Outline ·
[ Standard ] ·
Linear+
Investment 8 CONLAY | KEMPINSKI HOTEL & RESIDENCES, Europe's Oldest All Luxury Hotelier
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 18 2022, 11:18 PM
|
|
QUOTE(Babizz @ Aug 18 2022, 09:42 PM) Oh dear the hailatness has set in. We are not immune from all the woes that are afflicting property developers and contractors around the world. Chinese affluent are disposing their luxury goods as seen in SCP. Is the time of conspicuous luxury consumption over? This post has been edited by Cavatzu: Aug 18 2022, 11:44 PM
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 19 2022, 11:46 AM
|
|
QUOTE(wilson1149 @ Aug 19 2022, 11:39 AM) The buyers for this project will be super atas and loaded. They will make a lot of noise. I wanna see Tropicana Uncle v2. Peasants forget that people don’t become rich by being cincai. They can be your worst nightmare if things don’t go their way. This post has been edited by Cavatzu: Aug 19 2022, 11:51 AM
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 19 2022, 06:35 PM
|
|
QUOTE(icemanfx @ Aug 19 2022, 03:03 PM) The fact that less than 20% sold and 80%+ of them are foreigners means that this project may not be viable. Even wealthy locals aren’t really keen on something like this. This post has been edited by Cavatzu: Aug 19 2022, 06:36 PM
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 19 2022, 08:34 PM
|
|
QUOTE(download88 @ Aug 19 2022, 06:39 PM) Since the majority buyers are foreigner, maybe they use Cash to settle instead of taking loan up to 20/30/ 35 yrs (not like locals)? Especially China big mom have lots of cash to sapu properties, gold bar.. etc 😍 Normally that would be the case but the protracted lockdowns have had a lot of negative impact on their wealth too. Already there’s talks of that market segment cutting back on discretionary spending. The fact that Malaysian property is so dicey in terms of holding their value is another added concern and they would likely walk away. Only those that are sought after by both locals and expats like DPC truly hold their value if not appreciate.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 20 2022, 10:01 AM
|
|
Safe to say that super high spec high rises are not a viable business model anymore for developers unless you’re in a boom cycle.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 21 2022, 11:08 AM
|
|
It makes sense for them to just scrap this development and start over. Price it at just above 1k psf as a medium high end build.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 21 2022, 01:04 PM
|
|
QUOTE(Sir_Jim @ Aug 21 2022, 11:34 AM) When?? Start over? Won't that be even higher cost given the current construction stage? I mean maintain the build but strip out the luxury stuff and price it lower. But I saw wrongly, the tower 1 has sold quite well. It’s the tower 2 that is slow selling. Regardless this is such a capital intensive build and super luxury stuff is really being seen as quite unnecessary.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 21 2022, 04:06 PM
|
|
QUOTE(puffyballzzz @ Aug 21 2022, 03:50 PM) This property got so many red flags yet ppl still wanna buy. Maiden project, young ceo, no HDA, unknown developer, 3-4k psft..what these buyers were thinking? Want all the style, hype and glamour in the end this what happen. It’s so much flash when in reality if you wanted to really dress up a 1 bedroom unit. 2-300k in reno would more than do the trick. People who can see through the gimmick will realise this is poor value.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 21 2022, 06:34 PM
|
|
I’m starting to think fully furnished doesn’t work for super high end units. If there’s one thing that rich people like is to be unique. Homogeneous design may not work for them but it works for low to mid range investment type units where it’s all bundled into the loan.
