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 Fund Investment Corner, Please share anything about Fund.

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keith_hjinhoh
post Apr 20 2007, 04:12 AM

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QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Apr 19 2007, 10:37 PM)
<<I get to know that the return from Unit trust is much higher than FD and safer if compare to stock market.>>

UT is investing in the stock market!! Unless, you are talking about global UT, how can it be safer than stock market?

<<diversify.>>

Let me do it one more time to get through the thick head of people:

THERE IS NO DIVERSIFICATION in KLSE.  Government directly or indirectly owned 50% of KLSE.  Learn from history about reverse take over of Renong by UEM before you buy any stock in Malaysia.

Dreamer
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Diversification not necessary unable to achieve with local market. Diversify can be in term of Bonds vs Equity ratio, or different categories of industries. Rules of diversify = not put everything in the same basket, m i right?
keith_hjinhoh
post Apr 20 2007, 01:19 PM

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QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Apr 20 2007, 08:12 AM)
Bond versus Equity -> Maybe.  But, most of the bonds are issued by Government and GLC too.  Single player dominated the bond too.

<<different categories of industries. Rules of diversify = not put everything in the same basket, m i right?>>

It does not work in Malaysia

A) KLSE is not a good representation of Malaysia economy since NOT all indutries are listed or listed in equal weight.

B) With a single large share holder (Government) in all industries, where is the diversification??

C) All you eggs is hold in one basket!!!

So, you are maybe right about bonds versus stocks.  But, you are wrong in diversification over industries.

Dreamer
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I see, thanks for the information. I'm still new in UT and investing either. What i'm trying to say in economic downturn, the diversification is work in UT assume government didn't make significant impact on KLSE. M i right?

QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 20 2007, 09:07 AM)
Unit trust (equity) is as same as investing in stock market. They used your money to invest in stock market.

I think people have wrong perception it is safer than stock market because 80% of the retailers in KLSE like to buy those 'goreng' stock that's why it is different than unit trust since unit trust managers normally (it depends also) buy those blue chips and more based on fundamental compared to retailers who always like to buy those tips and rumour stock.

If you know how to invest and have sufficient fund to do it yourself, it is much better than unit trust since you don't need to pay 1.5% management fee annual and 5-6% entry charge. If you have discipline and knowledge about the stock market based on fundamental, you can easily also surpass their performance also. Discipline is also a key to success in stock market.
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I think buy and sell stock incurred brokerage fees either. The reason most ppl invest in UT rather than stock market directly is because of diversification like i said assume government didn't make significant impact on it. For example, one is holding stock A,B,C with the money invested rm10k. Compare with the fund itself with holding various industries and numbers of stock across KLSE. This is the differences. Furthermore, I think if the management of the UT is working, when the market crashes, they can liquidate it faster than the other and keep most money in cash. But I dont really know what happened inside the UT mgmt, that's just what i think they'll do.

Any comment?
PS: UT investor, they have to take note of something with the brochure given by the agent. I think compare to overseas brochure, the overseas brochure return are normally show in annualised return which is different from just calculating
(SP-PP)*unit and find the return. If you annualised the return, you might find that the return from UT is actually very low compare to overseas.

The other thing to take note is that the return from the brochure given by the agent/UT, is NAV with NAV. Meaning it's the repurchase price Over a period of 5 years. But it didn't take the 5-6% service charges which incurred during you buy the trust.
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Dreamers: Personally, i think funds in SG is doing quite well. 1st. They're international trade market, the funds participate in international market and they have more experience in investing overseas compare to Malaysia's UT. M i right?
keith_hjinhoh
post Apr 20 2007, 06:58 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 20 2007, 03:36 PM)
brokerage fee 0.42-0.6% x 2 (buy and sell) is minimal only nowadays compared to UT entry charge. Also investing on your own, you get the dividend directly from the stock also liquidify also faster than UT redemption (T+3). Yes, you might get the diversification from UT but as I said before if you have sufficient fund you also can diversify on your own but remember always invest based on fundametal.
But too broad diversification also not good, stay in range of quality stock will do.

