QUOTE(InF.anime @ Jul 26 2015, 04:34 AM)
Didn't expect downstream is the much safer place now.
But don't know for how long.
This happened too fast, sometimes still feels like a dream.
Not really, as Petronas's quarterly income already proven this.
Have to know that, crude oil price are buying 2 months in advance while product price are on weekly basis. You can have low oil price but high product price, like during winter seasons, diesel and kero are much more expensive as winter countries are using it for heating
Petro price maybe lower
That's why our government are using MOPS to cheat us. Like maid says : using mop to clean(our money)
So back to this price difference between 2. A bought crude oil for USD90 for Sep refining in July. They forecast at that time the product price will be average at USD140. But due to some bad quarterly results from most companies in the region, the average product prices are merely USD95. After OPEX, it is actually operating in lost
And when this situation continues, crude oil price will be maintain lower and refineries starting to make money, since there's no so-called supply and demand, more on sellers demanding buyers to pay more.
It will touch the break even period first follow by make money period. Shell and Petron already proven this from their 1st Q
Still, it will remain volatile, who knows they will lose money again
So there's no safe place like you said for O&G now, if you are looking for safe heaven O&G, Middle East are the only place.
Most Petronas projects have to continue are due to government's intervention. If they really cut all, most
Alibabarm1 companies will close down. At least we won't have a sub con manager able to buy a Porsche and commit suicide in highways earlier this year, splashing his brain to a poor lady's car.