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 USA Stock Discussion v6, Midterm Elections! U.S. Jobs Report!

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teehk_tee
post Nov 3 2014, 11:00 PM

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would be interesting to see that gap filled if bears take it down at 2050. hmm.gif

LOL Gartman
teehk_tee
post Nov 3 2014, 11:08 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 3 2014, 09:46 PM)
I'm tired of bull.. Now, its' over 2000, please let bears take it down one more time.  tongue.gif

Like to see these two areas to be re-tested before year end:
50MA  1968
200MA 1912
*
brows.gif a drop right down to 200MA would be spooky.
although im inclined to expect a booming retail 4Q thanks to lower gas prices..
teehk_tee
post Nov 4 2014, 10:44 PM

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looks like that Encana/Southwestern play is looking unlikely.
hmm.gif

dollar is breaking through the roof laugh.gif
teehk_tee
post Nov 4 2014, 11:00 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Nov 4 2014, 10:53 PM)
Holy cow... Oil dropping like flies.  Now at WTI @ 77 , Brent @ 83.

Saudi said they'll sell higher price to Asia than N.America to try to compete with shale drillers.. 
That means we (in Asia) won't see prices drop in petrol anytime soon... while pumps in N.America are dropping.  wtf?  mad.gif
*
that's downright confusing, does it mean that the Brent/WTI gap should widen?
here i thought it was a ploy to prepare for a russian winter laugh.gif
teehk_tee
post Nov 4 2014, 11:39 PM

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Factory orders negative MOM for second month now. noted could be seasonal but .. macro seems shaky.
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post Nov 5 2014, 01:16 PM

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Republicans take the Senate.
Keystone back in play? brows.gif

TRP/XOM/VLO

wow USDJPY 114, USDMYR 3.34


This post has been edited by teehk_tee: Nov 5 2014, 01:17 PM
teehk_tee
post Nov 5 2014, 11:33 PM

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forgot to mention, in SWN 33.81 within the last 30 mins right at the upper trend channel. following breakout.
ECA monitoring.

This post has been edited by teehk_tee: Nov 5 2014, 11:33 PM
teehk_tee
post Nov 6 2014, 12:34 AM

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how convenient for a saudi pipeline to 'explode' just right after the halfterms.
teehk_tee
post Nov 6 2014, 06:53 PM

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so we'll get to hear Draghi's wisdom again later.
let's see what's on the table

EURUSD to 1.20?
dropping TLTRO rates?
another bazooka to supplement the shots fired by Kuroda?
brows.gif

on a sidenote, just noticed that this is the month that ECB begins buying asset-backed securities..
teehk_tee
post Nov 6 2014, 07:49 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Nov 6 2014, 07:45 PM)
japan + ECB = Fed QE continues?  tongue.gif
*
mama had to let go of the market's hands for a while but mama's always there brows.gif
teehk_tee
post Nov 7 2014, 11:25 PM

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Markets are jumpy i dont know whether its a reaction to jobs being good news or bad news..
teehk_tee
post Nov 9 2014, 06:48 PM

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TOKYO, Nov 9 (Reuters) - Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is considering dissolving the lower house of parliament and calling a snap election if he decides to delay a plan to raise the sales tax next year, the Yomiuri Shimbun reported.

If Mr Abe does dissolve the Lower House, an election could be held on Dec 14 or Dec 21, the Yomiuri reported on Sunday, citing several government and ruling party sources. Mr Abe has also told members of his party's coalition partner of this plan, the Yomiuri said.



why would Abe risk it? the sales tax hike is already passed into law. he can't be that worried about 3Q/4Q GDP to repeal it.

hmm.gif fuel for bears
teehk_tee
post Nov 11 2014, 04:28 AM

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haha wives club lol along with a familiar neighbor

http://shanghaiist.com/2014/11/10/xi-throw...way-at-apec.php

XJP looks grim! i havent seen him that stone-faced in ever laugh.gif
teehk_tee
post Nov 14 2014, 01:55 AM

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wow, switched off for a few days to asia for arbitraging (hk-sh through train) and things look toppish this side of the world suddenly.

my barometer for the time being is BABA. think some bears are monitoring it too smile.gif

exited SWN around 36.10 on mon.
teehk_tee
post Dec 2 2014, 08:51 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Dec 2 2014, 05:12 AM)
crazy TTB (from ICAP) even predict US$10-$30.  tongue.gif
i think he is crazy now. Or, the world is crazy except for him.  laugh.gif
*
he's an absolute bear laugh.gif
been keeping 70-80% cash for years now iirc.

thats why the activists are pushing for board seats amidst all that AGM ruckus. (on top of TTB paying himself top dollar to stay in a cave lol)
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post Dec 8 2014, 05:49 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Dec 8 2014, 03:45 AM)
On the other hand, malaysia market bursa has been hit hard. Bears are all around us. Looking at this situation, even a year end window dressing, if any, would be very weak one.  sweat.gif
In fact, even china/hk market, majority of stocks are depressing, only selected blue chips were cooked high up. This is a very tricky bear.  sweat.gif
Euro market no good too.

Looks like US is the only bull after QE ended?  hmm.gif
*
china & hk has been surprisingly fun since the through-train & rate cut brows.gif particularly insurance (China Life, Ping An), brokerages (Haitong, Citic), airlines (Cathay, China Eastern), railway construction (CRCG, CRG) & banks (CMBank). but need to tread carefully with your picks as its not a broad sector rally.

malaysia i just closed my screen lol.
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post Dec 8 2014, 09:39 PM

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QUOTE(Brother J @ Dec 8 2014, 08:43 PM)
one should never miss this
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

*
thanks for the share.





--
sigh, FDX sad.gif
at the rate it's running it'll be at 200 by month end
teehk_tee
post Dec 10 2014, 12:14 AM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 10 2014, 12:08 AM)
Finally... Bears are out!!!   

Anyone spotted China/Shanghai market yesterday.. -5% after big dump yesterday.
still kinda high.. needs more dump.

Also, FBMKLCI.. getting pummeled everyday..getting closer to 1700.  biggrin.gif
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yeah was watching the HSCEI index, that volatility drool.gif
KLCI is brows.gif
teehk_tee
post Dec 11 2014, 09:21 PM

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came across a very interesting monthly WTI chart several traders were sharing

essentially its calling for a multiyear (since 99) bottom at $48-49.
hmm.gif
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post Dec 12 2014, 05:16 PM

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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Dec 12 2014, 01:23 AM)
Perhaps don't need to go back so far..

I remembered Oil was $40 in 2009, right after the March'09 bottom for SP500.
But, it was when there's huge risk deflation and very bad economy.

Right now, economy recovery is on the right track (albeit slowly).

Oil issues are mainly supply/demand now.  As long as the market is flooded with over supply (contango),
there is nothing much to do except to wait for the producers to cut back

OR.... somebody blow up some pipelines...  brows.gif
*
yeah..totally agree we're nowhere near the 09 sentiment.

ok ive recreated the chart on the monthly WTI
user posted image

you've got sub-56 as near term supports i guess.
but.. looking at this ive got some plays i wanna try out brows.gif

This post has been edited by teehk_tee: Dec 12 2014, 05:20 PM

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