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 USA Stock Discussion v7, Greece Debt Crisis!

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Rambo69
post Oct 8 2015, 09:34 PM

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short oil 48.60 sl 48.85 tp 47
Rambo69
post Oct 8 2015, 10:00 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 8 2015, 09:53 PM)
looks directionless for now.

will do nothing until >49.50 or <47.80.

probably sleeping early tonite. biggrin.gif
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As long as 48.8 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias. smile.gif
Rambo69
post Oct 10 2015, 10:10 PM

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QUOTE(CyanT @ Oct 10 2015, 08:12 PM)
In my opinion, it is the uncertainty that caused so much volatility. The market had already anticipated and expected the rate to hike; even though there are people opposing it, they wouldn't be surprised if there's a hike.
Should Yellen had decided to hike on Sep, the market would have been recovered in a couple months, and everyone is calm and the market will be stable, and the world would go about whichever way they should. Now everyone is playing the guessing game, every press conference became a hint of whether the rate will hike or not, and subsequently affecting the market with huge volatility.
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No other major events will be required, no one can stop the landslide once it starts. laugh.gif
Rambo69
post Oct 11 2015, 12:23 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 11 2015, 08:37 AM)
Good morning.

The above was what I said earlier, and what the feds were more concerned abt earlier, was the US economy and the US numbers. But in the Sep press briefing, they started talking abt the whole world. So, to me,... if the Feds is going to take into account the whole world before hiking, then there will never be a hike. If down the road they hike EVEN if the whole world is not up to par yet,... then the Feds have done themselves a disservice by undermining their credibility, as in not knowing clearly what to do. To me,... everything is by trial and error.

Or perhaps, this is the way it should be,... everything should be by trial and error in the global environment as we are in today ??? There are so many minds and think-tanks inside the Feds, it does not justify this type of performance.

The Feds DO NOT REALLY KNOW what they wanted. They got something, then they wanted more. BUt they don't see the effect they are creating to all of us.
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If they put uncertainties into account in making monetary policy decision, any decision could turn out to be a mistake. Thus when making a decision they should carefully consider the costs of making a wrong one. In the current context, the cost of raising rates too soon and undermining the expansion is fast fading, while the cost of raising rates too late and ultimately forcing a more aggressive hike in rates if the expansion is increasing.
Though the Fed focuses on inflation and unemployment, they also should worry about excesses building in the financial system because delaying rate increases could lead to an undesired buildup of financial imbalances that would be costly to unwind and that eventually could have adverse consequences for economic growth.
If they hikes too soon at low inflation might quickly become deflation, and the Fed will have little room to cut interest rates before returning to zero and the uncertainties world will never ending. rclxub.gif

This post has been edited by Rambo69: Oct 11 2015, 05:23 PM
Rambo69
post Oct 11 2015, 01:02 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 11 2015, 12:46 PM)
short term, think crude and equities will continue to rise admist growing risks. sweat.gif
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Yeah..still a room for further upside..Dow should stay below 17600 which is where the sell signal triggered and oil around 53.5-54. wink.gif
Rambo69
post Oct 11 2015, 05:25 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 11 2015, 12:46 PM)
when it all breaks, it'll be a mega one.
*

ohmy.gif

This post has been edited by Rambo69: Oct 11 2015, 05:54 PM
Rambo69
post Oct 14 2015, 01:06 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 14 2015, 12:32 AM)
just checking, crude was shot down from 50 yday, then from 49, and from 48.50 this evening....wow, many snipers around ready to shot crude from tree tops.
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Missed the opportunity to short from 50 when broke the raising TL.


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Rambo69
post Oct 14 2015, 01:34 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 14 2015, 02:44 AM)
this black swan thing is scary... sweat.gif
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It's unclear what is exactly causing options traders to become so nervous this week was stated there.

It's due to the investors grew more nervous about the upcoming US corporate earnings season this week ?

This post has been edited by Rambo69: Oct 14 2015, 02:35 PM
Rambo69
post Oct 28 2015, 11:03 PM

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Short oil 45.90
Rambo69
post Oct 28 2015, 11:20 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 28 2015, 11:07 PM)
ya, good one.
been a while seeing crude rise 6% within 30 mins. sweat.gif
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Yeah..too fierce ! hope can close before FOMC Statement/Federal Funds Rate.
Rambo69
post Oct 28 2015, 11:46 PM

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Will short any spike up on dow future and gold @ 2 a.m
Rambo69
post Oct 29 2015, 01:31 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 29 2015, 01:20 AM)
unusual movement before the fed statement. guess the goodies (no hike) has been factored in. will get off at the release of statement.
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Agreed..will hold my short position and add more if go up. biggrin.gif
Rambo69
post Oct 29 2015, 01:55 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 29 2015, 01:51 AM)
ya. waiting for 46+
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46.70 and 47.70 are a good place to short.
Rambo69
post Oct 29 2015, 11:55 AM

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QUOTE(Rambo69 @ Oct 28 2015, 11:03 PM)
Short oil 45.90
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Closed all position yesterday @ 45.50 and expect further upside.
Rambo69
post Oct 29 2015, 01:25 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 29 2015, 12:59 PM)
i closed 1/2 at 45.60, still holding 1/2.

will see if i get ikan bilis or rotting grouper tonite. tongue.gif

now that the fed's done with for next 1.5 months, likely crude will track dow again in the absence of major events.
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Support 44.30 and might buy if reach around there.Only hold my short on US 30 cash @ 17770 TP 17560

This post has been edited by Rambo69: Oct 29 2015, 04:41 PM
Rambo69
post Oct 29 2015, 10:12 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 29 2015, 09:54 PM)
crude is shooting up after every stage of pauses. 46.90?
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level to watch 47.30 and 47.70-48

* minor res 46.70

This post has been edited by Rambo69: Oct 29 2015, 10:20 PM
Rambo69
post Oct 29 2015, 10:28 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 29 2015, 10:21 PM)
are those targets or resistance?
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resistance
Rambo69
post Oct 29 2015, 10:31 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 29 2015, 10:26 PM)
exactly! 46.70 testing testing
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can short with tight SL
Rambo69
post Oct 29 2015, 10:44 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 29 2015, 10:39 PM)
dive, dive! biggrin.gif
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Closed half 46.10 for quick money. biggrin.gif
Rambo69
post Oct 29 2015, 10:55 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Oct 29 2015, 10:51 PM)
dow still falling, i wait a bit... tongue.gif
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nod.gif

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