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 USA Stock Discussion v7, Greece Debt Crisis!

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yok70
post Sep 26 2015, 04:00 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 26 2015, 03:45 AM)
sg reits - depends on the div type. some are tax free, some have a portion taxed. overall, it is small like 3-4%.
*
thanks! that's good, can consider to diversify some yield stocks into singapore stocks. biggrin.gif
yok70
post Sep 26 2015, 04:03 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 26 2015, 03:49 AM)
my observation is only the top tier malls like 1u, ikano-curve enjoy good biz and mostly on weekends only; weekdays, not crowded.

2nd tier malls... i see a lot of tenants going in and out, vacant. can hold, i suppose.

klang valley has too many malls, imo.

we'll have a clear picture when imported inflation due to weak rm kicks in fully by year end.
*
it's not malls problem, it's overall property problem. Property is simply oversupplied!
thing is, those retail business in the street will eventually all have to move into malls in order to make a profit. That's the trend I'm seeing. In street, we may eventually only see in market form, such as night markets, or day market. I believe the country is moving towards this direction, same as other more advance economy.
netmask8
post Sep 26 2015, 11:11 AM

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One of the oldest "rules" on Wall Street is "Sell in May and Buy in Oct" ? whistling.gif

Cash is king now and be patience in analyzing for value stocks in long term holding. shocking.gif
AVFAN
post Sep 26 2015, 11:56 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Sep 26 2015, 04:00 AM)
thanks! that's good, can consider to diversify some yield stocks into singapore stocks.  biggrin.gif
*
here:
https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/2504121/+1720#bottom
http://reitdata.com/


QUOTE(yok70 @ Sep 26 2015, 04:03 AM)
it's not malls problem, it's overall property problem. Property is simply oversupplied!
thing is, those retail business in the street will eventually all have to move into malls in order to make a profit. That's the trend I'm seeing. In street, we may eventually only see in market form, such as night markets, or day market. I believe the country is moving towards this direction, same as other more advance economy.
*
retailers moving to malls... possibly with dry goods, consumer durables.

food... ya, tier 1 malls, no shortage of people spending rm50 for a meal.
but i see so many of them close shop after a yr or 2 in lower tier malls.
same for restaurants and kopitiam types in typical shoplots too.
but... i see chapfan, malay mixed rice and mamak shops doing pretty well - everyone's looking for a rm5-6 meal!
i actually worry that kind of meal will becomes rm10 within the next year.
where will the people go to eat?
mikehwy
post Sep 26 2015, 12:31 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 26 2015, 11:56 AM)
here:
https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/2504121/+1720#bottom
http://reitdata.com/
retailers moving to malls... possibly with dry goods, consumer durables.

food... ya, tier 1 malls, no shortage of people spending rm50 for a meal.
but i see so many of them close shop after a yr or 2 in lower tier malls.
same for restaurants and kopitiam types in typical shoplots too.
but... i see chapfan, malay mixed rice and mamak shops doing pretty well - everyone's looking for a rm5-6 meal!
i actually worry that kind of meal will becomes rm10 within the next year.
where will the people go to eat?
*
yaya. i hv been running places and see that usually younger pups r patronising high end malls in fashion, but i somehow feel that most r feeling tight now. haha, my nieceshave been borrowing money from me to pay for car deposits, card repayments etc etc.... i still believe that towards lower cost foods and expense items, including ME ! sigh sigh ....
yok70
post Sep 26 2015, 01:14 PM

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ya. if how TTB said in recent investor days talk is going for real, Malaysia is on the road to downgrading economy instead of upgrading for most emerging economy because of corruption. This will be very sad for us in the next 10 years. Malaysians will need to go India, Indonesia or Philippines to work because our currency is too depressing and jobs are hard to be found. Only if our economy is progressing positively, we will be able to achieve what I mentioned above, that is, becoming a "mall country" mainly because of heat of weather.

God bless us, fight corruption.


AVFAN
post Sep 28 2015, 07:01 PM

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looks like bear tonite.

dow - 1xx
europe -1.5-2%
crude 44.80

btw, rm is now 4.42, how low will it go? sweat.gif


still, utterly confused whether to buy and buy what! laugh.gif

yok70
post Sep 28 2015, 08:05 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 28 2015, 07:01 PM)
btw, rm is now 4.42, how low will it go? sweat.gif
still, utterly confused whether to buy and buy what! laugh.gif
*
confused, better don't make a move. biggrin.gif
mikehwy
post Sep 28 2015, 09:20 PM

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just finished reading some top financial houses analysts comment on rm....

rm will remain sluggish (actually they were trying to say 'declining' or weak) due to ...

potential fed dec hike
weakening china economy
declining prices in crude n palm oil
unpredictable local political arena

which of the above will reverse the direction to push rm? i doubt it ...

