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 Falling Oil Prices - Where it leaves Malaysia, Not too bad afterall

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langstrasse
post Feb 12 2015, 07:30 PM

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On the long run this episode of low oil prices would be a good thing for Malaysia - because we'd be forced to not be so dependent on oil production as a country. This is a painful pill to swallow but the patient needs it badly.
We need to diversify and develop other industries as well.
langstrasse
post Feb 13 2015, 01:12 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Feb 12 2015, 11:04 PM)
theoretically, academically n philosphically, that is correct and noble.

however, given how the annual budgets are drafted, spent or overspent every year, the consequences of sustained low oil price will be very severe, i dare not even think what they might be.

just think where all the money for the "usual expense" will come from... it will have to be either increased taxes or debt. how much more tax n debt can the people take? ohmy.gif

this is going to be difficult for all. more so when no one incl our leaders in power seem to even consider this scenario until now!
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You do have a point that the consequences of prolonged low oil prices will be severe. However, I don't agree that funding for the "usual expense" need necessarily come from more taxes.

One major area of improvement all Malaysians know about is simply a better management of the government's budget - just look at how every year the Auditor General's report shows so much of wastage, misallocation and downright squandering of taxpayers' money. So what better time than now for Malaysians to demand more transparency and accountability in public finances ?

Just think of it this way - you're in a boat with hundreds of leaks and that magic pail you've so long been depending on to bail out the water has gone missing and all you have now is a small mug. You don't have time to just make a dash to shore because your boat is sinking fast. So what do you do ? You move your butt from that comfy seat and start plugging the holes.

So no, that idea is not theoretical nor academic and certainly not philosophical - it's just plain good old fashioned common sense and very practical indeed.

We need to be less dependent on oil and gas and pay more attention to other industries. Just look at what's happening in Russia and Venezuela now.
langstrasse
post Feb 18 2015, 07:11 PM

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QUOTE(supersound @ Feb 18 2015, 04:30 PM)
Analyzer is just a machine which are being controlled by speculators.
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Financial analysts are humans too, so every finance news you read regardless of source, needs to be read with a good dose of critical thinking a.k.a pinch of salt.

 

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