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 Bursa Traders V5

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spring onion
post Oct 18 2014, 12:24 PM

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so everyone starting to buy again? laugh.gif

inari chart is nice, but only during yesterday, so did skpetro

i like how sellers pull their prices up...
spring onion
post Oct 22 2014, 03:05 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 22 2014, 08:14 AM)
laugh.gif

RIP meh?

so fast?

This other statement in bold...... tongue.gif

Here's a good exercise....
Use that on Homer.... LOL

At what point did your own FA tell you to buy?
At what point will your TA tell you to buy?
Compare that to the stock price now....
See any difference?
Would it have help... in the future if same situation happens again?
And when the market was falling... what did you note?
Did you note down which group of stocks was falling?
And when market reverses... what did you note?

tongue.gif
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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 22 2014, 09:44 AM)
smile.gif

So how come you bought above 80 sen? wink.gif

Did you see how low the stock went? wink.gif

The point is, you can throw all the MOS stuff, etc etc etc.....
but in a falling market, the market will ignore everything....
and true enough, the stock fell below 70 sen.

Will MOS help you buy at a better price?

In my opinion, NO.

It's always a NO for me.

A stock can always be valuable...
but when everyone is throwing the stock down....
the fundamental and the MOS goes out of the window...
and the stock will trade lower.

Stock buying is like hunting.
You need to be patient before you go in for the kill.
Remember, a wounded animal does not mean it's a 100% easy kill.
Just like stocks... a cheap stock does not mean it's a 100% easy win.
Be patience....
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it's like a paradox leh. what you saying there is no sure way to earn money like that laugh.gif

you buy it when you think it's low and it's good for both growth and dividend and it it's still fall, your dividend yield is not able to cover you loss, so it's still a lost

then comes another 2nd situation: you still hold your cash well and wait for further support to be broken but however it bounce back

so the only thing i can think of is that take inari for example. closes 2.05 at thursday, doji formed, reversal signal to buy? ok a clear cut that was a resistance broken from it if you look at 1-year chart so many will assume it's a support level, will it hold or waiting for another downfall? note: somebody just said 2.70 as it's intrinsic price icon_idea.gif note2: euro zone were in big trouble as all bad news were flying around

and there comes the the dow beating the bear. next day. it traded in a gap up. so if you mentioned that support level is not a target price to buy, what you mean is to wait to break it's support only to buy?

the next question to us that, what happens if US energy report turns out to be bad? it will be another blow to inari and other KLSE stocks as well

This post has been edited by spring onion: Oct 22 2014, 03:07 PM
spring onion
post Oct 22 2014, 03:31 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 22 2014, 03:26 PM)
really a paradox mehhhh?

laugh.gif  laugh.gif  laugh.gif

Maybe I bad expressing my views.... tongue.gif
Btw.... have you wonder why and when we come into such paradoxes?  rolleyes.gif
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probably each of us has different target prices on every stocks

your intrinsic value of inari maybe valued at 2.70

for me? Rm2 laugh.gif

slower growth of electronics sector are coming soon btw
spring onion
post Oct 23 2014, 11:33 PM

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public bank, kulim and huayang are stocks to watch for tomorrow

kulim shareholder gets 78 sen per share, however outlooks gloomy
huayang quarter profit up Y-Y, public bank will tends to break it's downtrend after a better quarter

This post has been edited by spring onion: Oct 23 2014, 11:36 PM
spring onion
post Oct 25 2014, 01:40 AM

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buy at 84 sen?, checked, 78 sen? checked, 74 sen?, checked wanted to load more at 68 sen... my heart started to wonder whether my mind is ok or not. placed order but cancelled - there is no use to chase a downtrend

in the end, buying something else instead and it's not doing well currently. haha life is always against us
spring onion
post Oct 25 2014, 01:59 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 24 2014, 11:40 AM)
Have you always wonder why there are some people who always make money in a sharp correction?

Big money too.
Have you wonder why?
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ahh boon, why ah? cause they believe that market is irrelevant?
spring onion
post Oct 25 2014, 10:30 AM

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QUOTE(wenqing @ Oct 25 2014, 08:22 AM)
Its normal bro. It need a lot of courage to press the button at 0.6+.  smile.gif  smile.gif
Btw, nect week Q report out. If less than 3 sen dividend u can buy at 0.6 again.hahaha.
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LOL enough is enough. i believe there is still many potential markets out there. imagine 10% of outstanding share owned by the people that visit this thread frequent and regulatory. there are many silent readers here too. sooner or later we will bite each another, then someone will turns sour and shoot back at here. i wouldn't want to be such person

QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 25 2014, 08:52 AM)
Definitely not.

Remember this recent quote la...
What does it really mean? whistling.gif

It means that one MUST AVOID being kiasu la....
STOP thinking BEING GREEDY WHEN EVERYONE IS AFRAID....
DON'T EVER RUSH TO BUY A FALLING STOCK!!!!

the opportunity to buy will be there.
BEING EARLY will most likely not help...
cos the stock is falling and most likely going to fall more.

Again..... look back.... at..... Inari.
2.80 people kiasu already.
Saying.... walaehhhh........ this fantastic stock used to be 3.30 la wei....
2.80 sure good discount liao!

They rush to buy.....

They see 2.60..... also rush to buy....