damn gloomy weather around trhese days



old_and_slow
post Sep 28 2015, 10:03 PM

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just broke last week downtrend support. im seeing faster bearish trend in this week. support area 16100-ish...
yok70
post Sep 28 2015, 10:13 PM

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QUOTE(old_and_slow @ Sep 28 2015, 10:03 PM)
just broke last week downtrend support. im seeing faster bearish trend in this week. support area 16100-ish...
*
ya...TA looks bad....breaking downwards.... cool2.gif
old_and_slow
post Sep 28 2015, 10:14 PM

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Dow touched 16120 lol. next support 16000
danmooncake
post Sep 28 2015, 10:44 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Sep 28 2015, 09:20 PM)
just finished reading some top financial houses analysts comment on rm....

rm will remain sluggish (actually they were trying to say 'declining' or weak) due to ...

potential fed dec hike
weakening china economy
declining prices in crude n palm oil
unpredictable local political arena

which of the above will reverse the direction to push rm? i doubt it ...

damn gloomy weather around these days
*
QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 28 2015, 07:01 PM)
looks like bear tonite.

dow - 1xx
europe -1.5-2%
crude 44.80

btw, rm is now 4.42, how low will it go? sweat.gif
still, utterly confused whether to buy and buy what! laugh.gif
*
You know, I felt only last 2 maybe internal factors but should not have cause the ringgit to slump like this unless
Malaysians also dumping Ringgit. hmm.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Sep 28 2015, 10:46 PM
mikehwy
post Sep 28 2015, 10:51 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 28 2015, 10:44 PM)
You know, I felt only last 2 maybe internal factors but should not have cause the ringgit to slump like this unless
Malaysians also dumping Ringgit.  hmm.gif
*
Dan is right, MD and partner of BCG Chin only just said that local scenes were NOT the main causes, even the billions outflow of funds amounted to only 0.3%, but it was the china factor that brings quake to rm. they dont see rm to rebound or has any strength for a while ...2016? palm oil rebounded today (1 day), and expected to hit 2400 year end ... sigh .... meaning no strength!

This post has been edited by mikehwy: Sep 28 2015, 10:52 PM
AVFAN
post Sep 28 2015, 10:52 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Sep 28 2015, 10:44 PM)
You know, I felt only last 2 maybe internal factors but should not have cause the ringgit to slump like this unless
Malaysians also dumping Ringgit.  hmm.gif
*
ordinary malaysians may be dumping tens of thousands.

such a drastic fall can only be due to the richest ones dumping tens of millions.

plus foreigners dumping tens or hundreds of millions in mgs as can be seen by the gradual rise in yield lately, 4.37% today.
http://www.bnm.gov.my/index.php?tpl=govtsecuritiesyield

this is only to be expected with bijan chronicles getting more exotic by the day.



mikehwy
post Sep 28 2015, 10:55 PM

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crude seems to be resilient at 45 (nymex). it has been climbing up after hitting 44.50 and revert back to 45+. so, are the hedge funds correct, by bettting on uptrend? i thot of following but seeing the global econ factors, i simply dare not. wonder how do they see crude in uptrend movement?
mikehwy
post Sep 28 2015, 10:59 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 28 2015, 10:52 PM)
ordinary malaysians may be dumping tens of thousands.

such a drastic fall can only be due to the richest ones dumping tens of millions.

plus foreigners dumping tens or hundreds of millions in mgs as can be seen by the gradual rise in yield lately, 4.37% today.
http://www.bnm.gov.my/index.php?tpl=govtsecuritiesyield

this is only to be expected with bijan chronicles getting more exotic by the day.
*
wow, even short term yield (3-5 yrs) touching 3.9! that is realy good. really great looks like a good safe heaven for rich people.

This post has been edited by mikehwy: Sep 28 2015, 11:00 PM
AVFAN
post Sep 28 2015, 11:02 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Sep 28 2015, 10:59 PM)
wow, even short term yield (3-5 yrs) touching 3.9! that is realy good. really great looks like a good safe heaven for rich people.
*
these mgs are mainly taken up by local funds incl epf, tabung, and foreigners.

foreigners hold 47% as of last week.
AVFAN
post Sep 28 2015, 11:02 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Sep 28 2015, 10:55 PM)
crude seems to be resilient at 45 (nymex). it has been climbing up after hitting 44.50 and revert back to 45+. so, are the hedge funds correct, by bettting on uptrend? i thot of following but seeing the global econ factors, i simply dare not. wonder how do they see crude in uptrend movement?
*
i am short. tongue.gif
mikehwy
post Sep 28 2015, 11:09 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Sep 28 2015, 11:02 PM)
i am short. tongue.gif
*
Opps...going <45 nymex rclxms.gif


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