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 ringgit Malaysia drop , how to I change my RM to USD

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post Jul 8 2015, 02:05 PM

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QUOTE(netmask8 @ Jul 7 2015, 10:47 PM)
Economy Thesis Question :-
Is weak currency = Boost TOURISM, Surplus Export > Import ? Any idea?
Many S'porean / tourists like to spend their money here like KING, while local ppls less travel out or buy imported gadgets.
Hence, more surplus inflows > outflows. I agree not to believe, but many tutors gave credit of weak currency benefits.
Think from ECONOMY PERSPECTIVE , not politic . You has returned your economy paper to your teacher?  thumbup.gif
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Hmm ok. I have a degree in Economics from a pretty good school, let's see if I can take a shot at it.

Let's look at that for a minute. A weak currency is not a reflection of a booming economy. The benefits to a weaker currency only apply if you're a primary exporter of goods and services. To be fair we do export a lot, mostly commodities. But the import costs are killing us too and everytime we have to pay debt in USD or any other currency we bleed money. Also, we can't travel anywhere, and cost push inflation due to expensive exports are going to raise prices (not incl. gst lol)

The reason our currency has declined is strongly correlated to the levels of capital outflows. Primarily due to 'perceived risk' by foreign investors. As they start selling our currency, we start bleeding money. Our currency hasn't been this weak since... 2005? Mainly it's because of systemic corruption so we're back to politics. So it's kind of hard to talk about this without getting the politics involved, considering it's one of the primary causes.
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post Jul 8 2015, 10:12 PM

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QUOTE(netmask8 @ Jul 8 2015, 05:11 PM)
On the tourism portions with weak currency? China and Japan always keep their currency exchg to makes export competitive.
Our main GDP is semiconductor/electrical/electronic that contributing a third of GDP.
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I think you're looking at this the wrong way. It is not a case of weak or strong currency = better, it is more a case of cause and effect. On the one hand you have a weak currency being one of the CAUSES why China is super competitive, combined with lower wages and standard of living, operating cost is cheaper despite exports of goods, therefore EFFECTING it's high growth. On the other hand, Japan's weak currency is an EFFECT of it's almost 0 inflation rate and 0% in gdp growth for the past decade, the cause of which is declining fertility rates and population growth.

Malaysia is currently facing something more like the Japanese problem but not exactly. The Chinese government PURPOSELY held down the currency, until the US government launched an investigation. But we are facing a fall in our currency due to a 'crisis of confidence'. No one trust our banks or government, so they RUN to safer currencies.

It doesn't matter if our semiconductor contributes to a 3rd of GDP or not. Unless you can tell me that it was 10% this year and GREW to 33% BECAUSE of a fall in currency, I don't really see the difference. I don't believe the growth in semiconductor manufacturing as a function of a GDP shows anything other than we have HISTORICALLY been a cheap producer.

If you want a good example of what is happening to Malaysia. Look at Russia over the last year, and it's currency. We look more like THAT than China. sad.gif
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post Jul 8 2015, 10:14 PM

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QUOTE(bengang14 @ Jul 8 2015, 01:26 PM)
Hi guys.

do you all bet on SGD or USD? any difference?
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I'd probably bet on SGD. USD is currently at a scary high, and the Central Bank just said they might not increase rates this year due to the uncertainty in Greece. It's more fundamental trading though and fairly long-term.
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post Jul 8 2015, 10:51 PM

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QUOTE(netmask8 @ Jul 8 2015, 10:20 PM)
Tourism business will be get better, as tourists with greater currency exhg rate now got more $$ to spend here, while local ppls reluctant / delay their oversea, right?
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You're absolutely right about that biggrin.gif
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post Jul 9 2015, 08:46 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 9 2015, 08:24 AM)
Why we want GDP growth?
Because we want to build up wealth, increase per capital income, increase purchasing power so that people are better well off across the nation and prosperous.

If the country need a weak currency to grow, indirectly means purchasing power is sacrificed,
which in the end of day, you have GDP growth but no increase in purchasing power, it is like a zero sum game already.
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I have no problems with anything u are saying. From an economics perspective ure mostly right.

But that isn't what's happening atm. It isn't a case of weak currency leads to increase growth in GDP. Now it's a case of a depreciating currency AND a reduction in GDP growth. So... Using your game theory terminology, it's more like a negative some game. In out payoff is negative no matter what hahahaha

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post Jul 9 2015, 01:56 PM

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QUOTE(wil-i-am @ Jul 8 2015, 11:51 PM)
U have overlook on medical tourism industry  icon_idea.gif
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No ah... same theory applies... Medical tourism and tourism, although different industries have the same economic impact. Whether the tourist are coming over to buy coconut or medicine, it still is inflow of foreign currency, and thus theoretically help the economy.
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post Jul 9 2015, 02:01 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Jul 9 2015, 01:58 PM)
I would call it everything negative for us now, don't know how to apply economics principles to wht that is happning to Msia. Corect in that point about us being in a 'negative sum game' now. sad.gif  sad.gif  Crazy... everything drops.
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Except prices and taxes biggrin.gif
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post Jul 9 2015, 02:11 PM

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lol. it was a joke.

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