Too broad diversification sometimes mean average performance only just as KLSE index shown if yo buy CI (diversification 100 stocks) compared to just Genting, IOIcorp, Bat etc, eventually the three stock outperforms the CI at least 100-200%.

Another point of wrong perception is that fund can keep most money in cash. A fund can't have too much cash in their portfolio since it will violate objective of the fund and trustee agreement. Even though they know current market is high, they can't liquidate totally, the most they can do is liquidate a portion only or switching stock and for equity fund they can't switch to bond either. A fund simply cannot has more than 50% of the money in cash (for equity fund).
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No. I understand that the fund itself is regulating by SC and trustee. What i'm trying to tell is the fund have a better/knowledgable person who managed it. Or in order word there's a professional team managing your money. So, in a normal circumstances, when the market is not doing well, the fund will allocate fund to shares with higher dividend payout (i think they'll have some sort of defensive strategy in equity fund to prevent too much losing out). Else what's the point of paying Mgmt fees to the fund who cannot manage for you? Like what dreamer said, if the fund is performing worst than KLCI, then why pay for it? I myself can be a fund manager to choose stock in KLCI. What a fund doing is actually minimizing the risk, and maximizing potential return to the unit trust holder.

Another point is that something you guyz seems never notice, the return you see 200%-300% is just something you can see for now. If you liquidate your investment, you get 300%. However, if the timing is incorrect, or you sold after the market crashes, there goes your 300% or sometimes even worst. This is call volatile. UT have better/smaller volatility compare to Share Market.

That's why choosing a good fund manager is very important in the first place. Everything there's a pros and cons, just make sure you benefit the pros most and minimize the cons as much as you could. Then you're happy with it.

This post has been edited by keith_hjinhoh: Apr 20 2007, 07:07 PM
keith_hjinhoh
post Apr 20 2007, 09:57 PM

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QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Apr 20 2007, 08:07 PM)
1)  You just have to sit and wait for any those 10 stocks to be cheap enough and buy.

2) Fund manager are forced by the UT investor to sell if there is panic and people redeem.  They do not have a choice.

3) Fund manager are forced to buy where there is a bull market since people are buying UT.

How do you make good money when you buy high and sell low??

When you buy you own stock, you can buy low and sell high or even better NEVER SELL.

Dreamer
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2. UT investor, there's a cooling off period. Meaning, the money is not immediate. They comes within 2 weeks or 14 working days. So, this shouldn't push the fund manager too much in liquidating their potential shares which might gone up higher. They'll just liquidate those shares that not up-to-their-expected return.

3. Fund size there's a limit. No one can continue buying same UT. The offer will closed once the fund already reaches it's limit.

<<How do you make good money when you buy high and sell low??>>
I guess the so called professional management team won't do this, else what for employing those people to look after or invest on-behalf. However, I do think those fund manager have better insider news compare to us (Normal investor).

<<When you buy you own stock, you can buy low and sell high or even better NEVER SELL.>>
Yup this is very true. However, the market is random. No ones know what price is low. You might say $1.00 of XYZ Bhd is worth to buy. But not for other investor. Different perception i think.

This post has been edited by keith_hjinhoh: Apr 20 2007, 09:58 PM
keith_hjinhoh
post Apr 21 2007, 12:33 AM

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QUOTE(leekk8 @ Apr 20 2007, 11:28 PM)
There are pros and cons...
Even fund managers are so called professional, I don't think they manage the funds alone. There is committee to decide the portfolio. I feel that you're very confident on the professional fund managers. Anyway, I don't think so. If you look at the history, actually UT in Msia is not performing very well overall. This shows that not many fund managers are really capable to help investor earn money.

For me, UT is good for us to invest in something that normal investor can't invest in, eg bond funds and global funds.
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QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 20 2007, 11:58 PM)
Dreamer is right on the fund manager side. When the money come, then the fund manager needs to invest and when people redeem they need to sell. They can't do much about it, they can just try their best to manage the portfolio so that stock pick is quality one and will generate better return.

