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Investment 4 Critical Signs of a Bubble Market, Property Investment

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kurtkob78
post Nov 15 2013, 11:56 AM

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people don't like to see the word bubble. maybe can change the title a bit ...
kurtkob78
post Nov 19 2013, 11:53 AM

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its not to educate the UUU. Its to educate all reader and then spread the info so that the sentiment towards property investment is not too extreme.

prior to 2009 everyone who bot properties gain a lot due to the rise in price is very high. However, nowadays one must be cautious to enter the market as the market is quite slow with slower gain. Additionally, the new RPGT policy will reduce the gain further. The gov. also seem to be doing something to cool down the market - proposed increase BLR & increase in assessment rate
kurtkob78
post Nov 19 2013, 07:09 PM

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Govt disallows interest capitalisation scheme for housing licence approval

http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...E-APPROVAL.aspx


kurtkob78
post Nov 21 2013, 12:01 PM

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QUOTE(kevyeoh @ Nov 21 2013, 11:15 AM)
the question is if the bubble grows 100% in 2 years...and if it burst and goes back to original price... u don't really lose much also...

example, condo original price 350k, in 2 years goes up to 700k..

bubble burst...lets just assume... can the bubble burst cause price drop to 300k and below? i don't think so...

so even if bubble burst and drop 50%...go back to square one...

what is your thought on this?
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the one baught at the price of 700k will hurt very bad. he lose 350k + the tax and legal fees. This include people already has many props and also first prop. Pity to the first prop tho.
kurtkob78
post Nov 30 2013, 04:40 PM

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QUOTE(dann wilson @ Nov 30 2013, 03:06 PM)
If that's the case, am wondering if there will be soon, measures to cool down the effects of the npls...
(Considering that the domino effect could be quite drastic once "sudden brake" from the financial system triggered by the overwhelming npls...)
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measure to cool down npls is to tighten the borrowing by making it harder for anyone to borrow from the bank. This include further tightening the LTV for property purchases. eg. 80% loan for 2nd prop, 70% from 3rd prop, 60% for 4th prop and so on.

Another way to reduce borrowings is to increase the rate. we may see increase of rates in the year 2014 by 0.3 - 0.5 or maybe even higher. as a result, rate of nps will increase.

i dont think central bank will reduce the rates any further as this will cause further increase in borrowing. additionally credit rating company will downgrade our banks' outlook

edited. thank you @jolokia

This post has been edited by kurtkob78: Nov 30 2013, 05:00 PM
kurtkob78
post Dec 2 2013, 09:35 AM

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something fun to look. house price index.

http://www.economist.com/blogs/dailychart/...al-house-prices
kurtkob78
post Dec 3 2013, 09:04 PM

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QUOTE(tangibee @ Dec 3 2013, 08:51 PM)
Any new launching this weekends? im free and nothing to do.
*
i may provide queue service blush.gif
kurtkob78
post Dec 16 2013, 04:36 PM

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since 2008 property investment can earn big bux that's why many dive into this. but nowadays, no more easy money. Now all people need to work harder
kurtkob78
post Dec 24 2013, 08:56 AM

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even before the increase in rate there were many prop auctions. with the increase, this percentage will obviously increase.

furthermore, with the increase in cost of living, many will not be able to service the loan especially those who commit too much to acquire overpriced prop
kurtkob78
post Dec 25 2013, 11:32 PM

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i heard that the process to before auctioning a prop is a long one. some say more than 1 year. so in the year 2014 when gov impose cooling measure on prop price, the effect of will only show in 2015. ??
kurtkob78
post Dec 26 2013, 08:25 AM

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QUOTE(ManutdGiggs @ Dec 25 2013, 05:00 PM)
Boss how to know the lelong unit is actually the one ads up up and up in price har???
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i once went to look for an auctioned unit. when I arrived at the unit, I was surprised that the unit was just renovated, empty and there was for sale banner on the gate. doh.gif

This post has been edited by kurtkob78: Dec 26 2013, 08:26 AM
kurtkob78
post Dec 26 2013, 10:05 AM

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QUOTE(jolokia @ Dec 26 2013, 09:33 AM)
There is a 222 residency condo went on auction before vp, that particular flipper must be really "tam kai" with DIBS also cannot hold..sigh

Anyone know what happened if auction also no taker ? would the bank sue owner or shall I say loan defaulter for bankruptcy, which bank can obtained loan defaulter other properties to cover their losses.

If indeed properties price coming down/ stagnation/demand slows down, surely bank would accelerates auction process.
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if first time auction no taker, will auction for 2nd time and so on. Reserve price will be reduced for 10% from the previous auction. if still no taker, bank will buy if they feel the price is good for that particular prop
kurtkob78
post Dec 26 2013, 09:05 PM

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The ltv is to prevent too many dead chicken. Blr increase will inc. Dead chicken
kurtkob78
post Dec 27 2013, 08:18 PM

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Because valuer dont want to speculatr house price. If valuer also speculate buble become so big si fast then pop all dead chicken
kurtkob78
post Dec 30 2013, 02:25 PM

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QUOTE(BTimes @ Dec 30 2013, 02:10 PM)
In actual fact, if the GDP in a country is growing, someone (bosses and those in senior management) is still making more money.  Just don't be a 9-5 worker stuck at the lower rungs of the corporate ladder.  If prices are raised, the extra money enters whose pockets?
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yes our GDP is growing, but our debt is growing faster than the GDP. This shows we make more debt than the cash we receive

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