This post has been edited by Cavatzu: Aug 21 2022, 06:35 PM
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 22 2022, 05:40 AM
|
|
QUOTE(happyhaka @ Aug 21 2022, 11:44 PM) Hmmm this actually makes sense. However, for foreign buyers they do not want the hassle of furnishing the units. Ultimately, they would want a branded residence that they can stay in whenever they are in the country. True also, having the convenience factor baked in. Paying Rm 2M+ for a 700 sqft place is still a lot of money especially when it’s so high above the median price point and more importantly will not hold its value. Many people assume the rich will buy something just because they can afford it. I can assure you it’s not true. QUOTE(icemanfx @ Aug 22 2022, 12:01 AM) At current mm2h requirement, few foreigners are interested. for the same amount of money, better to buy in thailand, cyprus, portugal, etc. at 3k psf, most locals would choose landed in bukit damansara, bangsar. Malaysia was always seen as the cheaper alternative to the high flying Asian cities so it’s mid range at best. If the local developers think Mainlanders or Hongkies are utterly ignorant then they are in a world of shock. There’s news channels over there just discussing property 24/7. Bangkok is a lot more fun than Malaysia for very similar offerings.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 22 2022, 02:04 PM
|
|
QUOTE(mightyasian @ Aug 22 2022, 01:54 PM) Genuine question, if buyer defaulted on the loan and the project is incomplete, what would the banks do to recover the money? They can commence bankruptcy proceedings against you or you get a very bad mark on your credit file. Jobs in finance will be closed to you and of course you can’t access any loans. The loan collectors will be bloody annoying too.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 22 2022, 05:32 PM
|
|
QUOTE(cannible @ Aug 22 2022, 05:14 PM) hopefully the developer able to sort this out with restructured loan. They are deep pockets but surely lack of developer experience. Well sometimes it’s no use flogging a dead horse. When you are priced 3X of a typical high end Malaysian property and only reliant on buyers not of the country. What justification is there? Malaysia is not a tax haven nor exactly a friendly place to get long term residency status so why the need to line the pocket of this fledgeling developer? They need to pivot and they better do it quick. Locals who bought here - you should know better. This post has been edited by Cavatzu: Aug 22 2022, 05:35 PM
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 22 2022, 07:49 PM
|
|
QUOTE(cannible @ Aug 22 2022, 07:06 PM) it sounds like you know you pretty sure they are not. they have deep pockets. Umm it doesn’t make fiscal sense for any company to throw money at something that doesn’t work. Having money is one thing, investing in something that is not profitable is another. Somehow people here thinking throwing good money after bad is the norm. How wrong they are… This post has been edited by Cavatzu: Aug 22 2022, 07:50 PM
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 22 2022, 11:06 PM
|
|
QUOTE(yushk @ Aug 22 2022, 09:57 PM) I can still remember one of my friend who is a construction guru said that "the project should not suspend, otherwise the loss will be significant!" I hope the buyers will be fine and the developer or someone will resolve the issue asap. And regarding the China/HK property prices, I am not god, a economist or a real estate guru. It's complicated and there are manyyyyy factors. !!!What I strong believe is that, our kids or next generation should NOT spend 60-70% of their income on housing mortgage for 30 to 40 years!!! Do you agree? The problem is that this is a product mismatch. Would you continue building something that no one will or can afford to buy? They are backed into a corner. If they lower prices now, the initial batch of VIPs will be pissed. For all we know, the initial buyers may be looking to get out of their purchase also if they don’t see the value anymore.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 23 2022, 09:57 AM
|
|
QUOTE(icemanfx @ Aug 22 2022, 11:29 PM) Overambitious developer e.g m@mm@th emp@r@ often stumble. One has to be so wary of these first time developers. They bite off more than they can chew and it ends in failure and tears. This is a very ambitious one too.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 23 2022, 11:28 AM
|
|
QUOTE(icemanfx @ Aug 23 2022, 10:02 AM) First time or not, they could employ and listen to experienced project team. Well in a way. This is a very singular committed development. It’s a do or die type scenario. If they walk away, then it’s game over for their brand. In my mind, their background is actuarial and insurance so very by the numbers. Luxury marketing is a whole different ball game. There’s only 3 branded residences in Malaysia.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 23 2022, 11:41 AM
|
|
QUOTE(Sephilo @ Aug 23 2022, 11:33 AM) In your opinion, may i know which 3 Branded residence in Malaysia?  I’m just quoting the CEO of KSK. But of the top of my head, Banyan Tree and Ritz Carlton. Uncle Google says 4 Seasons and St Regis as well so 4 completed. Yoo, Ascott and Sofitel are the upcoming ones. This post has been edited by Cavatzu: Aug 23 2022, 11:49 AM
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 23 2022, 01:52 PM
|
|
QUOTE(ZeneticX @ Aug 23 2022, 12:05 PM) Going through Google and social medias for the company... i dont know is it just me but the whole company seems more like a publicity platform for the CEO rather than a property developer. Money spent on luxury events when the building is not even done? They wanna play in this luxury lifestyle segment then they have to spend on frivolous things unfortunately. One can be smart about it but it’s a necessary evil.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 24 2022, 03:52 PM
|
|
QUOTE(icemanfx @ Aug 24 2022, 03:40 PM) Genting malaysia didn't default on bank loan. Genting Cruises did. My point is subsidiaries can be left to die if there’s no further viability. This is risk mitigation 101. This post has been edited by Cavatzu: Aug 24 2022, 03:53 PM
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cavatzu
|
Aug 24 2022, 07:14 PM
|
|
QUOTE(Timmy Tan @ Aug 24 2022, 06:26 PM) https://www.forbes.com/profile/kua-sian-koo...sh=46493cde32af35th richest man in Malaysia back in 2019. Net worth of $420 million, pocket deep enough to save 8 Conlay? No millionaire would pledge their personal wealth towards this. They should have JV for this scale of project. Nonetheless a good case study for dynastic wealth family businesses and what not to do. This post has been edited by Cavatzu: Aug 24 2022, 07:16 PM
|
|
|
|
|