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 Traders Kopitiam! V6

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SUSPink Spider
post Dec 7 2014, 08:55 PM

Formerly known as Prince_Hamsap
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QUOTE(river.sand @ Dec 7 2014, 08:47 PM)
5-6% not considered fast grower. DY ok but not great.
The decision is yours  whistling.gif
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I THINK fundamentals-wise it's a decent company

Technicals-wise...see whether it can sustain at 36 sen, if drop...let it drop to 30 sen hmm.gif
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 09:21 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Dec 8 2014, 08:35 AM)
Mehhhhh !!!!
How about you sharing some opinions instead?

whistling.gif
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If I get u correctly, u are implying that Hovid's revenue growth has been sub-par/below industry average?

But...even CCMDBIO's sales growth also <10% wor...then, who're the average/above average ones? hmm.gif
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 10:14 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Dec 8 2014, 09:30 AM)
If I get u correctly, u are implying that Hovid's revenue growth has been sub-par/below industry average?
==> What does the track record shows?

river.sand made a comment about last fiscal year performance. Was it valid?

I do not imply anything.
Best you make your own reasoning.

Read PhaMA's statement.

It represent 44 drug companies.......

That's a lot of fish in the pond.

The articles states of HIGH medicine prices but PhaMA rebutes that statement stating it's unfair to imply that all companies have raised their prices.
Some haven't.

Therefor the question you need to ask is it wise to assume that with high medicine prices, does it mean that all pharmaceutical companies will benefit?
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Pharma companies' main cost is R&D hmm.gif

My take is that weak MYR should benefit companies like Hovid with high export % of total revenue
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 10:24 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Dec 8 2014, 10:22 AM)
Since you like pharma so much... i recommend you Kalbe Farma... earning growth at CAGR of 35% p.a. for the past 10 yearsbrows.gif

Good stock.  thumbup.gif
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Indomee grumble.gif
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 10:25 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Dec 8 2014, 10:24 AM)
Where did you read that Hovid has high export %?

Source please.
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Annual report - under segmental reporting. Slightly more than half of total revenue is derived from export.

Among CCMDBIO, Pharmaniaga and Hovid, Hovid is highest exporter in %.
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 10:35 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Dec 8 2014, 10:34 AM)
Are you sure?

This is what I see.

user posted image
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Ah Boon gor...Asia = ASEAN + HK + China + Malaysia + many more doh.gif
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 10:36 AM

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Here comes Madagascar gang again... tongue.gif

http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/c...et-price-rm1250

This post has been edited by Pink Spider: Dec 8 2014, 10:36 AM
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 10:42 AM

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http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/ptres/24086.jsp

Look at the first bullet point:
QUOTE
A  generic  drug  manufacturer  based  in  Ipoh,  Perak, Hovid  Bhd  (Hovid)  produces  >400  kinds  of  drugs  under  one  roof.  Its revenue has been growing at a CAGR of 11.8% in 2009-2013 and export sales  contributed  52.5%,  or  MYR90.5m,  to  its  FY13  topline


Don't worry, it's not from Madagascar gang tongue.gif
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 10:48 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Dec 8 2014, 10:44 AM)
Please show us profit growth?  tongue.gif  Revenue growth not equal to profir growth.

At one time when hovid was cheap (when they dispose carotech) I was really interested, but as a turnaround story.. not so much now as the growth is tepid..  tongue.gif
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user posted image

I THINK EPS growth would be at around 10%+/- p.a. at best

For annualised FY2015 figures, I used Basic EPS...if used Diluted EPS, the growth would be stagnant sweat.gif
Yeah, I forgotten my EPS calculation stuff already blush.gif

Eh eh eh, why til now no one talked on the chart?

This post has been edited by Pink Spider: Dec 8 2014, 10:50 AM
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 10:57 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Dec 8 2014, 10:56 AM)
If you use 3 years that is the strong rebound AFTER the sold off carotech... before that they were losing lots of money. Can the momentum be sustained?  tongue.gif
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I know, initially my analysis I used 5-6 year results. But, not comparable lor...the circumstances were too different.
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 11:08 AM

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Let's say har...

Selling price USD100
Raw material price (imported materials) USD60
profit USD40

But with weakening Ringgit, the USD40 will become higher in RM terms.

Should be good, right? hmm.gif
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 11:16 AM

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QUOTE(chongwei @ Dec 8 2014, 11:13 AM)
oh means that they are dealing in terms of USD? I thought since its ASIA market then it wont be using USD.

If it is using USD then of course it'll be good biggrin.gif
Thanks  thumbup.gif
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Oi oi oi


Did u not notice the word "let's say"

I dunno what currency they're trading in! laugh.gif
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 11:26 AM

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Boon and Unker Gark keep pour cold water on me cry.gif

Ok, I reconsider my decision sad.gif
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 11:39 AM

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I THINK I might wanna wait at 32 sen...see the current downtrend channel
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 12:12 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Dec 8 2014, 11:58 AM)
Let's say har...

Selling price RM300
Raw material price (imported materials) USD60
profit RM ?

But with weakening Ringgit, the RM? will become lower in USD terms.

Should be good, right? hmm.gif
*
Depends on they selling on MYR or USD lor for their exports

If sales and costs both in USD, their profit margin will become bigger in Ringgit terms

Btw, Maxis is starting to get tasty drool.gif

This post has been edited by Pink Spider: Dec 8 2014, 12:13 PM
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 12:29 PM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Dec 8 2014, 12:28 PM)
you dump your DIGI ?
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Still holding
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 12:48 PM

Formerly known as Prince_Hamsap
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QUOTE(river.sand @ Dec 8 2014, 12:38 PM)
Hovid - even the most bullish CIMB says HOLD  hmm.gif
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Go contrarian against Madagascar gang not sure profit? tongue.gif
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 8 2014, 01:27 PM

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QUOTE(felixmask @ Dec 8 2014, 12:30 PM)
rclxms.gif  rclxms.gif

then no point buy MAXIS  blink.gif

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

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KLCC also getting close to 5% net yield...now 4.8%++ net yield brows.gif
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 9 2014, 09:35 AM

Formerly known as Prince_Hamsap
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AEON Credit continue to get walloped shocking.gif

While Mr Condom Karex flies... rclxm9.gif

This post has been edited by Pink Spider: Dec 9 2014, 09:36 AM
SUSPink Spider
post Dec 9 2014, 10:11 AM

Formerly known as Prince_Hamsap
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QUOTE(felixmask @ Dec 9 2014, 10:10 AM)
Pinky,

I still searching UNAIDS sponsor dom dom budget...what i know UN $ aid from US and Euro getting less

but i cant find the figure...u got any report show UN going to increase or decrease dom dom to WORLD.
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I dun do research THAT in-depth sweat.gif

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