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 4 Critical Signs of a Bubble Market V7, UUU still trounced DDD

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HuiChyr
post Jun 16 2014, 12:16 PM

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QUOTE(gogo2 @ Jun 16 2014, 11:53 AM)
That's why you don't see much house in auction.  rclxms.gif
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By then bubble already pop.
But one thing I'm sure of is that banker with strong connection to rich ppl and vice versa buy up the properties under water even before it was auction off. And these props are usually good location and rental. Props auction off are the ones that rejected by these rich dudes.

Understandable bcoz long auction list doesn't look good for the banks.

HuiChyr
post Jun 16 2014, 12:21 PM

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QUOTE(gogo2 @ Jun 16 2014, 10:59 AM)
Not really clear though.

I see from thread https://forum.lowyat.net/topic/2967053/+260

still got a lot of people buying new property.

Just that subsale got not much transaction. LOL...
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So isn't that a bad scenario?
Sub-sales cannot sell but new launch can?
So question is; these buyers for developers, are they really home stayers or investors/flippers?
General knowledge (not universal though) is that there's price appreciation from new launches bcoz it's like buying from wholeseller or direct from factory. Moreso, loan approval is easier compare to subsale because influence from developer on valuer and banks.


HuiChyr
post Jun 16 2014, 12:46 PM

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QUOTE(gogo2 @ Jun 16 2014, 12:24 PM)
Oh I see.

There's an auction in Penang with a landed house in good housing area dropping from RM650k to Rm585k to RM527k.

I'm very interested. Unfortunately my wife decided otherwise.

So means, the rich people not interested with that house. Must be very bad fengshui.
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Not ncessarily.
May property portfolio for these rich guys are FULL.
You don't expect them to put 100% of the wealth in property right?
HuiChyr
post Jun 16 2014, 01:03 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Jun 16 2014, 12:33 PM)
Sales before auction.. private treaty.. but the seller must agree first..  nevertheless bank officers.. too can buy..

even then it also take an investors with balls of steel like appreciatove dude to buy at those injury time
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The ultra rich guys are of different league compare to most of us. They can buy cash and hold it for years.
They also have the bargaining power on the terms and conditions and prices too.
They take up 10 properties at once for price way, way cheaper than market price. And for only one reason ... these ultra rich are businessmen/women. Their REAL asset is their business. Properties are just to "park" their cash for hedging against inflation or tax. If their businsss go down the hole, they may need to liquidate their properties to pay off or collateralize their properties for cash.

Bankers are not property manager, they are money managers. They prefer cash (or equivalent) to balance their balance sheet.

At "injury" time, the overleveraged will suffer the most. Businessmen (not all) have higher chances to survive.
Look at Tan Sri William Cheng ... owed Rm2 billion since 1997 ... still living the luxury life. drool.gif

This post has been edited by HuiChyr: Jun 16 2014, 01:05 PM
HuiChyr
post Jun 16 2014, 04:24 PM

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Yup .. this thread has gone down the drain.
HuiChyr
post Jun 18 2014, 10:15 AM

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QUOTE(icemanfx @ Jun 18 2014, 09:59 AM)
So you blamed your grandpa for didn't buy plantation in kl for a few hundred $ per acre.
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Nice ... rclxms.gif
HuiChyr
post Jun 18 2014, 04:34 PM

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QUOTE(gogo2 @ Jun 18 2014, 04:04 PM)
If follow your theory, I think foreigner cannot buy our property.  laugh.gif
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Being a property investor, you want to limit your market to local Malaysians?
Foreigners are willing to pay more due to exchange rate and they are the ones that help in price appreciation.
In this new globalized world, most countries are open to foreign ownership.
HuiChyr
post Jun 18 2014, 04:55 PM

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QUOTE(cfa28 @ Jun 18 2014, 04:39 PM)
unrestricted foreign ownership of properties will bring along more problems than benefits.

There must be guidelines, restrictions, else, in long run, these foreigners will sweep up all the properties.

Australia & NZ are good examples.
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Where do you think the property boom in Malaysia ...well bascially worldwide came from?
It was from open market to foreign ownership. I would say they are mainly flippers.
When you enjoy price appreaciation in your prop from foreign ownership ... were you complaining?
C'mon ... be fair.


HuiChyr
post Jun 18 2014, 05:02 PM

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The difference is China developers take up the loan to built; "Built first, then sell". In Malaysia; "Sell first, then Build".

In Malaysia, the risk go direct towards home owners. You lose more than just downpayment.
HuiChyr
post Jun 18 2014, 05:12 PM

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QUOTE(cfa28 @ Jun 18 2014, 04:59 PM)
I am not reaping any benefits from a Property Boom.

I buy for Long Term and for my future generations.

I do not need Hot Money from Outside to jack up prices to artifically high level

Think of the bigger picture, beyond your own personal gains,

Think about our future generations, Landed Property in Kajang above RM1 mln and starting salary at only RM3K

That's the road that we are headed
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Developers are the one doing road shows and launches overseas to lure foreigners.
If there are no takers/buyer during launch by foreigners, do you think the development could have been a success/completion (VP)?

