Hwang Select asia Jap opportunity, switch to CMF. Any comments appreciated before 3pm. next month market drop can buy back
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Why not just intra switch the excess profit and keep the principal sum invested in EISC, KGF and Hwang Select Asia Jap?

You have no plans to stay invested over the next 5 years?
Vanguard 2015
post Oct 21 2015, 02:46 PM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Oct 21 2015, 12:57 PM)
Just thinkin' - statistics are correct, just the presentation/intepretation & usage may not be too correct notworthy.gif
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I agree. BTW, I am also over 37 years old. Therefore (cough, cough) I can speak with some experience about what is realistic and what is not.

For forumers here, I don't mean to pour cold water over unit trust investments including FSM. I am also invested in it. But due to the high costs of unit trust investment in Malaysia including the killer annual management fees, trustee fees, etc, IMHO, it should only form one basket of our investment.

We need to move beyond unit trusts to accumulate wealth. notworthy.gif

This post has been edited by Vanguard 2015: Oct 21 2015, 02:52 PM
Vanguard 2015
post Oct 21 2015, 02:51 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Oct 21 2015, 02:44 PM)
ok
intra switch to CMF yes. Stay invested for 5 years, can.
just hand itchy . from previous swings, from 20k profit it can go down to almost none if mart were to  crash again.
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Bro, selling it into CMF is NOT intra switch. It is considered as selling the funds. doh.gif

Intra switch means:-

(1) Switching the profits from EISC into Eastspring Bond; and
(2) Switching the profits from KGF into Kenanga Bond.

In this way, you can accumulate credit points. Later you can intra switch back from the bond funds above into the equivalent equity funds within the same fund houses for FREE with zero sales fee.

If you wish, you can also switch later from Eastspring Bond or Kenanga Bond into CMF after getting the credit points.
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post Oct 22 2015, 02:16 PM

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QUOTE(jerk @ Oct 21 2015, 06:30 PM)
@Vanguard 2015

thank you. i have never thought of selling into cmf through bond funds to earn the credit points. 1 extra step but at least save some $$$
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You are most welcome bro. I am happy to share my limited knowledge and also to learn from the other forumers here. thumbup.gif
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post Oct 22 2015, 02:27 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Oct 21 2015, 07:42 PM)
good news , luckily i added some that day at 0.2897
i see  next time i can switch to bond , get  free credits some more? But my  Equity purchases bought at 0% fee can get credits also?

thanx sifu sifu in here.
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Yes, next time you can intra switch from equity funds into bond funds for the same fund houses and get free credit points. I think it applies for equity purchases bought at 0% fee as well. This means that if you intra switch a profit of RM10k, you will SAVE RM150 on your next purchase of the equity fund (assuming a sales fee of 1.5%).

This credit points can be utilised for the purchase of any equity fund houses which is NOT limited to the original equity fund which you switched out from earlier.

One note of caution. Please make sure that you switch into a low risk bond fund, i.e. risk rating of 1 to 2.

P/S: I think you have earned enough profit to cover the sales fee of RM2K for the RHB IPO No. 3, i.e., you can now buy in for free. brows.gif
Vanguard 2015
post Oct 22 2015, 02:28 PM

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QUOTE(guy3288 @ Oct 21 2015, 07:42 PM)

must stay how long in bond before switching out to CMF to get credits?
Switch in and immediately switch out also can get credit points?

thanx sifu sifu in here.
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There is no time limit to stay in the bond funds to get the credit points. Once you have switched into the bond fund and it is reflected in your account, you can sell it into CMF immediately.


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