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 USA Stock Discussion v6, Midterm Elections! U.S. Jobs Report!

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danmooncake
post Apr 30 2015, 02:32 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ Apr 30 2015, 02:23 AM)
I am feeling so sorry for my old favourite wynn. dropping like a stone, -$21 or 16% in a single day because of making losses for Q1.
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Not just WYNN, all casinos been getting whacked lately. LVS, MPEL, MGM.. the business in Macau going down hill.

danmooncake
post May 1 2015, 01:44 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ May 1 2015, 12:55 AM)
ya, crazy...

aapl, ibb... bad.

only bright spot is oil.

managed to sell my amba at session high. 3rd time in 3 months, 5-6% net profit each, happy. biggrin.gif

gotta to lay back n watch
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Not sure even oil can tahan bears attack on general market... ready to pull the trigger. sweat.gif
danmooncake
post May 4 2015, 11:11 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ May 4 2015, 06:09 PM)
europe up.
oil up.
futures up.

nice! laugh.gif
well... rm looking an implied down tmrw after holidays, 3.5977.
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/currencies/asia-pacific/
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Bears gone back to sleep. Bulls are out to play again.. rclxms.gif
danmooncake
post May 6 2015, 04:15 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ May 5 2015, 09:41 PM)
any oil or energy stock 1-6% up!
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Oh.. they crapped out today.. I finally got stop out from XLE at 83.
Need to get back in again.. maybe we'll see lower than 80 by Friday. tongue.gif



danmooncake
post May 6 2015, 10:57 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 6 2015, 10:35 AM)
energy and oil seem to be steady even after yday's rout. nymex at 60+. maybe as Dan said, xle is worth monitoring tonight?
oil was up altho i could not find any clues anytwhere last night ... ?
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Oil got over $60.. therefore attracted more bulls. Just technical push.. nothing fundamentals. They wanted to push this to $65. Still lots of supply in the market.

Energy index (XLE) seems to be pulling back overnight - I think it just wants to follow the general market. Profit taking perhaps but the 50ma (around 79) should act as good support.


danmooncake
post May 6 2015, 11:02 AM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ May 6 2015, 11:01 AM)
they pushing up to orchastrate an even better plunge in the coming days??
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Who knows..the MMs could be trying to create a bull trap for us. Cautiously optimistic.. sweat.gif
danmooncake
post May 6 2015, 11:18 AM

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Summer driving season in US (and Canada) will drive up consumption a bit but it won't be much.

The Saudi continues to produce the same amount of oil (approx 10 mln barrels/day) since last month.
So, there is really no change here.

A lot of US frackers shut off their well and put on standby (idle) after oil price drops below $65.
But if Oil goes back to $65.. guess what's going to happen, they will turn them back on because
they want to sell them at that price. So, I think there will be a lot of resistance at that level.





danmooncake
post May 6 2015, 11:29 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 6 2015, 11:22 AM)
not sure if we can take any notice of it or not? from marketwatch >>

... Oil futures rose in electronic trading late Tuesday after the American Petroleum Institute reported that crude supplies fell 1.5 million barrels for the week ended May 1, according to sources. A Platts survey of analysts forecast a climb of 1 million barrels. "The draw in crude breaks the streak of builds and adds credence to the argument that U.S. output is peaking," said Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at Price Futures Group. "Demand also looks good." Following the data, June crude CLM5, +0.91% was at $60.77 a barrel in electronic trading, up from the $60.40 settlement on Nymex. The more closely watched Energy Information Administration report is due Wednesday.
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Yes, let's wait and see what EIA report says. Sometimes API says ... bullish (more consumption) but EIA says bearish (or less drawn down).
danmooncake
post May 6 2015, 11:30 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ May 6 2015, 05:35 PM)
usd weak, oil up, europe up, futures up.
should be recovery like 2 sessions ago.
so, it's a rollercoaster... again.

oil approaching 62, oil stocks in for a rally, i expect.
fxi... after diving 3.6% last night, it should lose another 2-3% tonight.
high time china stocks cool, bubble getting big...
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EIA says inventory down.. so it is bullish for oil for this week.
XLE holding steady so far...

FXI needs to dive more towards the 50ma line.. big gap needs to be filled.
China stocks have virtually double since last year. Need more pull back..

