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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V149, Higher interest rate coming soon?

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kevraul
post May 7 2015, 04:40 PM

mr.
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hhgroup, very ho liao.........
kevraul
post May 8 2015, 09:19 AM

mr.
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QUOTE(MrLoo @ May 7 2015, 10:19 PM)
hello yello bello!
*
denko? why? dont look so good in klse screener


kevraul
post May 12 2015, 11:13 AM

mr.
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on next to kialim
kevraul
post May 13 2015, 08:37 AM

mr.
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retired. means tired already but tire again.
kevraul
post May 18 2015, 04:00 PM

mr.
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QUOTE(backspace66 @ May 18 2015, 03:52 PM)
0128 is back in action , it seems like the few weeks of waiting is not in vain at all
*
offloaded mine at 0.3
kevraul
post May 18 2015, 04:35 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ May 18 2015, 04:28 PM)
6211 also not bad mah biggrin.gif
*
thanks sky gor.....although i was late going into 0128
on to 6211, volume will come sooner or later
kevraul
post May 18 2015, 04:38 PM

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QUOTE(kuluuluk @ May 18 2015, 04:12 PM)
Just offload all at .305  . We must be grateful to Sky  notworthy.gif
*
nice bro.....very nice
kevraul
post May 18 2015, 04:47 PM

mr.
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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ May 18 2015, 04:39 PM)
Another HHG in the making .......maybe biggrin.gif
*
hhg dont seem to have brakes......
but i am quite sure about 6211
kevraul
post May 18 2015, 04:53 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ May 18 2015, 04:51 PM)
Me too..but the mistake we made in HHG is..... we sold too fast .
*
its all right la i think, better be safe than sorry....although its hard to be sorry when it comes to hhg, is a very good stock
kevraul
post May 18 2015, 05:01 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ May 18 2015, 04:57 PM)
Noted with thanks.......

It is good that u share back than I talk standalone.......
*
but seriously, when i see the hhg price now....i was like.....dammmnnnnnnn
kevraul
post May 19 2015, 05:17 PM

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QUOTE(kalandra @ May 19 2015, 03:20 PM)
Wow, really in 2 days KIA LIM went up more than 10%

Was thinking to buy yesterday but busy in the morning. Check during afternoon, already went up, thought of buying today if its goes down. Mana tahu rocket up again...

Already too late to go in?

Sky Sifu can beri some tunjuk ajar ah?
*
i have the same question. but will monitor tomorrow. been too busy to look at prices then suddenly boom
kevraul
post May 21 2015, 04:08 PM

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ready to reload on frontkn......but monitor first....i think this bloodshed will continue tomorrow
kevraul
post Jun 22 2015, 09:21 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jun 22 2015, 09:05 AM)
I managed to buy back some last week....... yawn.gif
*
me too....bought at 0.25 but if had been more observant, could be as low as 0.23 or even 0.225
kevraul
post Jun 22 2015, 03:01 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jun 22 2015, 02:53 PM)
Hopefully can get 35sen to 40sen this time........ blush.gif
*
wah tingginya aim.....
kevraul
post Jun 22 2015, 04:06 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jun 22 2015, 03:04 PM)
Most people mindsets are pre occupied with Greek problem..... so cannot see the sky..

Once the Greek problem is gone.....then u may see panic buy later ......maybe hmm.gif

Tech stocks are doing well in US ..anyway FF make U Turn to buy in Bursa...
*
i think can aim high but have to take note on the local sentiments........maybe in and out a few rounds can make you some money
but no doubt frontkn will reach high in future
kevraul
post Jun 29 2015, 04:42 PM

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sky tailow must be fed up as shit giving tips and advice
kevraul
post Jul 2 2015, 04:01 PM

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QUOTE(kuluuluk @ Jul 2 2015, 03:42 PM)
Found it when ever i see your post.  laugh.gif  notworthy.gif
*
u entered at the 0.5 range?
kevraul
post Jul 15 2015, 03:05 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 15 2015, 02:30 PM)
Cold Eye’s 5 yardsticks for investment

Author: Intelligent Investor 

Cold Eye listed 5 important criteria on his talk on 16-March-2013.

1. Return on Equity (ROE)
2. Cash Flow from Operations (OCF) and Free Cash Flow (FCF)
3. Price-Earning Ratio (P/E)
4. Dividend Yield (DY)
5. Net Tangible Asset (NTA) per share

Return on Equity (ROE)
* Investor want to have a reasonable return from the capital for the equity put in.
* The return rate depend on the business risk.
* You would want to have a risk that higher than a risk free rate. Says, bank FD provide interest rate of 4%, you will target for a min return say 10%-15% (6% - 11% above FD rate) for the risk you take.
* [Note]: There is some issues and pitfall on ROE, do perform DuPont analysis on the ROE, or alternately I prefer to use ROIC.

Cash Flow
* Business owner would expect debtors pay you promptly and you don;t have to stock up a lot of inventories which tied up your capital.
* Else, you have to put in more capital each year even you make one.
* Do expect the hard cash received must be about the earnings each year.
* For each year, the business need capex to keep it going (so the owner can ear more in future) - e.g. buy more/relenish equipment, buy/open more shops.
* It would be good if the capex can be met with the cash I receveid from operations and owner no need to come up with more money.
* It will be fantastic if there is still leftover money to draw out (diviend), or the company can have extra money to invest in other lucrative business.
* Check

  * Average OCF same as reported earnigns over the years?
  * Is FCF in genral positive over the years?
  * Is the average FCF >= 5% of Revenue?

* [Note]: You may want to read more on Cash Flow Statement Analaysis.

Price-Earning Ratio (P/E)
* A business might not be a right investment if price is nor right. If you buy a business with good ROE (say 30%)  on P/E of 33 will only give you a earnings yield of only 3%.
* If the yield is less than FD, you may want to put the money to bank to earn risk free return.
* The prowess in investing is not knowing how to buying great companies at any price, but good companies at a cheap price.
* We should look for company < 10 or < 15 (good company with growth prospect)
*  [Note]: P/E will ignore the debt an cash on the balance sheet. EV and EBIT is a good alternative if an investor want to take care on this item.

Dividend Yield (DY)
* How nice if my bussiness can have extra cash (FCF) after CAPEX investment and the left over money send back to owner as Dividend. (You may want to read more on Cash Flow Statement Analaysis.)
* This way, the owner can have additional money to spend while the business is still growing and the dividend is likely ti increase in the future.
* DY = Dividend per Share for a Year / Stock Price
* It could be a good investment if DY > FD rate.

Net Tangible Asset (NTA) per share
* Investor can recoup the initial investment if the NTA worth more than what he put in.
* If the NTA per share > stock price, you may be in for a bargain.
* More valuable (e.g. hard cash, property, land) asset is better.
* Receiveables - debtors might not want to pay me.
* Inventories - it may be outdated.
* Some business (e.g. service industry) where the important assets is not tangible e.g. its technology, brand name, people......
* [Note]: This is align with Benjamin Graham Net Net & Negative Enterprise Value.
*
appreciate this sharing, thank you
kevraul
post Jul 15 2015, 03:10 PM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 15 2015, 03:07 PM)
0128 is in accumulating mode ........sharks usually do...

Take the chance to accumulate some before the next big wave up...above 40sen

Sori for the hard sell..might not sound present to some .......
*
pleasant??
kevraul
post Jul 16 2015, 09:54 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 16 2015, 09:49 AM)
Volcano erupted.....
*
will it overspill?

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