Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Bump Topic Topic Closed RSS Feed

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 Traders Kopitiam! V6

views
     
Le Don
post Nov 4 2014, 10:04 AM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
Bjauto, take profits or hold at current price? whistling.gif

Any comments from traders here?
Le Don
post Nov 4 2014, 10:06 AM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
delete

This post has been edited by Le Don: Nov 4 2014, 10:09 AM
Le Don
post Nov 4 2014, 12:04 PM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 4 2014, 10:09 AM)
If you want to take profits..... why?

Is it because you have gotten a very nice profit in a rather short time? tongue.gif
If you want to HOLD...... why?

Is it because you think there's more good stuff to come?
Is the charts showing any sell signs?

tongue.gif
*
According to conventional wisdom, if a stock move up 20-25% in a short time, you should sell some to lock in the profits. Also, the stocks has almost reached the TPs of many investment banks.

But I will hold for the moment because: EPF still acquiring the stock, QE by Japan making the yen cheaper, and the charts has yet to show a head and shoulders formation. Also, I have a feeling there is more good stuff to come for Bjauto brows.gif

Any thoughts?




Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
Le Don
post Nov 5 2014, 08:30 AM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 5 2014, 08:01 AM)
read this piece this morning....

http://www.thesundaily.my/news/1217955
*
Thanks for the sharing. I will wait for the next quarter report before deciding whether to buy more or sell.

This stock is a bit weird. Yesterday got good report from Maybank and announcement that EPF acquired 100,000 shares but the price still went down 5%.

Le Don
post Nov 5 2014, 09:34 AM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
Mitra going up today thumbup.gif

So far, some of my previous bargain hunting did not turn up well. (example: Bjtoto)
Le Don
post Nov 5 2014, 10:00 AM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
QUOTE(foofoosasa @ Nov 5 2014, 09:42 AM)
PWROOT anyone?
*
Hmm, any reason why you are interested in Pwroot? hmm.gif

The only positives I see is the dividend yield and the recent dip in price (Bargain hunting whistling.gif )
Le Don
post Nov 5 2014, 11:25 AM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
The Securities Commission (SC) is expected to publish its semi-annual review of Shariah-compliant securities at the end of November. Of the 169 stocks under our coverage universe, 121 are currently designated as Shariah-compliant. We have identified three stocks that we believe will be designated as non-compliant in the coming review. They are IOI Corp, Perdana Petroleum and SapuraKencana Petroleum[/QUOTE]

SKpetro could be excluded from the list hmm.gif

http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/rhb/63244.jsp
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «
Le Don
post Nov 6 2014, 09:19 AM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
Construction stocks doing well lately hmm.gif

Bjauto rebounding from 3.40 thumbup.gif

Anyone taking a look at BP plastics? The company came to my attention today while reading the edge online. PE=14, DY=6.5, and EPS rising since 2012. Also, falling oil prices will lower the cost of raw materials (resin) to make plastics, and could benefit companies like Scientex and Bp plastics.



This post has been edited by Le Don: Nov 6 2014, 01:19 PM


Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image Attached Image
Le Don
post Nov 11 2014, 12:58 PM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
New TP for BJauto by RHB is RM4.50 thumbup.gif

But I have to be careful because there is a lot of manipulation of share price of VT counters whistling.gif

QUOTE
"Berjaya Corporation Bhd’s (BCorp) unit Berjaya Group Bhd (BGroup) has placed out 50.05 million share or 6.19% of Berjaya Auto Bhd for RM160.17mil cash.

BCorp said the shares were placed out on Monday and last Friday via direct business transactions at RM3.20 per placement shares.

“Following the completion of the placements, BGroup’s shareholdings in BAuto has reduced from 50.47% to 44.28%,” it said.

At RM3.20, this was a discount of about 9.60% to the five-day weighted average market price of BAuto shares up to last Friday of about RM3.54 per BAuto share"
Le Don
post Nov 17 2014, 11:01 AM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 17 2014, 10:28 AM)
Case again? laugh.gif
Chase the falling stock? whistling.gif
user posted image
user posted image
tongue.gif
Muhibbah now 2.13
*
BTFD whistling.gif
Le Don
post Nov 17 2014, 11:41 AM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 17 2014, 11:32 AM)
laugh.gif  laugh.gif  laugh.gif
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

*
Stock tips? drool.gif

U mean NCAFS = IFCA? and not Nursing Child Assessment of Feeding Scale or Net Cost to Avert a FatalityS biggrin.gif
Le Don
post Nov 17 2014, 12:49 PM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
We should talk more about rising stock here tongue.gif

Anymore upside for the stocks below? thumbup.gif

or STFR whistling.gif

This post has been edited by Le Don: Nov 17 2014, 12:50 PM


Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image Attached Image Attached Image Attached Image Attached Image Attached Image
Le Don
post Nov 17 2014, 01:50 PM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
QUOTE(hehe86 @ Nov 17 2014, 01:47 PM)
HAPSENG mana? Or not qualified? laugh.gif
*
The more the merrier drool.gif

KSL also good this year

This post has been edited by Le Don: Nov 17 2014, 03:52 PM


Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
Le Don
post Nov 18 2014, 10:57 PM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 17 2014, 01:24 PM)
WOW !!!!

