You ultra sensitive one ah?
This is a stock forum la.
A forum is a place for everyone to share opinions, ISN'T IT?
and YES, hopefully the forum in particular, is one where there is DIFFERENT opinions being voiced out.
this equates to a healthy forum.
An unhealthy forum?
One speak and everyone blindly follows.
You want that?
If this thread becomes that, I will quit the thread.
It means the thread becomes redundant.
It becomes a bunch of cheerleaders!
LOL!
Pointless.

So shoot? LOL!
Yes.
My statements:
Did you see where I have made the 76% into a forecast of mine?
I am merely stating the facts dude.
Did you seriously check the last reported profit?
The profit stated clearly... this fiscal year nine month profit stands at 17 million. Previous year was 9.9 million.
The calculator will show that the profits increased 76%.

THIS IS MERELY STATING THE FACTS.
NOT A PREDICTION.

DID I STATE ANYTHING THAT ONE SHOULD USE AND TURN THIS 76% INTO A STONE CAST RULING?

I CERTAINLY HOPE NO ONE IS THAT BLIND.

 

*whistle*

understand mah?

look, in financial markets, remember, comparisons is made between the current reported quarter and compared against the same quarter the previous year.
This is how they do it.

And it's in my opinion, I feel you do not understand the 'seasonal earnings'.

Some companies... they will see increase in sales .... the same months every year.

For example....
a beer company...
the company will most likely see increase in sales during festive periods.
and immediately after the festive periods, the following months will show a slowdown.
This is the seasonal impact.

Same with companies exporting.
Some countries will see better sales during winter.
So the few months before winter, those countries, will BUY more... to stock up... to be ready for their festive year end sales.

Same with Homer.
Every year, the 4th quarter, this is their boom time.

Do check the 4th quarter earnings each year.
Their earnings will be better than the previous years (and also better than the previous quarter - the seasonal factor!)

See how the earnings boost up.

2012 Q4 was 5.689 million vs 2011 Q4 3.914 million
2013 Q4 was 6.950 million vs 2012 Q4 5.689 million.

2014 Q4?

Now I am just highlighting it as it is.

I dare not predict anything.

Too many Homeraddicts in this forum thread liao! LOL! LOL! LOL!

And look.... the facts, as it is, shows...

fy 2011 -- 10.811 million profit
fy 2012 -- 14.700 million profit
fy 2013 -- 15.118 milion profit
ttm -- 22.005 million profit

Your original statement (which is the CRUX of the issue) states: "at stagnant growth rm1, if a growth of 30%"

remember, the 3 quarters of 2014 already shows that Homer made 17 million.

So for Homer to record a stagnant growth...
if my under the standing of your england is ngam,
you are suggesting fy 2014 earnings to be 15 million also. (no growth ma... so 2014 earnings equals 2013 earnings)
the problem with this scenario is ytd 3 quarters, Homer already made 17 million.
So for total fy 2014 profit to be 15 million, you are suggesting Homer to rugi 2 million for Q4.
errr..... can ah?
*whistle*

same with 30% growth.
for fy 2014 to record a 30% growth, you are suggesting total fy 2014 profits to total 15*1.3 (30% growth) = 19.5 million.
which means, you are saying fy 2014 q4 profits to total only 2.5 million (19.5-17)
Which means, if I use the earlier table...

2012 Q4 was 5.689 million vs 2011 Q4 3.914 million
2013 Q4 was 6.950 million vs 2012 Q4 5.689 million.
** you are saying **
2014 Q4 to be 2.5 million vs 2013 Q4 6.950 million.

err..... that would be a drastic drop, yes?


LOL!

People chase after stocks all the time.
Most of the time... I have no idea why also.
Do you?

And how would you know I own stocks in this one?

how sure are you?

LOL!

Homer should be releasing their quarterly report today right?