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USA Stock Discussion v6, Midterm Elections! U.S. Jobs Report!
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yok70
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Jan 18 2015, 04:44 AM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 17 2015, 09:34 AM) high time... already down 5 sessions in a row. down another 5? i'll slip into recession then! crude will surely not rebound fast n furious but it does look like some footing has been reached. will be looking for opportunities to add a bit more of this sector. malaysia oil stocks already rebounded 15-20% from recent bottom. Wondering how much more could they further recover....I mean, it's impossible for them to recover back to previous high valuation. So what is fair valuation?  wah, oil closed at US$48.48! What a 48 situation!! This post has been edited by yok70: Jan 18 2015, 04:48 AM
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yok70
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Jan 22 2015, 12:32 AM
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 21 2015, 11:58 PM) BUY BUY BUY!! It's still working!! Bulls are in charge again!  trend seems still down, with volume increasing. my guess is it's heading lower....maybe 1930-1950?  however, if able to breakout 2080, guess new high is coming. This post has been edited by yok70: Jan 22 2015, 12:33 AM
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yok70
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Jan 24 2015, 03:38 AM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 24 2015, 03:01 AM) mild session so far... digesting yesterday's run, i guess... only one i see good is aapl, again! 200 coming....Icahn wish.
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yok70
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Jan 26 2015, 05:53 PM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 26 2015, 05:16 PM) a nice short summary of what the davos people think of the economic climate around the globe today. China slows....but 7.4% woh! Not so slow leh.
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yok70
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Jan 26 2015, 10:37 PM
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QUOTE(Brother J @ Jan 26 2015, 10:26 PM) I lol'ed hard when the OPEC clown screamed that oil is gonna hit $200 sometime, he must have been plotting to spark some wars in various places. well, maybe he mean 20 years later, where entire world printing money non stop that $100 can only buy 1 bigmac.
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yok70
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Jan 28 2015, 01:26 AM
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 28 2015, 12:33 AM) Bears will rape AAPL if it cannot deliver more revenue than last year same quarter. So, the numbers better be good. now flooded with news saying iphone sales top in China with price double of rivals xiaomi (2nd place). How about that.
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yok70
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Jan 28 2015, 02:28 AM
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rebound again. another weak bear?.....
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yok70
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Jan 28 2015, 02:34 PM
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QUOTE(jerrychoo2004 @ Jan 28 2015, 09:24 AM) thanks for your salute Bro J......me long term investor for aapl.... hope the quarterly report will be smashing superb report. 200 coming...
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yok70
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Jan 29 2015, 04:14 AM
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 29 2015, 03:45 AM) Watch out... XLE in danger zone again.. Crude getting whacked. how can not reach 40? teasing for so long already, must go there mah.
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yok70
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Jan 29 2015, 05:15 AM
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 29 2015, 04:32 AM) $40 will be like 2009 price. Everything collapsed. Here at $70 still got good support. Wait and see if low 70 can happen not now.. maybe a rare "triple" bottom. If it fails, next level is at 60-70 range.  oh, i mean oil at $40.
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yok70
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Jan 29 2015, 05:47 AM
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 29 2015, 05:31 AM) Oil at $40, just -$4 to go only since WTI is now at $44.. I think it may test there soon. If falls below $40, it can be devastating..  if it needs a floor, better go there faster, so that the process of stabilizing can start to do their job.
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yok70
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Jan 29 2015, 12:39 PM
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 29 2015, 09:08 AM) The bears are teasing us again.. will it bring SP500 to 1972 and whack it further to 1950? 2000 is the support line to cross tomorrow. Already 3 big sell off in January.. it looks like a topping pattern for the month here.. doesn't it? My reading sees the bull is exhausting and the bear is not strong but just a little stronger, overall looking flat so heading to flat near term. The result of the above seems the bear will take over but not a strong bear (seen yet). Guess 1950 is possible but hard to reach previous low of 1850.
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yok70
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Jan 29 2015, 12:45 PM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 29 2015, 09:54 AM) there are now a few hundred million bbls floating in tankers, depots etc. will take many months to absorb just that. and latest i read is marginal wells r actually pumping more now for cash to stay alive. surely not sustainable but that's the thing going on now. really, no clear signs it'll settle anytime soon.
we need a good trigger for stabilization signal, just like what happened when it touch $50, first round of stabilization already happened in past 2 weeks. But more such process is needed before the REAL THING finally comes. So $40 is essential to come as news flow still prefer negative category now. if we go $35 or even close to $30, the 2nd round (or will that be the final round?) stabilization process should be triggered. After that, i guess a long stabilization process (6-12 months?) will be triggered. Just my thoughts.
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yok70
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Jan 29 2015, 10:30 PM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 29 2015, 07:09 PM) big oil shell will cut capex by $15b, first to announce, other majors will follow. there will be a string of shakeouts, m&a, chapter 11, for small oil, oilfield services, logistics and support, etc. http://www.cnbc.com/id/102378480when all that dies down, that's the signal... 2-3 qtrs, i think.  since market moves ahead of real economy, so we are looking at.....1-2 qtrs? while oil price panic has been 2 months+ now? probably just 1 qtr ahead left.....
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yok70
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Jan 29 2015, 11:39 PM
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 29 2015, 11:27 PM) XLE back to the 3 weeks low... either bounce off here again or collapse under the floor.  market worries on US crude inventory? oil so cheap, why not store more into fridge? china also buy buy buy oil.
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yok70
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Jan 30 2015, 12:41 AM
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 30 2015, 12:00 AM) They gotta buy a lot of fridges... US govt SPR wells are at 95% capacity already... it's already near full. I don't think we can blame US solely for this problem. US itself doesn't produce enough for it own consumption and its oil exports banned still in place, it just imports less because of domestic production. It was the OPEC who doesn't want to cut production for world consumption. Maybe China can continue to buy buy buy...  yes. therefore buy buy buy china stocks.
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yok70
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Jan 30 2015, 01:58 AM
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 30 2015, 12:58 AM) Wanna try some BABA stocks? It's back to IPO price..  oh i don't like Mah Yun personality, like a conman. Alibaba retail business also con, lots of fake products. Mi, Xiao Mi, OEM Xiaomi.....all fake. They would tell you , oh, OEM is the brand name, not mean OEM.  Tencent I very interested. But valuation high, so cannot buy. Wait durian drop first. This post has been edited by yok70: Jan 30 2015, 01:59 AM
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yok70
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Jan 30 2015, 03:36 AM
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super bull continues....
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yok70
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Jan 30 2015, 04:32 PM
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QUOTE(danmooncake @ Jan 30 2015, 05:57 AM) Xiaomi also fake?? Are u sure? So darn funny..  be careful, Xiaomi is not Mi, not OEM Xiaomi, not Xiao Mi, not.....
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yok70
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Jan 30 2015, 04:33 PM
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jan 30 2015, 10:18 AM) nice to see a 119 apple in the morning.  135 coming....
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