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 USD/MYR drop, V2

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yck1987
post Sep 14 2015, 05:40 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 14 2015, 04:39 PM)
usd/rm stays rangebound 4.31x.
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PM announces ValueCap revival, RM20b injection in bid to boost economy - See more at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia...h.VlfcbGoy.dpuf
yck1987
post Sep 14 2015, 06:02 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 14 2015, 05:52 PM)
we'll see if this valuecap will be able to keep prices high or simply allow foreigners to get out at better prices.

seems no effect on rm today.

notice epf is in there? sweat.gif
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No effect on rm yet but Bursa had late rally 2.25% after the announcement?
yck1987
post Sep 15 2015, 05:10 PM

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QUOTE(3antz @ Sep 15 2015, 11:28 AM)
Hi Hansel, that is a very interesting insight. I hope you do not mind me asking what's the best way to hedge against a foreign currency eg.USD? If I would like to go down this path, should I be looking at opening a dual currency account, saving $ into an offshore bank eg. Singapore or buy some UT in FSM SG (not MY)?
I'm not very knowledgeable in these areas and would like to understand from you. Thanks in advance.
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wink.gif

This post has been edited by yck1987: Sep 16 2015, 12:16 AM
yck1987
post Sep 17 2015, 02:35 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Sep 17 2015, 01:27 PM)
Did RM strengthen today ??? I saw the exchange rate from RM into the SGD is at the highest point on record now.
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Usually I refer to this live rate money changer in SG.
http://arcademoneychangers.com.sg/ratesbiglogo.asp

highest rate so far recorded at 3.04 a couple days ago.
yck1987
post Sep 21 2015, 03:36 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 21 2015, 03:29 PM)
Still very very far from the ratio I wish  tongue.gif
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Mine was like myr 20:80 sgd including cpf in sinkapoh. Isn't good?
yck1987
post Sep 21 2015, 03:40 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 21 2015, 03:37 PM)
here we go... first prediction of coming inflation - 40%! tongue.gif
seriously, i expect official inflation figure to be still <5% in a yr's time but...

i expect 25-30% overall price incr for urban consumer spending, be it kopi-o, pizza, car battery or ipad.

after price goes up, they never come down.

now, if oil/petrol price rise 10%, 40% actual price incr in a yr's time is very possible.

such shockers coupled with imprudent budgets already seen in several  other countries of late.
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Do you think inflation will apply to property sector and pricing too?
yck1987
post Sep 21 2015, 05:51 PM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Sep 21 2015, 05:21 PM)
CPF cannot take out to use one until you get old....Still not good enough  tongue.gif
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Would like to hear your great strategies then. How you diversify your portfolio? notworthy.gif
yck1987
post Oct 9 2015, 11:21 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 9 2015, 10:55 AM)
this is the trillion $ question, isn't it?

the situation is very fluid and changes every day or week.

weak or strong usd will continue to drive direction of commodity, stocks and bond prices as it has for the past 1 yr.

imo, futile to try to read the fed, can only not fight it.

good if u r very convinced which way to go.

i am not so sure which way it will go from here... sweat.gif
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If MAS to ease policy by this time round next week, will it benefit of exchanging part of my SGD to USD now and expect the weaken of SGD later on?
yck1987
post Oct 9 2015, 11:22 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Oct 9 2015, 11:09 AM)
Short USD now to make $, anyone?
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I'm planning to do opposite way, buy more USD. What's ur thought?
yck1987
post Oct 9 2015, 11:28 AM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Oct 9 2015, 11:27 AM)
The direction is changing
Y u want to go against it now?
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I dont usually follow the flow ma. Not sure right or not hmm.gif
yck1987
post Oct 9 2015, 06:23 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Oct 9 2015, 06:14 PM)
Probably...
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That's why still keeping USD better imo.
yck1987
post Oct 11 2015, 11:40 AM

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I just bot few k of USD @ 1.3985 with SGD yesterday. Still think USD may have further rise soon. Finger cross
yck1987
post Oct 13 2015, 05:00 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 13 2015, 03:28 PM)
Thank you, bro,...

Referring to your earlier comment, I must say that I am more for the possibility that if this China Trade number is not satisfactory and the MAS is to ease tomorrow based on another bad GDP result which is due out at the same time tomorrow morning, then the STI will fall. True enough, the STI fell, though not that much.

For the REITs and stocks I am watching, they were greener in the morning before the report came out, then slowly each counter goes red one after the other. 2 counters were unchanged.

AND : from my first para in the above, the SGD should weaken against the USD and the MYR. But it strengthened instead,... unless we say,... that... people are buying-up the SGD due to its safe-haven currency status. But who would want to buy a safe-haven currency that is going to weaken soon ?

Unless, of course, the GDP number from MAS is really not that bad, and MAS will not ease tomorrow morning.

rclxub.gif  rclxub.gif
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http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...band/?style=biz

possible move of MAS, which wan you like?
yck1987
post Oct 14 2015, 11:29 PM

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QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Oct 14 2015, 11:26 PM)
Folks,

There is an additional advantage of diversification with asset allocation and re-balancing.  You always "Buy Low and Sell High".

So, let's say you put 50% into US stock index ETF and 50% into non-US World stock index.

If US stock goes down and non-US stock world index goes up,

You sell world index (high) and buy US stock index (Low).

Ditto, if US stock goes up and non-US stock world index goes down.

You sell US stock (high) and buy world index (low).

You can do this with multiple asset classes across multiple countries with FIXED percentage.

Dreamer
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what if both index down? would you dump more money into each to apply the buy low sell high theory? sometimes it is just too hard to predict market movement. sad.gif
yck1987
post Nov 29 2015, 05:12 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 29 2015, 12:16 PM)
Managed to convert a batch of MYR into the SGD last Friday at 1 SGD = 3 RM. More ammo accumulated for the SGD warchest and ready to take advantage of further plunge in the STI.
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I waiting for your indicator smile.gif flex.gif

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