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 Traders Kopitiam! V7

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TakoC
post Feb 13 2015, 02:56 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Feb 13 2015, 01:56 PM)
Not yet..  tongue.gif
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I'm still waiting for tambun too.
TakoC
post Mar 4 2015, 12:04 PM

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Boon3 if I may ask, what do you think of Daya Material?
TakoC
post Mar 5 2015, 07:39 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Mar 5 2015, 10:07 AM)
Hahaha.. 2 directors resign...  sweat.gif

Must be mega bad results coming..  sweat.gif
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Gark, what's your view on mokhzani leaving?
TakoC
post Mar 5 2015, 07:54 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Mar 4 2015, 12:24 PM)
Carries a lot of risks.....

Oil....
.............did not see why but company posted shit load of losses few days ago.......

But then...ultra penny stock already.....
sometimes the wok is more important....
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Yes. Looking at TA. Someone told me it's kind bottom already. Now need the wok to heat up!
TakoC
post Mar 5 2015, 07:57 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Mar 5 2015, 07:51 PM)
My tiga sen is ....
Look away from OnG sector already...

The big fat juicy rebounce play.... has happened already.....

now... it looks like a long winter ahead for the sector...................
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I just done averaging down on oil and gas now. Bought Daya on TA but happened to be oil and gas too. Lol.

What else can look at? Which sector are you positive?

Banking.. Low loan growth moving forward
Oil, no..
Plantation, not now.
Property/construction?
Airline.. Oil drop but share price not reflecting.
TakoC
post Mar 5 2015, 07:58 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Mar 5 2015, 07:54 PM)
Expected.. he already hinted 6 months ago..

Now he is out he can freely sell off his 10% stake ... nod.gif
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Oh, u think he will sell?

Cause he started with Sapura which merge with Kencana. Even if he leave, he still got a lot of power and his guys inside.
TakoC
post Mar 5 2015, 08:15 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Mar 5 2015, 08:04 PM)
USD still my good friend.

Have to be careful though cos there were a number of disappointments seen last month.
The strength in USD was not a clear cut win-win...

Poultry sector has seen some big wins....
but it's one sector that I am not that keen on....

Remember what I say before.....
Trade less.... thumbup.gif
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Well, if USD.. Then would it be too late now? Like those furniture stock like Homeritz, fly so much. Tech stock also almost 7788 done playing.

True. Trade less. Last year was the first time I see such a drastic drop in the market although only correction. Now I know next time these thing happen must seize the opportunity. Was afraid.. Oh well, next time..


TakoC
post Mar 6 2015, 01:12 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Mar 6 2015, 12:46 PM)
Quite likely.. he is no longer majority shareholder already..

Also no longer vice chairman.. what better time to cash out?  tongue.gif
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So you also selling before that lah?

Profit get hit hard? SKP lowest 2 bucks. Now around .44 compare to as before.
TakoC
post Mar 6 2015, 01:56 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Mar 6 2015, 01:13 PM)
Still ok lah.. not negative territory yet.  laugh.gif

Should have sold more at RM 3..  sad.gif
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Consider uzma to substitute..
TakoC
post Mar 6 2015, 02:44 PM

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QUOTE(tstan8_8 @ Mar 6 2015, 02:05 PM)
On the way to become prime minister.
Keep..
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That's his other brother.. If he sell, no effect also
TakoC
post Mar 6 2015, 05:41 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Mar 6 2015, 05:03 PM)
Problem is AirAsia track record in hedging is piss poor!!!

tongue.gif

The other thing is...
There was a time when USD was weakening like hell and AirAsiabmade ton of forex gains...
100+ million pwr quarter.....
And these bloody analysts never once discounted them gains...
So why when losses...they talk the different ayam?

tongue.gif
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I have never read reports on airline industry.

But by right all forex and impairment should not be taken into account as it is not consider a core business earnings.
TakoC
post Mar 6 2015, 05:43 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Mar 6 2015, 05:38 PM)
the other thing I was thinking......