Not everything relies on what you need or don need.... or even your investment objectives. Others profit from it and continue to be so. .... rclxms.gif


HuiChyr
post Jun 18 2014, 10:17 PM

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QUOTE(tikaram @ Jun 18 2014, 10:05 PM)
I hear say from my friends who working with developer. They are offering permanent staff to become contract staff now due to slow sales. The benefits of contract staff are flexi working hours and last hear mainly ladies / mun to be took the offer. Iook like soon we will have 3 days off per week in kv soon.
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Not surprising. Developer owes contractor Rm2mill ... can only afford to pay Rm400K only.
If this is the case, contractors may abandon project.
By the way, anybody wanna buy expensive/branded ladies watches... PM me.
The contractor gonna give me his wife's watches as payment for the stuff he took from me.... mad.gif
HuiChyr
post Jun 18 2014, 10:29 PM

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QUOTE(tikaram @ Jun 18 2014, 10:22 PM)
Next the contractor might sell  his house to you like 69% super cheap.

you huat lio lo thumbup.gif
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Not possible lor ...
These bloody contractors ...when got money, spend like crazy.
Now in deep shit also must maintain face ... said for business sake ... L@nc!ao la ....
That fella still driving his merz ... KNN lim peh only drive a Wira nia .... mad.gif

Question him why not give me HIS watches instead of wife's ... said must maintain muka when see clients wor..
Hutang keliling pingang these b@stards.
HuiChyr
post Jun 18 2014, 10:37 PM

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To me it no coincidence Sunrise sold to UEM or Tan Sri Liew Kee Sin cash out from their companies. They know bad times is coming.


HuiChyr
post Jun 18 2014, 10:52 PM

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QUOTE(tikaram @ Jun 18 2014, 10:40 PM)
Wah!!. Like that also can thumbup.gif

Believe more to come. Be wise to supply good/services to construction related company.
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I tell you ... when u are collecting debt ... u get lotsa excuses ... same family member can die 5 times one....
I stop supplying to contractors for development abt 2 years ago.
Now got a few still owe my company money ... Most pay off slowly by installment ... at least with money la ....
This one the most sia soi .... give me wife's watches.... rclxub.gif

I believe this scenario is getting worse by the month.
HuiChyr
post Jun 18 2014, 11:45 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Jun 18 2014, 11:17 PM)
you need "repomen services" or 'friendly debt collector" by using "cara halus..", these  ppl talk talk.. u know his main accounts or not? garnishee his accounts, or bankrupt him, it a tactical move, timing well straight..

these ppl are not keen in paying debts
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Sounds pretty good. May need your service. Will definitely PM u.
However, I get what I can first. Try my way.

You have to understand. We spend time and money to build relationship for business.
If everytime shit hits the fan, I get repo service .... very susah to do business ler... shakehead.gif
These ppl although hutang us, still give us future business. They owe by project basis so still ok.
HuiChyr
post Jun 18 2014, 11:49 PM

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QUOTE(bcpbeancounter @ Jun 18 2014, 11:11 PM)
Really that bad ah....no wonder you got no job beside TK here.
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This is the reality I'm facing.... u don believe, then go all in lor....
Be the Sailang lor ...... brows.gif
Get it? SAI LANG? hahahaha.....

HuiChyr
post Jun 19 2014, 01:57 PM

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QUOTE(topearn @ Jun 19 2014, 08:38 AM)
Do U mean the property market is going down soon ?
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QUOTE(puchongite @ Jun 19 2014, 09:28 AM)
You "godify" or "witchify" these people. They cash out for various reasons unrelated to the ability to read the crystal ball.
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What I'm saying is from events that ALREADY happened, you try to figure it out yourselves.
Sunrise and SP SEtia cash out .... and the next event is SP Setia profit dropped 21.2% and Sunrise is not doing too well.
A lot of ex-Sunrise development move their management to 3rd party management as rental falls in MKiara area.

I don't put these business figures on a pedastal but I am sure they know the behind scene situation before it hit the newspapers. So I anticipate the market via their decisions.

Moreso from my line of business, I evaluate the events that took place. Not ALL contractors are in bad shape but the stories of bad/slow payments getting frequent, you sorta get the feel of the market.

QUOTE(shaquenator @ Jun 19 2014, 11:02 AM)
"halus way" ? I heard that zuiko does sell butt, is that consider halus way ?  laugh.gif

is property development business getting worst ? the bad times are coming ?
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"CAra halus" frm Bear2 ... hahaha ... I almost thought using bomoh services ... thumbup.gif
Then I read his post again .... maybe he meant ...more diplomatic la...

HuiChyr
post Jun 19 2014, 02:02 PM

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QUOTE(bearbearwong @ Jun 19 2014, 12:05 PM)
For god sakes.. is the market for prop good? This is the 5th in a week.. ppl asking for self bancrupt for inability to pay debt..
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Bro, like this la .... you interested to invest or for own-stay?
If for own stay, look at your finances and if you can afford it ... proceed.
Anyway, if truly market is down or bubble pops, your business will be booming ... U r a repoman after all.
Can pay off loan fast fast ma ..... with your profit or big bonus.

IF for invest and hoping for rental or market appreciation ... not so good market lor. shakehead.gif
HuiChyr
post Jun 19 2014, 02:04 PM

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QUOTE(SonicKimi88 @ Jun 19 2014, 12:12 PM)
Is that a way ppl play to get away with declaring bankruptcy? As they might have transfer value assets or belonging to they kids before doing it? They can then ask to pay back less amount of money?
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For sure la .... how you think ppl like Tan Sri (watever his name) from Sunrise can be a billionaire even after become a bankrupcy.
HuiChyr
post Jun 19 2014, 02:06 PM

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QUOTE(gogo2 @ Jun 19 2014, 01:12 PM)
He want to transfer 6 months before bankrupt. But he dunno law said any asset can be taken back within 1 to 2 years.  rclxms.gif
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Oh ... I learn new thing today .... THX bro .... notworthy.gif

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