2.40 come...... lagi buy.....

whistling.gif

2.20???

legs weak already.... computer/laptops/ipads...... all closed.... some even delete them stock apps.... laugh.gif

Not true?

These are the folks that rush to buy.......

Smart ones....

They wait.

They don't even have to get at the lowest...
Yup, they don't even bother to catch the low...
Haiyaaa.... simply use la...... say they buy at 2.40.

Now you compare....

Those that kept averaging down..... vs the patient ones......
what's the clear big difference???
whistling.gif
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even it's in 2.40, it would have possible to drop to rm2, making situation worst
spring onion
post Oct 25 2014, 10:44 AM

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QUOTE(wenqing @ Oct 25 2014, 10:36 AM)
Hahaaha.Anyone interested on Huayang? My newly added counter in portfolio biggrin.gif  biggrin.gif
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what price you managed to catch?

Huayang if you notice well they only build in perak and johor, johor outlook is not very good at the moment. i prefer KL or penang landbank
spring onion
post Oct 25 2014, 11:29 AM

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QUOTE(wenqing @ Oct 25 2014, 11:03 AM)
2.1+ lor. But those on Kl and penang de already at sky price.... cry.gif  cry.gif
Although sky price de also can go to outer space price biggrin.gif  biggrin.gif
But I still prefer those with higher margin of safety. I aim very long time already huayang.
Every year also got bonus issue and stable dividend. icon_rolleyes.gif  icon_rolleyes.gif
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hmm what are their current dev? onesouth looks good. other than that, i am not sure about this. one thing about property stocks is that their earnings is not consistence and many are speculating their land bank value
spring onion
post Oct 25 2014, 01:32 PM

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QUOTE(wenqing @ Oct 25 2014, 11:36 AM)
I estimate this year they will distribute 15 sen dividend which is about 6.3% at current price.  smile.gif
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i'm still waiting my salary to come end of this month, then i shall only decide. too much of buying and selling exchanging stocks already these few weeks. now wallet kosong haha

QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 25 2014, 12:39 PM)
Eh?

The 2.40 is used as reference for one who bought the stock when it is rebounding.
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yeah. assuming the entry point of 2.40 after it drops to 2.20 on the older day
spring onion
post Oct 25 2014, 03:08 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 25 2014, 02:58 PM)
No.

Buying 2.40 on the way up!
ie after it has hit the lows.  !!!!
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yaya, i got you. but suddenly in? would you be thinking it is a correction instead of a rebound? cause it is fundamentally intact and you're assuming that its a downtrend is broken?
spring onion
post Oct 25 2014, 11:45 PM

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at stagnant growth rm1, if a growth of 30% (safety margin is included) Y-Y, i would rate it at 1.15, but based on the current exchange rate - 1.30 is possible
spring onion
post Oct 28 2014, 01:03 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 27 2014, 10:29 AM)
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

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bro, every stocks will reach a growth limit where growth will not be that great anymore, is not saying that i'm not believing the statistics, but rather to put a safe margin into account.

ok ok talk about other stock ok? fitters this joker after got it's bonus unit issue the price did plunge down alot. now will sbccorp follows it's path? interested to see sbccorp movement before and after releasing their bonus share

in your opinion, should we buy a share before or after bonus/split?
spring onion
post Oct 29 2014, 12:05 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Oct 28 2014, 06:06 AM)
1) Yes, it's ok to use a lower estimate but all I am showing is the current stats and yes, not all growth will last forever. However with the company due to report it's last quarter profits for the year and current 3 quarters  profit already more than 76 percent, for it to achieve just 30 percent growth for the year, for this to happen, you are implying a very serious decline in Q4 profit numbers. Whwn this happen (and I don't think you would want it to happen, the stock should see a huge decline in stock price!

2) If you are interested you should also look at Censot. Case same. Stock fell after the so called free warrants.

3) I don't know. Bonus do not add value to a stock but it can create some positive vibes on it.
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hi boon, 1st of all, the profit for 2013-08-31 accountable for more than 40% profit for year 2013 and 30% for profit of TTM

which this quarter profit might be slightly lower if revenue stays or flat if revenue increase due to forex. a forecast of slightly lower margin will affect the TTM profits, making it lower then before. so your 76% also cannot follow blindly lah laugh.gif

my opinion only, feel free to shoot

about bonus issue, dilution of share is understandable, but how come people still chase after bonus issue announcement?
spring onion
post Oct 31 2014, 08:37 PM

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QUOTE(SpeechLess11 @ Oct 31 2014, 07:34 PM)
report out, and the result average only
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so it was around 30% profit increase year to year. still within my expectation. cheers to all thumbup.gif

next quarter will be a surprise 1 drool.gif
spring onion
post Nov 1 2014, 09:10 PM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Nov 1 2014, 08:06 PM)
Sure got..................... brows.gif  brows.gif
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wah can share what you got laugh.gif
spring onion
post Nov 2 2014, 10:27 PM

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QUOTE(kueyteowlou @ Nov 2 2014, 10:19 PM)
market in bull... i don't think is a good time to enter dividend stocks...

wait for a small crisis... i think good time to enter lo...

bursa ok ma.. so many punters nowadays... sure earn a lot  wub.gif
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still worth to chase growth stock at the moment? since japan and euro govt start their business buying whistling.gif

just a small needle will make a bubble go burst... which needle would it be? China GDP? Ebola outbreak? looks like it doesn't stop the market anyway

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