QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 13 2014, 05:08 PM)
that is assuming the yield in $/rm stays the same, so the buy is fine in terms of yield%.
if the price falls by say 20%, and the
div shrinks as well, the yield % for the old price is no longer attractive.
i suppose it is about how much yield% one can accept with current div/orig purchase price.
that is when one starts to mull, " shud i sell that crap and buy the other one now with greater yield%?
i say there is a need to prune, even for reits. not the smartest idea to buy reit and never sell. just me, maybe...
the statement, "buy reit and hold forever becos it's for div, cap gain is a bonus" is not entirely comforting. what do you call it when the price drops 20%, 30% like so many? a penalty? a curse?!!
There is never guarantee that reit distribution won't shrink nor price won't drop.
Reit is not a guarantee fixed income instrument, if it is, it won't carry 6~7% yield.
It carries risk of distribution drop, property price crash etc.
I am not saying one doesn't need to prune, but one cannot worry off the price each day.
What I meant is, when you first bought the reit, one should have the mindset that you do not aim to sell the reit for capital gain as your goal.
While I do not mean one cannot or shouldn't sell the reit.
If the reit fundamental chance, property market crashing down, sell quick quick.
As long as fundamental issue is intact (consistent yield, good property portfolio with good management), then price is not a major worry if one able to hold on the stock and targeting its yield.
Although I won't dare to say never sell a good idea, but if one has not sold Axreit since 1.xx until now after 5-6 years, has been getting handsome profit.
If one is afraid of price depreciation, one won't able to hold many stocks in reality.
Axreit price dropped from 1.60 when I first bought, to 1.00, a 30~40% plunge, that easily will scare off and worry many investors.
But when I set my taught to only getting its dividend and forget the price depreciation side of worry, then I able to hold the stocks and buy again, which enable I hold it until now.
Same with the story of one has never sold Genting or PBB or KLK share since 1970 or 1980's, they are pretty well off with the stocks as well.
If distribution/dividend able to stay intact, then most of the time their share price won't drop too much one.
They key is always the ability consistent yield that a stock can give.
Yes, we still need to always assess the reit situation, reit is not a foolproof investment, but mindset to hold the reit must be there in the first place, this is what I keep on mentioning.
If sovereign bond is carrying 6%, then there is no reason to buy reit at 6%, you demand at least 8~9%, so reit price need to be lower.
Each reit has its own fundamental issue as well, there are some "weak" or poor performance reit, or its property portfolio may not as good, so one still needs assess each individual reit with different approach.
This post has been edited by cherroy: Jul 13 2014, 09:29 PM