QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Sep 30 2015, 07:05 PM)
U didn't take into account capital depreciation, if any
I agree with that. The lowest that Keppel Corp ever dropped to was back in 2008 when it hit 3.29. Will it ever drop back to $3.29 ? Nobody can tell for sure.
But what I can tell for sure is in 2008, it gave a total DPU of SGD0.69 which was the highest DPU given ever. Subsequently, year-after-year, the dividend payout has been quite consistent, even through the Euro crisis. I think I can live with the highest dividend for that year when the stock price hits its lowest level, and subsequently recovered.
Coming back to our PNB funds, even though the chance is quite remote that the FP funds will be converted to VP, there is still a possibility since the terms are in the Master Prospectus. Secondly, what about the tax exemption clause by end-2016 ?
Added : the question then becomes are we willing to take a risk for a big drop in capital appreciation back to the subprime crisis level of $3.29 for an additional 0.5% dividend yield, paid twice a year, in a currency that has a higher chance of winning in the long run against the RM and with its origin based in a better country with less of the problems that we are facing in this country ?
Will Keppel Corp drop back to so low as $3.29 ? Don't forget that it is a strong company with a big mkt cap, and a dividend payout that will support the price.
This post has been edited by Hansel: Sep 30 2015, 07:39 PM