I caught the following write-up about Starhub. I've always wondered if I should continue holding Starhub, or cut loss. The following write-up gives me some ideas on the ability of Starhub to continue paying our distributions.
In a defensive industry, sports strong credit metricsAs Singapore's second-largest telco, Starhub is generally seen as a defensive "cash cow", generating sizable levels of operating cash flow each year. We note that the company is priced on its cash-generative abilities rather than on its asset base, which means the company's debt-to-equity of 507% (as of end-Dec 16) is generally not a good representation of the firm's financial health.
To put Starhub's financials in perspective, the company generated sizable operating cash flows to the tune of S$604.4m and S$637.2m for FY16 and FY15 respectively (before taxes), helping the company to maintain a S$345-346m annual dividend payout to shareholders over the past two financial years. Despite sporting a S$987.5m debt load (as of end-Mar 17), the company paid just S$25.1m in interest costs last year – interest coverage was 27.6X, indicating a very strong ability to service debt. As another measure of financial strength, net-debt to EBITDA (trailing 12-month, as of end-Mar 17) was 0.88X, which suggests that the company can retire all its debt based on operations for less than a year (the end-Mar 17 net debt position was S$586.3m, while FY16 EBITDA was S$690.1m).
While it is unlikely that Starhub would raise S$1b from the issue, even raising such a sizable amount (at a higher 5% p.a. rate) would add just S$50m to interest costs per year. While this would triple interest costs (from S$25.1m in FY16), this would be a "drop in the ocean" relative to the
S$600+m operating cash flow generated each year by the company and would not have a significant impact on debt servicing ability (the company's interest coverage is not expected to deteriorate meaningfully with the issuance of the new perpetuals). We would acknowledge that a key risk going forward is the impact of new entrant (TPG) which could hurt profitability of incumbent telcos, although from a bondholders' perspective, the company has a sizable dividend (~S$345m) which it can cut to conserve cash if necessary.
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In short, to make things simple; Starhub can...
1) generate cash of S$600m + every year before TPG comes to bite off part of the mobile cash income
2) payout dividend amount of S$345m every year.
Payout Ratio is only S$(345/600) = 58%.
I forgot,... how much does mobile contribute to the total operating cashflow of Starhub ? Bros Ram, Prince... do you guys know ??
2) It pay out dividend by taking loan (something which Digi does but Digi does a better job - as their profit margin is way way higher than the loan)
So I never really study it.
2) telkomsel (indon company which singtel owns 30+%) is more profitable than apple (profit margin if I am not mistaken)
3) doesn't depend on telecomnuications alone. I believe they are brnaching out into cybersecurity