UNDER CONSTRUCTION!!!! v13

This is a continuation from V12 of property bubble, since now as at 2014 October, price of property are still going up with some areas are stagnant, no major correction/bubble , but transaction units has drop tremendously in sub sales & new launch

https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/3381037

Current cooling measures implemented by government of Malaysia inclusive of state, bank negara and federal:

a) Removal of DIBS

b) Foreigner restrictions increased from 500k to 1 million which was enhanced by breaking to 3 zones in KV
respectively for residential & commercial (in short hot areas in Klang valley had raised the bar to 2 million above)

c) RPGT (disposal of property within 5 years) in force 2014 are now chargeable tax:
1-3 year= 30%
4 year= 20 %
5 year= 15%

d) DSR (debt to service ratio) in force on August 2013
loans approved are based on 70% max from your nett salary

e) Maximum loans tenure up to 35 years or max 70 years

f) Government intervention in building affordable houses

g) 3rd and above house maximum loans of 70% from financial institutions

h) etc

Current price range : mostly sub sales are priced between 300k to 800k
: mostly new launches are priced between 400k to 1 million

Current rental price range./most optimum demanded rentals : between 1.2k to 2k

most new launches rental yields will score negative rental yields especially 500k category or 300k above properties above

***
for newbie/first time corner to own a house:
a)due to the current price of new launch are withing 400k to 1 million,new launches tend to have package and minimum down payments as possible to facilitate buyers to own a property

b) as for sub sales groups, due to the properties within the region of 300k to 800k, buyers now need to provide the following:
i) down payments (around 30k to 80k, depending on range)
ii) legal fees for Sales & purchase agreement ( around RM2.25k to RM6.5K)
iii) legal fees for loan agreement (same around RM2.25k to RM6.5K )
iv) stamp duty for Sales & purchase agreement (RM5K to RM18K)
v) stamp duty for loan agreement (RM1.5K to RM 4K)

**all in buyers/newbie need to fork out a range of (RM45k (for a RM300K property to RM115 K (for a 800k property), not inclusive of disbursement which may easily cost 10k for all the above (depending of firms) renovation, and etc, just mere basic unit or old sub sales with renovated

the calculation can be found below link, put in your figure into the S&P/loan/STAMP DUTY calculator:

http://www.elawyer.com.my/legal_calculator_info.php

Units available:
a) apartments
b) condo
c) double storey
d) Towns house
e) Semi detached & Bungalows

**Mass supplies are mostly found in category b & c

Upcoming property challenges and external factors:

a) affordability (higher entry prices with down payment, legal fees stamp duty)
b) OPR/BLR increase
c) Inflation
d) Property price going up (resulting stretching away from valuation)
e) Transaction volume
f) Competitive packages
g) Government affordable houses
h) GST implementation

Upcoming factors boosting property property price /external factors:

a) MRT completion
b) star LRT extension
c) MRT extension (Putrajaya-Klang extension)
d) population increase (migration of population to KV & johor)
e) government package of stamp duty exemption of 50% on properties below 400k and below 500k( terms and condition applies just in force after budget applies to loans too)
f) developers are bypassing DIBS programmer (by giving high rebates, such as marking up prices and etc) to qualify lower entry
h) Financial institutions are offering to cover all interest served during constructions by either factoring into the loan sums

Outlook of properties that were risky of correction in TS personal opinions are for properties purchased 1st hand (developers sales):

a) those range below 100k ( flats & apartments are best bargain chip, no bubble and renal yields are the best, suffer hardship in selling due to old units)

b) those range below 300k ( apartments & maybe condos & townhouse or even double storey in some areas consider very good bargain in sub sales as these sub sales price falls within the region of the lower bracket of affordability i.e maybe around 400k to below 500k, rental yields also good as design are more modern especially condos)

c) those range below 500k ( mid end & high end condos, apartments, double storey , semi D in some cases) quite risky investment as the sub sales price are climbing up to 700k above region in sub sales and mostly located outskirt properties or newer/modern properties especially outskirts projects like Semenyih, Bangi, Rawang, Seremban, or high rise within city center and mature areas.

d) those range 600k and above ( latest generation of property double storey, semi D's and bungalows with most modern facilities and facades) investment is rare is this category , most developers are holding to these properties with these pricing.. no competitions meant for own stay category

** categories a & b can be considered as blue chips in properties, even they can be sold, the rental yields covers as median /optimum rental demands are between 1.2k to 2k (highest demands)

**category c are highly likely to face bubble with vacant units

**category d shall remain resilient in price, these are meant for own stay products and if there are invetors, it will be a long terms ones

Other factors/abusive factors which push the property price by using (agency body & financial institutions):
** detail explanation will provided later

a) Marking up prices normally sub sales (malpractice by valuers, loan officers, owners & buyer)
b) soft launch, official launch, for VVIP's, investors clubs, developers staffs and etc
c) reintroduction of rebates/DIBS into the property buying activity by returning money back upon completion, no need down payment is needed and etc), one of it is by jacking up the price.
d) deployment of potential buyers by developers to portray a good/hot buying project
e) refinancing activity to buy more term by borrowing more monies under the cheap interest of (BLR 6.85- 2.45=4.XX) rather than personal loans/constructions loans/and etc to prolong the sub prime crisis while awaiting time pass to pay for sub sales
f) sales & purchase activity between family members like selling to family to get loans that can be used to service loans and prolong the defaulting period
g) developers launching new phases with higher price, this has to do with mentality to the coming investors or recurring investors, by launching prices higher, this gives them a feel of "paper gain" scenario
h) suppressing bad news about property investment & those disseminating it

This post has been edited by bearbearwong: Nov 3 2014, 12:58 AM