Veggie list !!!

drool.gif

Which one can ah? tongue.gif
*
Only Digi from my recent veggie list doing well today sweat.gif

Oil price still going down, may be bad for Msia economy since we are the biggest exporter in Asia. Shipping companies, airlines and plastic companies could profit from this trend brows.gif

Anyone looking at CPO price? Demand could go up because of B7 biodiesel program. If price rebounds, can buy some plantation stocks later. whistling.gif

Btw IFCA graph also looks nice too this year wink.gif

This post has been edited by Le Don: Nov 18 2014, 11:30 PM


Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
Le Don
post Nov 20 2014, 09:32 AM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 20 2014, 08:16 AM)
Le Don

Quote from yesterday report. See page 27.

As at 30 September 2014, the Group has entered into Singapore Jet Kerosene fixed swaps which represents up to 43% of the Group’s total budgeted fuel consumption  for the 4th quarter of 2014. 

The Group has also entered into Singapore Jet Kerosene fixed swap which represents up to 21% and 10% of the Group’s budgeted fuel consumption for the 1st quarter and 2nd quarter of 2015 respectively.

Comments:

As can be seen again, Tony's foot prints is clearly visible. tongue.gif

As SJK (Singapore Jet Kerosene) prices fell, Tony got AirAsia entering more fixed swap hedges.

Now on page 28.

AirAsia, via its hedges, now owns 2.74 million barrels of jet fuel!!!!

previous quarter, the amount was 1.1 million barrel.

A year ago, ie same quarter last fiscal year? Only 0.43 million barrels!!

This was mentioned:

As at 30 September 2013, the Group has entered into Singapore Jet Kerosene fixed swaps which represent up to 30% of the Group‟s total budgeted fuel consumption for the final quarter of 2013 with a weighted average price of USD123.13 per barrel.

* interestingly, AirAsia openly stated its average purchase price, which was USD123.13 per barrel.

Comments:

Now yesterday report was for the accounting period ending Sep 2014.

Look at the link yesterday again: http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/ref...ap-futures.html

Clicking on the charts for Nov 2014, I see this:

user posted image

As can be seen, yes a big decline was seen in Sep.... which is understandable why Tony increased AirAsia jet fuel hedges...

BUT as can be seen, the bigger decline in prices can be seen after Sep, ie in Oct.

WHICH MEANS.......

clearly Tony made these hedges way too early.........

(ironic isn't it? Just exactly like stocks, one should not start buying early in a downfall in prices!!! What is cheap, could get much cheaper!!)

now, AirAsia, as at Sep 2014, has hedged 43% of its fuel consumption for the 4th quarter.....
and " 21% and 10% of the Group’s budgeted fuel consumption for the 1st quarter and 2nd quarter of 2015 respectively"......

so with jet fuel.... becoming much cheaper now..... that means that currently 2.74 million barrels of crude oil was hedged at a much higher price!!!

(ps: not an accountant but I believe there should be some accounting losses from these hedges come next reporting quarter!!)

so back to the main question..... has falling jet fuel prices benefit AirAsia?

rolleyes.gif
*
Thank you for your insight notworthy.gif

If the price of jet fuel continue to drop, Air Asia may benefit from it by next year. Still too early to buy whistling.gif

El Nino coming soon and B7 biodiesel program will be implemented this month. CPO price may increase soon so may be a good time to buy plantations soon brows.gif



Le Don
post Nov 21 2014, 08:02 AM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
Good news for SKpetro
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/s...ilfields-us400m

The Dow and S&P 500 finished at record highs on Thursday. Could be a green day today. smile.gif
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/d...a-intel-outlook
Le Don
post Nov 21 2014, 12:28 PM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
Turnaround for AirAsia? whistling.gif

http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/a...ower-fuel-price
Le Don
post Nov 25 2014, 07:24 PM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
BJauto go up a lot, then go down a lot. EPF manipulating the price? whistling.gif

This post has been edited by Le Don: Nov 25 2014, 07:25 PM


Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
Le Don
post Nov 25 2014, 07:28 PM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
Mitra going up. Better result announcement coming soon? rclxms.gif


Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
Le Don
post Dec 2 2014, 09:41 AM

Casual
***
Junior Member
354 posts

Joined: Aug 2014
Anyone bargain hunting today? whistling.gif

2 Pages  1 2 >Top
Topic ClosedOptions
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0798sec    0.76    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 28th November 2025 - 11:18 AM