LOL Gartman
USA Stock Discussion v6, Midterm Elections! U.S. Jobs Report!
USA Stock Discussion v6, Midterm Elections! U.S. Jobs Report!
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Nov 3 2014, 11:00 PM
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#1
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
would be interesting to see that gap filled if bears take it down at 2050.
LOL Gartman |
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Nov 3 2014, 11:08 PM
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#2
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 3 2014, 09:46 PM) I'm tired of bull.. Now, its' over 2000, please let bears take it down one more time. Like to see these two areas to be re-tested before year end: 50MA 1968 200MA 1912 although im inclined to expect a booming retail 4Q thanks to lower gas prices.. |
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Nov 4 2014, 10:44 PM
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#3
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
looks like that Encana/Southwestern play is looking unlikely.
dollar is breaking through the roof |
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Nov 4 2014, 11:00 PM
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#4
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 4 2014, 10:53 PM) Holy cow... Oil dropping like flies. Now at WTI @ 77 , Brent @ 83. that's downright confusing, does it mean that the Brent/WTI gap should widen?Saudi said they'll sell higher price to Asia than N.America to try to compete with shale drillers.. That means we (in Asia) won't see prices drop in petrol anytime soon... while pumps in N.America are dropping. wtf? here i thought it was a ploy to prepare for a russian winter |
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Nov 4 2014, 11:39 PM
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#5
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
Factory orders negative MOM for second month now. noted could be seasonal but .. macro seems shaky.
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Nov 5 2014, 01:16 PM
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#6
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
Republicans take the Senate.
Keystone back in play? TRP/XOM/VLO wow USDJPY 114, USDMYR 3.34 This post has been edited by teehk_tee: Nov 5 2014, 01:17 PM |
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Nov 5 2014, 11:33 PM
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#7
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
forgot to mention, in SWN 33.81 within the last 30 mins right at the upper trend channel. following breakout.
ECA monitoring. This post has been edited by teehk_tee: Nov 5 2014, 11:33 PM |
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Nov 6 2014, 12:34 AM
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#8
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
how convenient for a saudi pipeline to 'explode' just right after the halfterms.
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Nov 6 2014, 06:53 PM
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#9
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
so we'll get to hear Draghi's wisdom again later.
let's see what's on the table EURUSD to 1.20? dropping TLTRO rates? another bazooka to supplement the shots fired by Kuroda? on a sidenote, just noticed that this is the month that ECB begins buying asset-backed securities.. |
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Nov 6 2014, 07:49 PM
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#10
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
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Nov 7 2014, 11:25 PM
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#11
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
Markets are jumpy i dont know whether its a reaction to jobs being good news or bad news..
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Nov 9 2014, 06:48 PM
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#12
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
TOKYO, Nov 9 (Reuters) - Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is considering dissolving the lower house of parliament and calling a snap election if he decides to delay a plan to raise the sales tax next year, the Yomiuri Shimbun reported.
If Mr Abe does dissolve the Lower House, an election could be held on Dec 14 or Dec 21, the Yomiuri reported on Sunday, citing several government and ruling party sources. Mr Abe has also told members of his party's coalition partner of this plan, the Yomiuri said. why would Abe risk it? the sales tax hike is already passed into law. he can't be that worried about 3Q/4Q GDP to repeal it. |
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Nov 11 2014, 04:28 AM
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#13
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
haha wives club lol along with a familiar neighbor
http://shanghaiist.com/2014/11/10/xi-throw...way-at-apec.php XJP looks grim! i havent seen him that stone-faced in ever |
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Nov 14 2014, 01:55 AM
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#14
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
wow, switched off for a few days to asia for arbitraging (hk-sh through train) and things look toppish this side of the world suddenly.
my barometer for the time being is BABA. think some bears are monitoring it too exited SWN around 36.10 on mon. |
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Dec 2 2014, 08:51 PM
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#15
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Dec 2 2014, 05:12 AM) crazy TTB (from ICAP) even predict US$10-$30. he's an absolute bear i think he is crazy now. Or, the world is crazy except for him. been keeping 70-80% cash for years now iirc. thats why the activists are pushing for board seats amidst all that AGM ruckus. (on top of TTB paying himself top dollar to stay in a cave lol) |
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Dec 8 2014, 05:49 PM
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#16
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Dec 8 2014, 03:45 AM) On the other hand, malaysia market bursa has been hit hard. Bears are all around us. Looking at this situation, even a year end window dressing, if any, would be very weak one. china & hk has been surprisingly fun since the through-train & rate cut In fact, even china/hk market, majority of stocks are depressing, only selected blue chips were cooked high up. This is a very tricky bear. Euro market no good too. Looks like US is the only bull after QE ended? malaysia i just closed my screen lol. |
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Dec 8 2014, 09:39 PM
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#17
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
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Dec 10 2014, 12:14 AM
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#18
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 10 2014, 12:08 AM) Finally... Bears are out!!! yeah was watching the HSCEI index, that volatility Anyone spotted China/Shanghai market yesterday.. -5% after big dump yesterday. still kinda high.. needs more dump. Also, FBMKLCI.. getting pummeled everyday..getting closer to 1700. KLCI is |
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Dec 11 2014, 09:21 PM
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#19
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
came across a very interesting monthly WTI chart several traders were sharing
essentially its calling for a multiyear (since 99) bottom at $48-49. |
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Dec 12 2014, 05:16 PM
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#20
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5,363 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: กรุงเทพมหานคร BKK |
QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 12 2014, 01:23 AM) Perhaps don't need to go back so far.. yeah..totally agree we're nowhere near the 09 sentiment.I remembered Oil was $40 in 2009, right after the March'09 bottom for SP500. But, it was when there's huge risk deflation and very bad economy. Right now, economy recovery is on the right track (albeit slowly). Oil issues are mainly supply/demand now. As long as the market is flooded with over supply (contango), there is nothing much to do except to wait for the producers to cut back OR.... somebody blow up some pipelines... ok ive recreated the chart on the monthly WTI ![]() you've got sub-56 as near term supports i guess. but.. looking at this ive got some plays i wanna try out This post has been edited by teehk_tee: Dec 12 2014, 05:20 PM |
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