QUOTE(joeblows @ Nov 18 2013, 05:05 PM)
LOL......this BBBB and DDDD war still ongoing?? LMAO never ending since I last participated in early 2013.
What I can tell you is:
In 2010 I was BBBB mode, lots of ppl was too.
In 2011 I was still BBBB mode
In 2012 I was STILL BBBB mode but super selective.
In 2013 I am bear (you can check my posting history, I only posted year 2013 onwards regarding props) but got "laughed at" by some "geniuses" in this forum still believing BBBB.
Late 2013 even those same geniuses, while not in DDDD mode, agreed property price is staying stagnant or only tiny increment in 2014-2015. You don't believe me go read forum history.
So everyone now agrees party is over.
Only difference is if now we have a:
a) Big crash
b) Controlled dip
c) Long stagnation
d) Very very slow increase in prop prices
When your BEST scenario is a tiny, steady profit (almost negligible when you consider in assessment rate increase, low rental ROI and probability of BLR increasing) and your most likely scenario is dead money or big loss, and you are still in BBBB mode, all I can say is LOL, good job.
GLTA as usual, and DYODD. ;-)
A fair assessment, with very valid points. However, please allow me to point out some facts to support the BBB camp (there's no fun if I agree 100% with you, no? What I can tell you is:
In 2010 I was BBBB mode, lots of ppl was too.
In 2011 I was still BBBB mode
In 2012 I was STILL BBBB mode but super selective.
In 2013 I am bear (you can check my posting history, I only posted year 2013 onwards regarding props) but got "laughed at" by some "geniuses" in this forum still believing BBBB.
Late 2013 even those same geniuses, while not in DDDD mode, agreed property price is staying stagnant or only tiny increment in 2014-2015. You don't believe me go read forum history.
So everyone now agrees party is over.
Only difference is if now we have a:
a) Big crash
b) Controlled dip
c) Long stagnation
d) Very very slow increase in prop prices
When your BEST scenario is a tiny, steady profit (almost negligible when you consider in assessment rate increase, low rental ROI and probability of BLR increasing) and your most likely scenario is dead money or big loss, and you are still in BBBB mode, all I can say is LOL, good job.
GLTA as usual, and DYODD. ;-)
Cost push inflation due to
1. GST effective starting 2015
2. Recent petrol price hike, expected to continue to increase as subsidy is reduced
3. Increase in sugar price, and other basic food items, again due to reduction in subsidy
4. Foreseeable weakening of MYR, due to US pulling back its money.
Also, do note the following facts:
1. Authorities are cautious in implementing draconian measures in curbing property price increase, due to the precedent set by US (the effects of a quick decline in property prices is very evident in the housing bubble)
2. Growth trumps inflation, in almost all macro economic management.
Any comments?
QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Nov 18 2013, 05:26 PM)
We can only take advantage if its a slump and not a major crash. Major crashes especially with prolonged periods of recession will result in an economic collapse. When that happens, taking advantage of cheap properties will not be your primary objective. Survival will.
Agree, when a major crash happens, our rice bowl is more important than sexy properties dancing in the auction house. Nothing else matters.
Nov 18 2013, 11:55 PM

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