Aunty Yellen said US equities value are high..opps sounds like that's sell signal to me sweat.gif
We haven't seen a 5-10% pull back for a while.. so it I think it's time.

Holding cash right now. Go ahead and let more bears out! tongue.gif
danmooncake
post May 7 2015, 01:48 AM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 7 2015, 12:04 AM)
For the first time in last 5-6 mths, US oil build up us NEGATIVE! meaning consumption > output ? your grocery is getting more pricy even without msian gst.
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I don't think it translate to malaysia gst like that. but it should have some correlation to WTI price and Brent price.

US oil consumers ate up 3.9 mln barrels more last week (it was last friday last snapshot from prior week).
The weather gets warmer, people go outside and play.. spring time, more traveling.

But, since last year, the total inventory is doubled..
Normally stocked/oil inventory is US is supposed to be 360-400 mln barrels for past few years.
Then, suddenly in started in Dec (till now).. it creeped up to 480 mln-490 mln barrels.

There are still over almost 80-90 million barrels of oversupply in US.
Say if everyone drives like crazy during summer time, it would not have consumed all so fast because imports are still going (the Saudi's didn't stop pumping) and the some idle shale rigs are waiting for the magic $64-$65 to hit before they start pumping again.

The oil traders are bidding up the prices in anticipation of other things... like pushing up stories like more explosion in Yemen may distrupt Oil production, etc... Saudi sending in more planes (hasn't happen yet but may).
Their machines can pull up the prices in steps and make it fall like rock..

So, tread carefully here.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: May 7 2015, 01:48 AM
danmooncake
post May 7 2015, 02:43 AM

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She's letting the bears out.... watch out!! sweat.gif
danmooncake
post May 7 2015, 03:01 AM

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Frack.... 10 year treasury suddenly spiked. Bulls are running for the hills.. sweat.gif

danmooncake
post May 7 2015, 03:22 AM

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XLE finally coming down... rclxms.gif

Come down below $80.. and let me buy again. tongue.gif
danmooncake
post May 7 2015, 09:42 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 7 2015, 09:39 PM)
Looks a red turn green saga.at open.
oh my...xle on offer ... -1.00 !!!
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Make it 79'ish. I'm ok to dip my feet in. rclxms.gif
danmooncake
post May 7 2015, 09:51 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 7 2015, 09:46 PM)
Yooo..strange. My sune jumps out of the gate in huge green hood while fslr opens red...xle ....<80 very soon ????
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Darn... I just saw SUNE pull back to 50ma just yesterday and missed the chance for putting an order it.
The partnership with TERP is good for SUNE. Just hold on to it. It's going higher.
danmooncake
post May 7 2015, 10:08 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ May 7 2015, 09:53 PM)
tonite looks like nasdaq nite....

baba, yhoo, nokia racing ahead. aapl....??!! biggrin.gif

oil/energy diving...
ok, i got my consolation prize, probably can sleep early. laugh.gif
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AAPL is good at support here (125).. thumbup.gif
danmooncake
post May 7 2015, 10:44 PM

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Ok, I'm back in XLE... sweat.gif

Now... please slow the bears down.
danmooncake
post May 8 2015, 09:10 PM

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QUOTE(mikehwy @ May 8 2015, 09:01 PM)
job data wnt be good. Lets hope its as bad as possible !!! because marketwatch shows historical proof that this data is negatively correlated to dows !!!
yooo...lets have bad bad jobs ! (no spamming pls...lol)
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haha.. jobs numbers are good! Bears now went back into hiding.. futures up, premarket stocks are surging and most importantly.. XLE is up! thumbup.gif
danmooncake
post May 8 2015, 10:09 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ May 8 2015, 09:44 PM)
oil dropping - spoiling the party for oil/energy! laugh.gif
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Frack!! mad.gif I'm dumping 'em as soon as this short covering rally is over for the general market.

I think bigger correction is coming.
danmooncake
post May 9 2015, 02:30 AM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ May 9 2015, 01:06 AM)
right, ok for holding only. i do the same.
trading, need something else.
turns out all sectors good.

everything on my screen is 1.5%-2.5% green.

next week, probably roller coaster once again. biggrin.gif

have a good weekend!
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Waah wahh surprise surprise... still must take profits for this weekend. rclxms.gif
Dunno what's going to happen next week. The crazy bulls are pushing the general index near to the top again.



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