QUOTE(Vanguard 2015 @ Jul 9 2015, 09:39 AM)
When Charlie Munger or Warren Buffett were asked how they think the market will perform for the next 6 months or 1 year, their answer was..."the market will fluctuate".
My 2 cents view. In theory, if the market goes down continuously for the next 10 years, nobody will invest in the stock market. Who would want to invest in a SURE LOSE game? Conversely, if the market goes up continuously for the next 10 years without a break, everyone will be lining up at the bank, Ah Long, chettiar for personal loans to invest in the stock market because it is a SURE WIN game.
Therefore we are experiencing a "normal" market now because it is fluctuating.
My 2 cents view. In theory, if the market goes down continuously for the next 10 years, nobody will invest in the stock market. Who would want to invest in a SURE LOSE game? Conversely, if the market goes up continuously for the next 10 years without a break, everyone will be lining up at the bank, Ah Long, chettiar for personal loans to invest in the stock market because it is a SURE WIN game.
Therefore we are experiencing a "normal" market now because it is fluctuating.
"It's a stampede. And the problem of the market is that all the players move in the same direction, and are too emotional."
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/08/...N0PI04Q20150708
Jul 9 2015, 10:03 AM

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