There are still a handful of fund especially local one that are underperform, research around you will know. Fund house only takes good number to show to their customer but ignore those perform badly one or perform bad during a period of time. Take fund performance from 2003-2007, surely almost all register hefty gain due to global stock market rallying, but if you pick period from 1993 until now (2007) then you will see big difference.

No doubt there are some good fund or fund managers around that generate good return but not all, bare in mind. They might be professional but they are human also and might have same financial knowledge as you and me.

I am not saying investing in UT is not good, instead it is a not bad investment option or better for those not familar with stock market. But not all fund manager is as good as you think. There are pros and cons, no doubt.
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Well all the things I've said is just based on ideal situation where the fund manager really fights for the investor's return. Of course back to the end, it's very important to choose a good fund managers. Even past performance doesn't reflect future performance, yet it's still the best indicators. I do agree with your comments which in the market crashing period (1993-1997), most of the fund perform badly and some even worst than KLCI.

Anyway, unit trust is a good start for new investors.
keith_hjinhoh
post Apr 21 2007, 11:18 AM

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Other than those points i've posted, I do think UT manager they have the economic of scale, don't they? They deal directly with those securities company and they can buy large quantities of blue chip stock in a significant volume, therefore, they might get better return than ordinary investor?

Any comments?
keith_hjinhoh
post Apr 21 2007, 12:01 PM

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QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Apr 21 2007, 11:57 AM)
ASSUME -> Make an ASS of U and ME

1) They are not passing the saving to you.

2) When you buy stock at large quantity, you drive the price up.  So, you buy stock at high price

3) When you sell stock at large quantity, you drive the price down.  So, you sell at low price.

Buy high and sell low.  Sure formula to make less profit.

Dreamer
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Is that means actually funds got no benefits from the economic of scale they held?

This post has been edited by keith_hjinhoh: Apr 21 2007, 12:02 PM
keith_hjinhoh
post Apr 25 2007, 11:47 PM

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Dreamer, I just studied about the Renong, UEM Case. But then I couldn't related much that to the diversify of unit trust. What I could think off is just this is policital risk which exist at any country, and Malaysia share market lack of liquidity. Would you mind to explain a little bit more?

This post has been edited by keith_hjinhoh: Apr 26 2007, 12:03 AM
keith_hjinhoh
post Jan 25 2008, 09:58 AM

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QUOTE(dreamer101 @ Jan 25 2008, 09:31 AM)
leekk8,

<<Anyway, I know you mainly invest in US, now most people saying that US market is going into bear, what will you do?>>

Let's get this straight.  I have a US mutual fund A/C.  In that A/C, I buy index fund that invest all over the world.  And, the asset class that I invest on are

1) US stocks -> 2000 largest companies in USA

2) World stocks -> 2000 largest companies in the world outside of USA

3) US REIT index -> All REITs in USA aka real estate

4) World REIT -> REITs outside of USA

5) US bonds -> 3000 bonds in USA aka total bond market.

So, my money is spread all over the world.  I do not care what happen in any individual stock market.  And, if ALL stock markets go to hell, usually bonds will do well.  And, it is spread across many asset classes.  Plus, I have 5 years worth of living expenses in savings as reserve.

What is missing is bond index fund outside of USA.

This is what we call asset allocation model.  This is what is really call investing.

By the way, I have no sales load and annual maintenance fee is 0.27%.

Dreamer

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/lazy...%7D&dist=hpmymw

See above article.
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Since we have no access or limited access to US broker or funds, I guess the best alternative would be a listed companies like Genting, PBBank, YTL where they have their investment all over the world and we're holding a shares in listed companies that have access to all over the world.

In term of asset allocation, too bad, we just can access to our own countries REIT and bonds. Unless we buy mutual funds where mostly charge 7.5% sales charge and 1.25% on annual maintenance.

This post has been edited by keith_hjinhoh: Jan 25 2008, 10:00 AM

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