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Investment 4 Critical Signs of a Bubble Market, Property Investment

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Drian
post Nov 18 2013, 06:20 PM

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The main reason buyer can hold is because of low interest rates. Make it higher and then they'll start selling
Drian
post Nov 22 2013, 02:12 PM

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As long as people have jobs, and the economy is in the positive growth region, don't expect prices to fall.


Drian
post Nov 22 2013, 02:56 PM

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QUOTE(jolokia @ Nov 22 2013, 02:40 PM)
Maxis recently announced 500 job cut from their 3300 workforce,  Thailand report economy growth slow down to 2.7%, China having slowest economy growth of 7.5%, Indonesia economy expect slow down in 2014 BI up to 7.5%, Hong Kong economy slow down to 2.9%, South Korea economy slowest at 1.6% in 3 years, Japan economy Q3 economy merely growth 0.5%.

U should read beyond local feel good media..lol
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The problem with you guys is that you only assume that can only be two scenarios that can happen. One bubble burst, two bubble doesn't burst but the truth is what could happen and more likely to happen is stagnation or near zero growth until inflation catches up with the price. Even during the US recession a few years ago that was what happen.

I've said before, as long as interest rates are low, and economic growth is postive people will have very high holding power.


This post has been edited by Drian: Nov 22 2013, 03:00 PM
Drian
post Nov 22 2013, 02:57 PM

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QUOTE(EddyLB @ Nov 22 2013, 02:54 PM)
I hear the same point for so long, but the price still so high  vmad.gif
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I heard it since 2010
Drian
post Nov 22 2013, 03:50 PM

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QUOTE(jolokia @ Nov 22 2013, 03:18 PM)
1993 fresh graduate salary starting RM 1500-1800, twenty years later 2013 fresh graduate salary RM 2200 -2500.

20 years approx 33% increase 1.65%/year
By now if u can't understand why gov only take stringent move to curb property speculation beginning 2014, & think developer had no ideas on the policy before announcement,  why less project compare to 2009-2012, why big developer never make noise on these new policy, then I donno what to says to u..zzz

Who says price never go down ? iproperty or propertyguru ..lol
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I've no idea what you're trying to say.
What's your point?

Interest rates were way higher then in the 1980s/90s. That's why house prices are under control. So as long as interest rates are low, people will hold on to it.

And yes during the US recession there was a 1-2 year stagnation. There were tonnes of people in this forum who said house prices will go down and crash but it didn't You can check this forum 3-4 years ago.

This post has been edited by Drian: Nov 22 2013, 03:57 PM
Drian
post Nov 22 2013, 04:01 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Nov 22 2013, 03:55 PM)
How do u know prices haven't already started dropping? Even bank valuations on property values have been dropping since early this year.
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So where's the drop? Show me. If 1 drop and 9 others increase, is that a drop or increase?

Drian
post Nov 22 2013, 04:35 PM

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QUOTE(jolokia @ Nov 22 2013, 04:26 PM)
Spoon feed type, don't waste ur time,  he need to wait till obasan tell him market price drop to accept the reality.

Can't even tell the difference between Bubble & Bubble Burst. ..I rest my case
..zzzzZzzz
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For someone who cannot even explain himself. LOL.

Well lets see, the group who said the bubble will burst and price will drop in the 2009 and 2010 was wrong before.
Lets see whether history repeats itself.














Drian
post Nov 22 2013, 04:44 PM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Nov 22 2013, 04:22 PM)
Are you referring to actual transactions when u ask about increases and drops? Anybody can put asking prices anywhere but what are the actual transacted prices? Also what increases are u refering to? New launch prices?

Anyway, I mentioned 2014/2015 as the years when we will see drops in some areas and stagnation in others. And I asked you how certain you were that there aren't drops in property prices already since u were so confident of increases.
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Actual transaction of course.

And I said:-
QUOTE
what could happen and more likely to happen is stagnation or near zero growth

So where did i say I was very confident of increase?


This is in response to people who claim that prices will crash down and the bubble will burst.




Drian
post Jan 3 2014, 03:32 PM

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QUOTE(Jaxisme @ Jan 3 2014, 02:43 PM)
speaking about rubbish from property developers - I laugh when I see some projects advertising the selling point of a project and using "Great capital appreciation" as a selling point  .... err like how do you know what the capital appreciation will be? ie how do you know what the future price will be??  unfortunately some ppl believe these things.

as for second hand/ sub sale property - what I cannot understand is how prices in certain areas managed to maintain eventho you can see there are loads of vacancies
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because vague terms like "great" can be argued. Increase price by RM100 can be considered great in their term.




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