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 USD/MYR drop, V2

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TSwil-i-am
post Nov 20 2015, 02:59 PM

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QUOTE(MR_alien @ Nov 20 2015, 02:55 PM)
if its like that thn why do so many still wanna be money changer
and yet..why didn't i see any closing down tongue.gif
*
R u sure 'so many'?
In fact, there r a lot of mergers on-going right now to boost the MCF to meet BNM requirement

TSwil-i-am
post Nov 20 2015, 03:02 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Nov 20 2015, 02:52 PM)
They should have natural hedge on both side one disregard up and down, as they earn the discrepancy between the spread.

They only will loss if greedy by betting on one side aka hoarding a currency that they see strong.
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There is no time to hedge as the speed of transaction n forex rate is too fast
They need to close the position on ASAP basis n trade within internal risk mgt policy to minimize risk n losses
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 20 2015, 03:27 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Nov 20 2015, 03:09 PM)
Yes, it won't perfectly hedge, but it cancels each other out, if always practice the same discipline in term of closing position on both way.
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On paper, it's very ez to say 'close' position on daily basis
However, it's very tough to close position (sometimes) in a reality world
In addition, money changers need to hold (risk) min amt of currencies to meet clients demand

TSwil-i-am
post Nov 20 2015, 10:16 PM

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QUOTE(foohoa @ Nov 20 2015, 06:36 PM)
1 day losses could wipe out entire yr profits
so 1 day also can earn a yr profits lo
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Y dun u become a money changer n test yo skills?
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 20 2015, 10:18 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 20 2015, 07:36 PM)
nice one! thumbup.gif

ok, maybe some magic.

just hope not black magic. laugh.gif
*
Tis is just the tip of the iceberg brows.gif
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 20 2015, 11:12 PM

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1MDB said to near RM10bil power sale to China-led group
http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...roup/?style=biz

Once the deal is confirm, possible for MYR to touch 4.20?
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 21 2015, 12:34 AM

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WTI Crude Oil is trading < USD40 now
Last done @ USD39.98
Will our MYR react negatively or bau?
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 21 2015, 06:59 AM

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Nothing has changed for the positive for Malaysia. I still think we’ll test towards 4.50
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...-slump-in-month

Based on past few days movement, ppl is having tough time to long or short USD
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 21 2015, 02:17 PM

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QUOTE(Kaka23 @ Nov 21 2015, 07:41 AM)
No la..  Cannot tahan already if myr keeps dropping.
*
Wat is yo outlook?
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 21 2015, 05:33 PM

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QUOTE(D.gRave @ Nov 21 2015, 02:53 PM)
When USD rise back, would it be more than 4.5? Heard rumors on Dec gonna be 5, but seeing now 4.27 at the end of Nov, makes me doubt it it gonna rise back.
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Wat sort of rumours tat trigger a huge reversal to 5?
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 21 2015, 08:52 PM

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Time to predict next week movement icon_idea.gif


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TSwil-i-am
post Nov 22 2015, 09:11 AM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 22 2015, 09:08 AM)
Don't know how long to wait before can start to convert more RM into the SGD and the USD, since the RM is strengthening now.
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I tot now since u need less MYR convert into SGD/USD
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 22 2015, 01:24 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 22 2015, 01:11 PM)
since their lowest values[/b], they have all recovered:
brazil +11.8%
turkey +7.3%
indon +7%
mexico +4.5%
s korea +4.2%
malaysia +4.0%
south africa +2.2%
better than south africa... isn't that exciting? tongue.gif
*
I hope the herd mentality will stay for a while

TSwil-i-am
post Nov 22 2015, 05:30 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Nov 22 2015, 05:26 PM)
brazil is still the worst - best time to go there to samba, i guess.
*
Perhaps it's time to stock up in anticipation of next year Olympics in Rio
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 23 2015, 07:58 AM

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QUOTE(Showtime747 @ Nov 23 2015, 07:13 AM)
Don't know. Maybe also because of magic ?
*
Perhaps illusion
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 23 2015, 10:31 PM

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Buy on rumours n Sell on news ...
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 24 2015, 12:18 AM

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No wonder Tenaga up 0.30 ytday since the Co is not force to buy the energy assets from 1MDB
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 24 2015, 10:27 AM

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23 Nov 2015 02:20 UTC - 24 Nov 2015 02:24 UTC
USD/MYR close:4.25711 low:4.25711 high:4.31904

MYR have reacted positively on the gud news
TSwil-i-am
post Nov 24 2015, 12:01 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 24 2015, 11:07 AM)
That's right ! This event is a mkt-moving event. As we speak, the MYR continues to strengthen against the SGD and the USD. Is Premier Li still in town, or has he left for Beijing ???
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Is there any more gud news in the pipeline?

TSwil-i-am
post Nov 24 2015, 12:53 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 24 2015, 12:23 PM)
Hi,..well, I can't think of any yet. Even this Chinese bond-buying ann't was not anticipated earlier. It was because of the effect seen on the MYR strengthening that prompted me to go sniffing around on what could have caused this.

Sale of Edra Energy was also not anticipated, but the idea of this happening is pegged in the back of the mind. If sale of 1MDB assets can move the MYR (still unsure yet),... then I tend to think that when 1MDB gets rid of another asset, that would be a 'strengthening catalyst' for the MYR.

Which brings to mind the sale of the second 1MDB asset - the Sungei Besi land. I would say, to rig-up the SPA and for the other legal activities to be made ready,...the event will likely take place right around the time of or after the US rate hike day, namely Dec 18th...
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I tot 1MDB prefer jv instead of outright sale of Bdr M'sia land

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