1) how much more can AirAsia hedge? tongue.gif

I remember after recent report, Tony was quoted saying that the company has already hedged half of its full year consumption of jet fuel...
which was hedged around on average 80+ (singapore jet fuel )
which means half of AirAsia fuel needs for the year is bought at a much more expensive price.... tongue.gif

anyway... the point is....
in the account....
AirAsia got left 1 billion ....
loans 12 billion....

how much money can AirAsia use to continue to gamble on hedging?

2) the USD debt itself is not constant.
it's expanding cos of AirAsia's commitment to buy new planes.....
this itself is not the elephant...
it's the whale.... tongue.gif

and since the debt itself is expanding...... sweat.gif
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Boon gor, what do you mean when you said singapore jet fuel? singapore jet fuel that they hedge at 80+? What about MAS? what country jet fuel?
TakoC
post Mar 6 2015, 08:16 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Mar 6 2015, 05:53 PM)
Thanks Boon gor.
TakoC
post Mar 6 2015, 08:16 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Mar 6 2015, 05:57 PM)
AA Hedge @ 80, but current pricing all below 80 shakehead.gif

btw which one is the petrol one.. the one our gomen use to set retail price

Gasoline RBOB?  hmm.gif
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This one can try to summon gark gor. Mind helping?

On a side note, if I am not mistaken, Petronas export using Brent price, and import sour crude using Tapis price. Correct ah, gark gor?
TakoC
post Mar 9 2015, 10:31 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Mar 9 2015, 10:19 AM)
The current price is already priced in..  rolleyes.gif
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Eh gark gor, what's the difference between normal contract and umbrella contract ah? Those oil and gas contracts that companies secure.

This post has been edited by TakoC: Mar 9 2015, 10:31 AM
TakoC
post Mar 11 2015, 08:31 PM

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QUOTE(holybo @ Mar 11 2015, 06:03 PM)
Sepat Gas cancelled, Kasawari delayed.. my salary also gonna cut 20%  cry.gif
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You are talking about Kasawari CPP if I am not mistaken?

QUOTE(gark @ Mar 11 2015, 06:05 PM)
Ouch.. yeah working in OnG now will be tough time..  sweat.gif

Marginal fields are going to be first to be cut...  sweat.gif

Working in palm oil related industry also not so good now.. CPO price also down a lot.. at least no salary cut yet.  laugh.gif
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Balai field got cut. But Tanjung Baram still proceeding as planned.
TakoC
post Mar 15 2015, 09:34 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Mar 14 2015, 07:57 PM)
Too early again meh?  hmm.gif

Sudah almost 1 year since the start of downturn..  tongue.gif

Wonder if WTI crude can reach <$40 or not.  laugh.gif  laugh.gif
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Gark, so you planning to buy oil and gas stock with the view to hold long term?
TakoC
post Mar 19 2015, 10:13 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Mar 19 2015, 10:15 AM)
Coastal PRIMARY builds vessels for OnG clients.. which includes AHTS, PSV, dive boat, crew boat and other support vessel of mostly smaller sizes. Coastal currently have about RM 1 billion of UNSOLD but completed vessels stock for OnG.

Recently it has ventured into drilling rig business.. although it has signed a recent sales contract, it's second rig is coming soon with no contract. I am not sure what class of rig is coastal holding (Cause i am lazy to check  tongue.gif ), but it is worthwhile to find out if you want to invest. In 2015 it is expected that a total of 56 new rigs will enter the market, with around 26 is speculative rig (rig built without contract, which will FIGHT for work) wink.gif

Drilling rigs day rates have fallen about 15%-25% recently.. this was guided by UMWOG conference (UMWOG have the most number of drilling rigs in SEA)  wink.gif The highest demand rigs is those rated > 300 ft, others rated lower than 300 ft have seen steady decline of usage.

It can be a good turn around stock once drilling and exploration activity picks up.. but when will be anyone's guess.  whistling.gif
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I don't think UMWOG mentioned 15-20%. Who mentioned that. I don't recall them saying in the session. Maybe I missed that part. Sorry. I heard 3%-5% as per latest awarded contract.

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