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 USA Stock Discussion v7, Greece Debt Crisis!

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danmooncake
post Jul 15 2015, 11:18 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 15 2015, 01:39 AM)
very volatile man...!

now going short. sweat.gif
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Don't short lah!... I think it's going to hold here at $50.
Maybe we got a range play $50 to $60 until end of the year.


danmooncake
post Jul 18 2015, 10:45 AM

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The Fruit has been good.... 120 last week.. now 129. Nice!!!! thumbup.gif
Still hanging on here!
danmooncake
post Jul 19 2015, 01:36 AM

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QUOTE(wodenus @ Jul 18 2015, 11:27 AM)
It was 133 in March smile.gif
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Be patient.. it will get there. Now, it just need a catalyst (like earnings next week).
If it is good... it may even propel it higher than 133... perhaps 140'ish.

The funds wanted another GOOG like tech stock to move QQQ even higher.
danmooncake
post Jul 19 2015, 01:37 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 18 2015, 11:28 AM)
the only drag and a big one is oil/energy.
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Agree... energy and materials been lagging. Same goes for Gold and Silver. nod.gif



danmooncake
post Jul 20 2015, 07:16 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jul 20 2015, 04:57 PM)
Wont be easy - historically, gold price always has an Inverse Co-relation with USD strength. The FOMC is SURE to hike interst rates soon, which is sure to strengthen the USD - can't avoid this. And hence, if history is to repeat itself, then the final effect will be gold price is sure to drop. UNTIL.... the FOMC says they intend to stop hking interest rates.  rolleyes.gif
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Aunty Yellen been talking about "possible" rate hike since late last year.. and all she says is data dependent.
Market been anticipating this move, and dollar been moving up and up.. and now back to parity as
if it already happened. shakehead.gif

So, what exactly is the rate hike? It turns out to be 25bps. Then, they'll pause for another 6-12 months. doh.gif

I think what's going to happen is when the actual rate is raised, Dollar will drop, commodities like gold, oil, copper will reverse course. tongue.gif



danmooncake
post Jul 21 2015, 09:57 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 21 2015, 02:33 AM)
aapl surprisingly fiery, looks like wanting to set new high.

and crude struggles to stay above 50...
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I'm still holding the new batch (aapl)... just wish I went all in last week.. but heck, can't be greedy right. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 21 2015, 10:04 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 22 2015, 11:22 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 22 2015, 09:57 AM)
aapl after hours close at 121.80, -7.8%. shocking.gif
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WTF.. oh frack..who shook the apple tree? mad.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 22 2015, 11:22 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 22 2015, 09:38 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 22 2015, 07:44 PM)
futures improving... coke and boeing earnings beat estimates.

still, the fruit will weigh.

plus crude falling, falling...
think i'll look at fxi and fxp tonite. laugh.gif
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Crude still hanging on to $50 so far.. but the floor shaky.. sweat.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 23 2015, 06:43 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 23 2015, 02:29 AM)
44 coming.... unsure.gif
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Waah.. you're super bearish. sweat.gif

Oil at 40'sh is like in 2009.. during recession. But, heck, where's recession now?
Everyone happy go lucky.


danmooncake
post Jul 23 2015, 10:27 AM

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Hey.. whatca know. The fruit is at good support here at 125 after so called wall street "disappointment" about their outlook.
Sales missed "analysts" estimates? Who are those analysts huh? What are they drinking? hmm.gif

US 49.5bln revenue for last qtr with 35% growth from last year.. is a huge success in my book.
Heck, enough to even pay off Malaysia 1MDB debt in one shot and lots of spare change.
Najib could have invested in AAPL fund instead ... tongue.gif

I think we got good buying opportunity again if it dives down below 120 again. brows.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 23 2015, 10:29 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 23 2015, 11:19 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 23 2015, 10:45 AM)
here's the thing i dun quite follow.

so much already returned to shareholders via buyback?

yet the price have not improved since buyback announcement made in apr.

what would happen if the buyback is reduced or halted? hmm.gif
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Not just AAPL, lots of other companies (INTC, WFC, XOM, GILD) are doing this to pump up their EPS.
I think buy back won't stop because they got tons of cash and no where to go.
Eventually, price will improve because of the reduction of shares in market and earnings continue to improve.
Maybe even more volatile too.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 23 2015, 11:19 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 27 2015, 08:55 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 27 2015, 08:28 PM)
crude oil and bears battling it out at 47.50.

some tip... brows.gif
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Waah.. I think bears no problem wining. Oil already hit my low target at $48.
Didn't expect that China will go kaboom during the day. The aunties/uncles are cursing now.. where's the da govt help?


danmooncake
post Jul 28 2015, 10:08 AM

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Not touching oil now but SP500 once again at the 200ma. Time to load up again.. biggrin.gif


Anyway, this morning gotta to watch China market ... this thing is getting pummeled back to 3500.
If drops below... I think we can see 3000, then bam.. 2500 - this will be back to beginning before the ran up last year as if nothing has happened. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 28 2015, 10:23 AM
danmooncake
post Jul 28 2015, 10:25 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 28 2015, 10:22 AM)
oil goes below 47, shanghai slumps another 5%.
got any fxp or not? laugh.gif
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Just a bit only.. from last week. let see if this time can break above 42 or not.
Last time, I cabut a bit early.. but also lucky because china bulls (the govt) can turn it around anytime. sweat.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 29 2015, 07:08 AM

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Groupers!!! It's works again.. buying that sp500 (calls and 3x bull shares) when it touches 200ma. drool.gif
danmooncake
post Jul 29 2015, 09:30 AM

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Did you guys read this story?

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/07/28/chinese-far...ost-it-all.html

Uncle farmer invested entire savings of US164K equivalent (convert in RMB, that's like over mln),
then leverage up to 1 mln usd margin (6.2 mln RMB) and buy ONE stock?

And he bought when the SHCOMP index over 4000, because of govt propaganda urging everyone to play..

Everyone will SELL whenever there is a pop opportunity to get their money back.
The institutional players will eat these people alive knowing them have bought on margin.

No wonder China market will crash... with tons of clueless people like this in the market. shakehead.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jul 29 2015, 09:30 AM
danmooncake
post Aug 4 2015, 12:05 PM

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Waah.. Ringgit drops to 3.87... even at this level, more people continue to dump ringgit and buy USD and SGD. blink.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Aug 4 2015, 12:06 PM
danmooncake
post Aug 5 2015, 09:42 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Aug 4 2015, 10:16 PM)
looks like going for 110.

painful...
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Line in sand for fruit is 120... imo. cannot buy now.
But, if drop to 105.. then I buy again. tongue.gif
danmooncake
post Aug 6 2015, 10:28 AM

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1 usd = 3.89 rm... very tempting... hmm.gif
danmooncake
post Aug 6 2015, 09:10 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Aug 6 2015, 04:16 PM)
Bro, nymes is hitting 44 very soon. wonder if we can short xle?
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Oil going $40.xx

Imo, want to play oil, just go for that $5 increments because it is fast moving in a couple of days swing trade.

XLE - is for Oil companies stocks (or energy producing companies) - not necessarily can correlate but somewhat.
(3x leverage is ERX/ERY)

XOP (or USO) - this one correlates more to Crude Oil price.
(3x leverage is GUSH/DRIP).

Just look at the huge run up for DRIP with these last 2 months. shocking.gif


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