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 USA Stock Discussion v7, Greece Debt Crisis!

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yok70
post Sep 21 2015, 11:13 PM

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what's happening? why bullish?
yok70
post Sep 22 2015, 04:10 AM

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do you think it's a weak bear this time?
yok70
post Sep 22 2015, 05:04 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 22 2015, 04:30 PM)
big bear tonite!

eur -1.x%

futures -2xx, crude follows.

brace for impact! laugh.gif
*
sweat.gif sweat.gif sweat.gif
yok70
post Sep 24 2015, 02:03 AM

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who calls the bull to come back? Xi Jin Ping? unsure.gif
yok70
post Sep 25 2015, 04:49 AM

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QUOTE(ham_revilo @ Sep 25 2015, 02:54 AM)
i'll be damn if djia closes green today laugh.gif
*
almost.... tongue.gif
yok70
post Sep 25 2015, 02:50 PM

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yellen said by this year.... hmm.gif
yok70
post Sep 26 2015, 02:44 AM

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A hesitating market, going nowhere. cool2.gif
yok70
post Sep 26 2015, 03:37 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Sep 26 2015, 03:29 AM)
actually, just chat with hawkers, retailers n they will tell you times r v bad. i often have tea n chat with these people.
*
I think it's on a transition stage. If you look at the popular malls, there are big crowd. Restaurants all full, need to queue. Parking all full.
So, it's a transitional stage. Hawkers and street retailers will face diminishing customers because the trend is moving out from them into the cleaner, air-cond, comfortable, all in one place....malls. Watch Singapore and all western countries, malls and clean restaurants are king of retail business.


yok70
post Sep 26 2015, 03:40 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 26 2015, 03:03 AM)
actually considering moving some usd to sgd to buy more sg reits.

rate is good now >1.42; sg reits prices on the low side, 6-8% yield.
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Is there any tax on dividend for singapore reits? I only know HK is good, no (or very least) tax charged for dividend. But, USA, forget it, 30% tax! I only count on capital gain (and of course currency rate) for US stocks.


yok70
post Sep 26 2015, 04:00 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 26 2015, 03:45 AM)
sg reits - depends on the div type. some are tax free, some have a portion taxed. overall, it is small like 3-4%.
*
thanks! that's good, can consider to diversify some yield stocks into singapore stocks. biggrin.gif
yok70
post Sep 26 2015, 04:03 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 26 2015, 03:49 AM)
my observation is only the top tier malls like 1u, ikano-curve enjoy good biz and mostly on weekends only; weekdays, not crowded.

2nd tier malls... i see a lot of tenants going in and out, vacant. can hold, i suppose.

klang valley has too many malls, imo.

we'll have a clear picture when imported inflation due to weak rm kicks in fully by year end.
*
it's not malls problem, it's overall property problem. Property is simply oversupplied!
thing is, those retail business in the street will eventually all have to move into malls in order to make a profit. That's the trend I'm seeing. In street, we may eventually only see in market form, such as night markets, or day market. I believe the country is moving towards this direction, same as other more advance economy.
yok70
post Sep 26 2015, 01:14 PM

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ya. if how TTB said in recent investor days talk is going for real, Malaysia is on the road to downgrading economy instead of upgrading for most emerging economy because of corruption. This will be very sad for us in the next 10 years. Malaysians will need to go India, Indonesia or Philippines to work because our currency is too depressing and jobs are hard to be found. Only if our economy is progressing positively, we will be able to achieve what I mentioned above, that is, becoming a "mall country" mainly because of heat of weather.

God bless us, fight corruption.


yok70
post Sep 28 2015, 08:05 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 28 2015, 07:01 PM)
btw, rm is now 4.42, how low will it go? sweat.gif
still, utterly confused whether to buy and buy what! laugh.gif
*
confused, better don't make a move. biggrin.gif
yok70
post Sep 28 2015, 10:13 PM

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QUOTE(old_and_slow @ Sep 28 2015, 10:03 PM)
just broke last week downtrend support. im seeing faster bearish trend in this week. support area 16100-ish...
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ya...TA looks bad....breaking downwards.... cool2.gif
yok70
post Sep 29 2015, 02:43 AM

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wow....mama bear comes.....papa bear dunno will follow or not....
yok70
post Sep 30 2015, 04:49 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 30 2015, 10:50 AM)
for some time now, wti-brent price differential has been quite big due to us shale oil production and oil export ban.

recent dropping us rig count and draws on the inventories point to crude production has slowed.

the wti-brent gap is starting to close up lately.
the question is.... is us production really slowly and will that help keep wti price up? or will the overall global supply glut vs weak demand push prices down again soon? i think the latter is more likely.
*
they are now talking about more pressure on OPEC to cut production. This thing will come eventually, just a matter of time. Simply because OPEC countries are suffering, how long can they take it? Not likely 10 years or so, they just too dependent on oil earnings.
yok70
post Sep 30 2015, 08:22 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 30 2015, 05:04 PM)
cut die. dun cut, also die.

cut production means they get less revenues.

and no guarantee us shale will not come back.

and it gets worse if us export ban lifted.
i remember playing a computer simulated opec-oil price game long long time ago in a training session.

everyone ended up playing hardball, everything crashed, world depression. laugh.gif
*
haha. looks like a fun game.

thing takes its time to adjust. oil for now, drop too fast and furious, that's why it hurts the oil exporter countries. if it stabilize and drop (or up) slowly, the country at least has some time to adjust its policy and economy resources in order to adapt the new condition. So actually, we are lucky that Malaysia started the adjustment quite some years ago, so that today we are not that heavily affected.
yok70
post Sep 30 2015, 11:44 PM

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window dressing today?
weak bull, no power. anytime can go red later.
yok70
post Oct 2 2015, 02:28 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Oct 2 2015, 01:26 AM)
the Q is, crude going Up, or Down? i am blurrrrr
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it's an inverse bro. calm down. laugh.gif
yok70
post Oct 2 2015, 03:13 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Oct 2 2015, 03:11 AM)
It is also 3x percentage move from the opening low.. oil traders sold surged crude into the gap up from 46.xx earlier,
bam, dropped back below 45. DWTI spiked back up. Bulls are more afraid than bears. Bears win again.
*
overall market also seems like same attitude. some scary bulls, hard to make a real move. laugh.gif

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